|Total Day Results||8 / 4-2-3|
|2021 Overall 352||352/ 114-126-138|
|Win % of Top Pick||32.39%|
|Payoff% of Top 3 Picks Overall||35.80%|
|2021 Top Pick in the Money Overall — 214-352||60.80%|
|2021 Top Selection ITM / TP 144-236||61.02%|
|2021 Top Selections Win / TP 79-236||33.47%|
|“Key Horses” @ TP 39 / 15-8-3||38.46% Win / 66.67% ITM|
|“Key Horses” in 2021 53 / 24-12-3||45.28% Win / 73.58% ITM|
It was a good night to have a good night on Wednesday night at the “new and improved” Turfway Park. And, we had a good night.
We picked 4 winners out of the 8 races carded and our top selection hit the board in 6 of 8 races on the night. Our lone “Key Play of the Night” finished second. And, we cashed on 4 exactas that returned $8.30, $30.80, $3.80 and $21.00 for each $1 played.
We are hoping to keep the momentum going, and we will be on location this Friday when the official “Ground Breaking” ceremony will take place to launch the entire new complex. Exciting times coming for Northern Kentucky.
Here’s our looks for tonight’s card:
1st: 2-6/4-5-8/1…Kiki’s Lulu Rose (2) stretches out a bit farther after tiring in the late going last time out at a mile. Ran well the time before at the same distance. Likes to make a late move, but the question remains whether or not this one can finish the deal. Trainer wins with .19% of the last 47 starts, but only .08% of the last 37 on the AW. Rider is 8-for-112 this meet. Hmmm. Joyful Praise (6) gets my second best “number” in this tilt, but may be the best betting option. This 3YO daughter of Kitten’s Joy drops down two rungs in the claiming ladder and the barn wins with .25% when that happens. Has only 2 wins in 31 starts this meet, but could be a tough one when closing in the late stages here. My angle. I bet the 6 to win/place/show and then box the top 2 in the exacta. I will key the top 2 over/under all the numbers listed in two smaller units.
Pick 5: 2-6-4-5-8-1/7-9-8-3-1/4/2-7-1A-1/3-7 — $.50-cent ticket costs $90.00
2nd: 7-9-8/3-1/4-5/2-6…Hey Negrita (7) was claimed last time out when racing in upper Ohio. New barn operation wins with .09% when going for the first time after the claim purchase. In 9 races over the AW surface to date, has a 2-1-1 record and has a 1-1-1 record in 7 starts here. New rider adds a lot of game to this one’s back. Kupuri (9) came with a late, late, later move last time and simply ran out of ground. Two races before made a substantial run and hung late. In 3 starts over the AW, this one has a 2nd and a 3rd. Could be coming again late, but the rider is 0-for-43. Why not a new pilot? New Appeal (8) goes for an underrated barn operation, which has won with .16% here this meet in 43 starts. This Indiana-bred will face open company again, and didn’t fare well in that group last time out. Will try to mount a late rally, but skeptics abound. I bet the 7 to win/place/show and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the top 3 over/under the 3-1 in two smaller units.
3rd: 4/9/7-5/2-3/1…The first “Key Play of the Night” comes here with Ice Blink (4). This 5YO daughter of Magician was bred, and is now owned and trained by Wesley Ward – who just so happens to be winning at a .29% clip with 63 runners this meet. Has not been out since Feb. 1. Of 2020. Over 13 months ago. But is training very well over this surface and the barn can get them ready off the bench. Rider has won with .29% of the last 21 rides for this barn. I bet the 4 to win/place/show and then key the 4 over/under the rest of the numbers listed. I will box the 4-9 sternly in two more exactas.
4th: 2-7-1A/1/6-9-3/8-4-5…Direct Approach (2) goes for a barn operation that has had a super meet here this Winter. Has won with .24% of the 21 starters to date, and this one has hit the board in each of the last 5 starts. In that span? Has 3 wins; a second last time out; and a third. Returns as a beaten favorite in this spot, and the barn wins with .26% of those kind, too. My pick. Maligator (7) won last time out for $12,500 and now heads into the starter-allowance ranks. Was claimed out of that last start, too. Over the last three starts here, this one has a win and two near-miss 2nds. In 12 starts over the AW? Has 5 wins and 5 seconds. Solid. P H Factor (1A) and Can’t Hide From Me (1) both come from the barn of trainer Larry Rivelli, who has won with .29% of the last 353 starts. Both of these were claimed last time out, too, and the barn wins with .27% when making the first start after the purchase. Rider of the #1 gets a jockey who has won with .57% of the last 7 mounts for this trainer. Lots to like in this entry, too. I bet the 2-7 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I bet the top 3 over/under the 6-9 in two smaller units.
5th: 3-7/9-1/6-2-5/8-1A-4…Treaty of Paris (3) is one of two in here that comes from the barn of HOF trainer Steve Asmussen. This one has posted two 3rds here in the last two starts. Flashed speed in one and faded late. Came with a middle move the last time and stalled out. Ran a 2nd at Churchill Downs against much better back in October, too. Should be about ready to crack the ranks. Country Time (7) is the 2ndone to come from Team Asmussen. This one has run only one previous time and that was over the turf at KEE last July. Never got untracked early and had to settle for a 6th. But it was better than looks. Training lights out for this affair. Barn wins with .21% of those making the 2nd career start. I bet the 3-7 across the board and then box those 2 in the exacta. Sternly. I will key the 3-7 over/under the rest of the numbers listed. More with the 9-1. Less with the 6-2-5. Even less with the 8-4.
6th: 1/5-4/9-2-7/6…Lucky as a Seven (1) drops to half the price that he ran last time out and he was a solid 2nd last time out, too. In three starts to date, he has 2 runner-up finishes. Rider is 7-3-2 in the last 17 starts, and has won with .29% for this barn over the past two months. Comes from a SP mare and the sire is Tale of the Cat, one of the best AW sires in the biz. Adds up to the second “Key Play of the Night.” I will bet the 1 to win/place/show and then key the 1 over/under all the numbers listed above in the exactas.
7th: 8-1A/1-5/6-7/4-3-9/2…Floroplus (8) won the last time out here on March 5. Came from mid-pack to get the job done in that one. Barn operator wins with .27% of those that won the last race out, and with .23% in the claiming ranks, altogether. Trainer/Jockey combo has won 2 of the last 3 tries. Looks tough in this one. Secretary At War (1A) is a closer type who had a wide trip to make his job even tougher last time out. Gets a huge, huge, huge rider switch for this one and could be a major factor. In 4 previous tries over the AW, this one has a 2nd and a 3rd on the resume. Could be a nice price, too. I bet the 8-1A across the board and then box those two sternly in the exacta. I will key the 8-1A-1 over/under the 5-6-7 in two smaller units.
8th: 7/6-4/9-8/1-10-5…The last race of the night is our last “Key Play of the Night,” too. This is another one from the barn of Wesley Ward. Did not fare well in the last outing. But that was in mid-December and against much, much, much, much tougher. Drops to the bargain bin here off that $50,000 optional-claimer. Works are good. Rider is solid for this barn and has gone 7-3-2 in the last 17 mounts. Barn wins with .28% of those dropping into the claiming ranks for the first time and with .19% getting the Lasix for the 2nd time, too. Comes very late. Don’t give up. Don’t ever give up. I bet the 7 to win/place/show and then key the 7 over/under all the numbers listed above.
Good Luck & All the Best / Gene