(Not a bulls eye, but a winner. Plus a cool can of PBR. No better beverage in the land.)
|Day Results||8 /3-0-5|
|2020 Overall 269||269 / 94-87-104|
|Win % of Top Pick||34.94%|
|Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall||35.32%|
|2020 Top Pick in the Money –169-269||62.83%|
|Top Selection ITM / TP Winter-Sprng 160-255||62.75%|
|Top Selection Win / TP Winter-Spring 90-255||35.29%|
|“Key Horses” @ TP Winter-Spring 40-10-10-8||25.00% Win / 70.00% ITM|
|“Key Horses” in 2020 41-11-10-8||26.83% Win / 70.73% ITM|
The biggest day of the Winter / Spring race meet is here for Turfway Park. And, due to this sickening sickness and other circumstances, the racetrack will have to showcase it’s biggest event without fans.
That is sad. For so many reasons.
After all, as soon as this meet meets its’ end at the end of this month, the whole place will get a major construction project. New grandstand and clubhouse. New Instant Racing pavilion and showplace. New racetrack surface.
A new beginning.
Let’s make the best of a terrible situation and watch the Jeff Ruby Steaks and the under-card on TVG, and let’s wager over TwinSpires.com.
Let’s hope our friends and family are safe, and that your family and friends are safe.
Let’s dream of a better Turfway Park tomorrow.
Let’s pray for a better America and world in the near future.
And, let’s lift up our medical professionals all over the world in hopes that they may be able to find a lasting cure to help prevent pandemic viruses like these from ever, ever, ever happening again.
(And, let’s hope that the suppliers can replenish the toilet paper at Kroger by this afternoon, for goodness sake. I prefer Charmin. Double ply. Extra soft. LOL.)
Life is too short to begin with, and this makes it even shorter. But we control the way we adapt. And, we are resilient. We are strong. We will survive. And, we can have fun.
Here’s our picks for Turfway Park — which starts at 1:00 p.m. ET today.
1st: 5-7/6-1-2-4…King Snake (5) drops back in the maiden ranks today after trying Stakes company in the last two outs. Ran 6th in the Hutcheson Stakes at Gulfstream Park the end of February. Ran last in that one, but pressed the pace from the get-go against some heady competition. Has been training down at the Fair Grounds for much of the winter. Now, returns to an AW track for the first time since he nearly won over the poly at Arlington Park on debut. Maybe the drop in company and a return to the AW surface is a good combo for this one. I bet the 5 to win/place/show and then box the 5-7 in one exacta. I will key the 5-7 over/under the rest of the numbers listed in two smaller units.
2nd: 8-9/5-4-1/7-1A…Miss Is Zippy (8) has three 2nd place finishes in a row here and the last one was a near win. Made the leaving late in the stretch before losing the grip at the wire. Rider is super hot right now, with a 4-3-1 mark in the last 12 rides. And, this City Zip filly apparently likes the surface and is right at home with the conditions. May be graduation day? Edgee Angel (9) is the horse to beat, IMO. This filly has not run since a disappointing 8th at KEE in October. Before that ran two super nice races over the turf at Ellis Park and Ky Downs. The race three back was against a real good one. Trainer hits with .21% of those coming off a layup, but this one has been here all winter, too. Gets the meet’s top rider. Showdown. I will bet the 8-9 across the board and then box those two solidly in one exacta. I will key the 8-9 over/under the rest of the numbers in two smaller units.
3rd: 11-5-8/9-4/2-12-3-(14)/(13)-7…Screenwriter (11) comes into this one off a near-miss second last time out on Jan. 25 over this AW surface. And, that was the 5YO Ghostzapper’s first race since May of last year at Churchill Downs. In 13 career starts, the mare has only one win. But she does have 3 seconds and 3 thirds. Don’t like the far outside post. Compromising. But she gets Corey Lanerie in the saddle and there just isn’t many better than him. Anywhere. Look for a big run today. Sister Kitten (5) ran better than the 7th place finish would indicate last time out at Gulfstream Park. She broke horrible and was at the rear. Came with a big run to be beaten less than 4 while going 13/16 miles. And, that was the first race in nearly a year. Wow. Now, the 4YO Kitten’s Joy mare picks up Irad Ortiz, Jr. in the saddle and, hopefully, a little better start. Could be a tough out here. Straightoutapopcorn (8) has raced 5 times previously over this track. Has never been worse than 2nd. Returns as a beaten favorite and the barn hits with .28% of those. I use. I bet the 11-8 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the top 3 over/under the 9-4 in two smaller units.
4th: 6-9-5/11-(13)/3-7-8-10…Champagne Affair (6) returns to race action for the first time since last April. Nearly a year ago. But the 3YO Daredevil filly has been training well over this AW surface for the meet’s top trainer — who has a 23-10-10 record in 63 starts here this meet. Rider has won with .25% of his mounts for this barn operation and is headed for his next TP riding title. Barn has 4 wins in the last 8 starts, too. Look for this one to show gas early and often. Ithaca Falls (9) is a first timer for the barn of Thomas Drury. This daughter of Bernardini has been prepping well at the Louisville home base, and the dam of this one has 7 winners from 8 starters and 2 Stakes winners. Wow. I’m buying at a price. Biriba (5) has not raced since last September at KY Downs. But this one nearly won on debut at Ellis Park last summer. Trainer and jockey teamed up last weekend to knock them solid at GP. Could do it again today. I bet the 6-5 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the top 3 over/under the 11-13 in two smaller units.
5th: 3-8/12-4-9/(14)-2-10-5-1…Made In America (3) broke the maiden last time out in a MSW event here on Feb. 15. Did it impressively, drawing off by nearly 5 lengths at the wire and the next two came right back to win the next time out, too. Key race. Now, this one will stretch to a route of ground and face winners for the first time. I hate those angles. But this barn wins with .15% moving up the condition ladder and with .13% of those stretching around two turns for the first time. This one gets Corey Lanerie up. Watch out. Could be a real good one. Not Very Gentle (8) will start for a new barn operator for the first time today, and this is a new outfit that I know nothing about. Zero. This one did run OK closing late in the last effort at Churchill Downs on Dec. 1. Broke the maiden at CD, as well. Deep, deep, deep closer. First time gelding. And, the work on Feb. 11 was spot on. Lots of unknowns here. I bet the 3 to win/place/show and then box the 3-8 in one exacta. I will key the 3-8 over/under the 12-4-9-14-2-10 in two smaller versions.
6th: 1-9-7/4-3-6…Animal Kingdom Stakes…Amongst (1) is a 3YO son of Into Mischief. And, that being written? That may be just enough. That sire is having, yet another, great year. His runners just keep on running. And, winning. This one ran a huge one last time out over the slop at the Fair Grounds in the Sugar Bowl Stakes. The winner of that one was Gold Street. Undefeated on the slop. Went on to win the Smarty Jones Stakes at Oaklawn Park. Repeat that effort? I’m all in. Key Play of the Day for me. I bet the 1 to win/place/show and then key the 1 over/under the “all button.”
7th: 2-4-7/6-11/9-8-10-1…Latonia Stakes…Speedy Solution (2) has raced 3 previous times over this AW surface. Has a win, a second and a third. Comes off a win and moves way up in conditions for this Stakes event. Danger sign. But this one is trained by Wesley Ward — the kingpin of TP. The rider has won with .64% of the mounts for this barn this meet. And, this one has a closing kick to finish what he normally starts at the back of the pack. This track has been favoring the speed oriented runners of late, though. Beware. Rogue Too (4) has won 5 races in a row. In 8 races here? Has 7 wins. Will face much tougher today, but how do you dismiss that record? New Roo (7) is 12-1 in the ML and, thus, becomes my first Upset Special of the Day. The 4YO Dominos filly is trained by Tom Drury, who knows this track as well as anyone in existence. The filly ran a huge one here in February. And, if you question the quality? Look at the race before at Churchill Downs . Three races back she faced Concrete Rose. One of the best grass runners of our time. I like this one. I bet the 2-7 across the board and then box the top 3 runners in the exacta. I will key the top 3 numbers over the 6-11 in two smaller units.
8th: 1-4-8/7-2/3-6…Rushaway Stakes…Crypot Cash (1) has not raced since November at Churchill Downs. The barn does NOT do well with those coming off a layup of this length (.09%). That’s my only hesitation here. The 3YO son of Majesticperfection looks the best to me, on paper, and gets Corey Lanerie in the saddle. This one has won 2 races in a row and moves up to face the Stakes ranks for the first time. Has faced some tough ones in the past. Work at GP on Feb. 29 indicates that he is ready enough. I’m in. I bet the 1 to win/place/show and then key the 1 over/under all the numbers listed.
9th: 12-10/(14)/8-9-3/4-6-5…KY Cup Classic…This is the lynchpin of the old “Kentucky Cup Series” that I helped develop along with former GM / President Mark Simmindinger — who now resides at the KY Speedway. Take great pride that it has last and been around this long. And, this is a very solid field. I will go with Blended Citizen (12). Since joining the barn of the heady Brad Cox, this one has two seconds and a win. The race against Silver Dust in the G3 Louisiana Stakes was moved up to a win on a drug DQ that was later discovered. This 5YO son of Proud Citizen has a win over this track and has another third in the only other move over the AW surface, too. Work on March 8 at the FG was spot on. My second Key Play of the Day. I bet the 12 to win/place/show and then box the 12-10 solid. I will key the 12 over/under the “all button” in two smaller units.
10th: 9-7/5/2-3-4-1/6…Bourbonette Oaks…Laura’s Light (9) could be any kind of good kind. Truth is? Already is. In 4 career starts, she has 3 wins and a second. Broke the maiden at first ask over the AW surface at Golden Gate, too. Since then, she’s recorded a second and two wins in Stakes. Two of those at a mile and one at 51/2 furlongs. Versatile. Speedy. Classy. And, talented. Makes for a dangerous combo, right? Impeccable Style (7) ran a rough trip in the G2 Rachel Alexandra Stakes last time out, when she ran up against Finite and British Idiom. None of those kind in here, I don’t think. Look for more today. And, the work at GP in February? Spot on. My Upset Special of the Day. I bet the 7 to win/place/show and then box the 7-9 in one exacta. Solid. I will key the 7-9 over/under the numbers listed in two smaller units.
11th: 12/8-6/11-5/10-3-2-4…G3 Jeff Ruby Steaks…Field Pass (12) ships into Turfway Park for one of this meet’s top trainers and brings along the world’s best rider right now, too — Irad Ortiz, Jr. This one is a stalker and closer. Will need some running room late, but if you toss the one try over traditional dirt? This one has been right there every time. Has the breeding to enjoy the AW surface. Finnick the Fierce (8) ran 2nd to Silver Prospector in the G2 Kentucky Jockey Club at Churchill Downs last November. Hit the gate in the last out. Throw out. Went 7-wide the race before that. Throw out. I definitely use this one. Halo Again (6) is my sleeper. Toss the G3 Lecomte Stakes. Went 7-wide in that one, too. Look at the race over the AW. Sweet. Big odds here, too. My second Upset Special of the Day. I bet the 12-6 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the top 3 over/under the 11-5 in two smaller units.
12th: 6-3-4/10-7-1-(14)/9-8…Midnight Jostar (6) will make the first start for the new barn operator today in the finale. Drops in off a Stakes try at Del Mar. That was a debacle. But the two races before then were plenty good enough to put this one right in the mix today if he is ready off the bench. I think so. I bet the 6 to win/place/show and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 6 over/under all the numbers in two smaller units.
Good Luck & All the Best / Gene