Total Day Results 8 / 4-0-3
2022 Overall — 40 40 / 17-12-11
Win % of Top Pick 42.50%
Payoff% of Top 3 Picks Overall 33.33%
2022 Only / Top Pick in the Money Overall — 26-40 65.00%
2021-22 Turfway / Top Selection ITM 95-162 58.65%
2022 Only / Top Selection ITM / TP 26-40 65.00%
2021-22 Turfway / Top Selection Win / TP 64-162 39.51%
2022 Only Turfway / Top Selections Win: 17-40 42.50%
2021-22 “Key Horses” @ TP 21 / 9-3-2 42.86% Win  / 66.67% ITM
2022 Only “Key Horses” @ TP 7/ 4-0-0 57.14% Win / 57.14% ITM
“Key Horses” Overall in 2022 7 / 4-0-0 57.14% Win / 57.14% ITM
2021-22 “Longshots of Day” @ TP 17 / 2-1-3 11.76% Win / 35.29% ITM
2022 Only “Longshots of Day” @ TP 3/ 1-0-1 33.33% Win / 66.67% ITM

Not a bad night up at the “New & Improved” Turfway Park on Friday eve. Had 4 winners on the 8-race card, but it was the nice Exactas that rendered green. We had 4 of those to cash in — quite handsomely, I might add — to spice up the night.

The Exactas we hit rendered the likes of $58.00, $52.10, $43.70 and $16.40 for each $1 played correctly.

In addition, our single “Longshot Special of the Night” came rolling in first, and that returned $29.20 for each $2 played across the board.


Here’s our looks for Saturday night’s card:

1st: 1A-2-3/7/4-5/8-6…The nod in the ole’ lid-lifter at the “New & Improved” Turfway Park this Saturday night will go to Seaward (1A), the second half of the entry being offered up by trainer Michael Evans. The conditioner has named the same rider on both, and that normally means that one of these two are likely to be scratched prior to post time. If it is the 1A that scratches? Then I’m still hunting for the top pick. I do NOT revert to the 1. If it is the 1 that scratches, then I can stick here with my top pick. Seaward has won only one of 19 in the career and has never been first or second in 6 previous tries here, either. But? But this one drops to half the asking price off the last start. Should appreciate this drop in class, and did run a very nice 3rd here on Dec. 17. A repeat of that performance will make this one tough. Paulas Game (2) picks up the meet’s top rider once again and she has been close in each of the last two tries. Rider has gone 7-for-20 in the last week and the rail is golden. Look here for the winner, in all probability. Machisima (3) moves up a notch in the pecking order after nearly winning the last time out here on Dec. 26. Came with a late move and just missed by less than a length. Has experience over the AW at Woodbine. Gets a rider who can fire. I bet the 2 — take note — to win/place/show and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the top 3 numbers over/under the 7 in two smaller units.

2nd: 9-10/2-6-8/1-5/3-4-7…Hellorhighwater (9) is a 6YO gelded son of Ghostzapper and returns here after a near-miss 3rd over the Tapeta on Dec. 30. Came with a late rush to just miss in that one and the rider returns. Jockey has just one win in 18 tries here this meet and has won with only .08% of 128 mounts over the last two years. Hmmm. Captain Fantastic (10), on the other hand, gets the meet’s top rider and the run-away winner of the Holiday Meet jockey title here in December. This one was just behind the top pick in the last affair and was doing his best running late, as well. New rider could spell the difference here. I bet the 10 — take note — to win/place/show and then box the 9-10 in the exactas. Sternly. Stern. Ly. I will key the 9-10 over/under the 2-6-8-1-5 in two smaller units.

3rd: 10-3/2-5-8/4-9-11/1-7…Never Know Christy (10) could be the second #10 in a row to make the winner’s circle here. This 5YO Summer Front mare just missed last time out. Lost by a neck. In 6 career starts here, has a 1-0-2 mark. But the win here came in March and was by 5 lengths. Was off from March 24 to Dec. 18. Came back with a neck loss. This 2nd start off the layoff, and the barn wins with .22% of those kind. Look out here. Super Lucy (3) goes for a barn that has won with only .08% of the last 53 starters. But has gone 1-1-2 in the 6 starts here this meet. Was 3rd here on Jan. 2. That was at odds of 26-to-1. Hmmm. I bet the 10 across the board and then box the 10-3 in the exactas. I will key the 10 over/under the 3-2-5-8-4-9-11 in two smaller units.

4th: 8-3-12/7-11/6-10/4-5-9…Lavender Earl (8) ran poorly here last time out, but now gets the drop from the MSW ranks to the $40,000 price point here. Barn wins with .12% when going from the MSW level to the MCL ranks, but the barn does with with .18% in the third start off the layoff and with .22% when going from two sprints into a route race. Gets the meet’s top rider back after the poor outing. Threat for sure. Sonic City (3) will get the saddle from Team McPeek, and will be making the first start since mid-November. Barn wins with .18% when converting from the dirt to the AW, and this one has never missed the board in 3 starts. That’s the good news. Bad news? Never been real close at the wire, either, losing by 71/2 and 83/4 in the last two. Wamego (12) is my first “Longshot Special of the Night.” This 4YO son of Fort Larned goes for a barn that won ZERO times in 22 mounts this meet. Ugh. But this one ran huge here last time out on Dec. 12. That was the first start, too, since April 8. Look for more here. I bet the 8-12 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the 8-12 over/under the 3-7-11-6-10 in two smaller units.

5th: (13)-(14)-8/11/4-7-9-10/1-5-6…The top two picks in this sequence are from the AE List and are not likely to draw into the body of the race. If they do? I use. But if they don’t — and chances are they do not — then I will line up with Temper Mint Twist (8). This 4YO daughter of Pioneerof the Nile cost $285,000 to purchase at the 2019 Fasig-Tipton August Sale at Saratoga. Has raced 6 times so far. Has a 2nd and a 3rd. But the 2nd was last time out here on Dec. 3. Came with a rush then and just missed. If she can duplicate that effort? Watch out. I bet the 8 across the board and then key the 8 over/under the numbers listed. If, on some chance, that either the 13-14 get in? I use them. 

6th: 4-8-1/5-3/6-9-10/2…Likely Exchange Stakes…This is a 1-mile event that will be contested over the AW Tapeta surface for Fillies & Mares 4YOs & Up. And, a really nice field has been assembled for this $100,000 race. I give the lean to Alydiva (4), who hails from the barn of Mark Casse. HOF trainer is having a solid meet, winning at an .18% rate after 22 mounts. Won the last time out here on Dec. 23. Came from last that night to get the job done at the wire. Solid rider — who is winning at a .20% clip for this barn in the last 60 days — is back up for the journey. Look out here. New Roo (8) is a favorite of mine. Goes for trainer Tommy Drury, who has split his stable between the Fair Grounds and Northern KY this year. This one ran last at Churchill Downs and finished 2nd in a high-priced allowance. But here? This one has gone 1-1-1 in 5 starts. Is good when things are cranked. Looks cranked. Fate Factor (1) ran in a Stakes here on Dec. 11. Was 3rd that night behind some good ones. Don’t dismiss this one. Chance. I bet the 4 to win/place/show and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the top 3 numbers over/under the 5-3 in two smaller units.

7th: 10-8-11/5-1-(14)/4-7/3-6-9-12…For the third time on the night and in this card, I will go with a #10 saddle cloth — Upstart Gentleman (10). This one is 12-1 in the ML and will garner my title as the next “Longshot Special of the Night,” too. This 4YO son of Upstart nearly won the last time out at Woodbine, when competing against some solid contenders. Has hit the board in each of the last 4 — 3 of which happened after being equipped for the first time in blinkers. Looks like that may have changed this one’s life around. Here? Has a 1-1-0 mark in just 2 starts. This rider is highly, highly underrated, as well. I am in. Sold. Hard Rye Guy (8) goes for the winless barn of Ian Wilkes. Rooting like crazy for his chap. A true gent. Has raced here 4 previous times. Has a win and a second and has a chance here in this spot with the son-in-law taking the reins again. Sharp work on Jan. 12. Look out. I bet the 10-8 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the 10-8 over/under the 11-5-1-14-4-7-3 in two smaller units.

8th: 7-12-10/2-6-8/3-9/1-11…The night’s finale is a 6.5-furlong sprint at the MCL $30,000 level. I will give the slight edge to Rutabaga (7), who got installed at odds of 6-1 in the ML. This one has run 7 times. Hit the board in 5 of them. Unlucky in all of them. Could spring an upset here, with not much luck at all. Look out. House Wrecker (12) is another longshot possibility. This one returns as a beaten favorite, and the barn wins with .18% of those kind. Will be making the 2nd start off the return from vacation, too, and the barn wins with .15% of those. Has run two really good ones in a row. Big chance. Watermark (10) could be the next #10 on this night. The 4YO daughter of Maclean’s Music has speed and can turn the wheels early. Look for this one to be a tough one to catch and returns as a beaten favorite, too. I use. I bet the 7-10 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the top 3 numbers over/under the 2-6-8 in two smaller units.

Good Luck & All the Best / Gene