Total Day Results 9 / 3-4-5
2022 Overall — 693 693 / 245-251-323
Win % of Top Pick 35.35%
Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall 39.39%
2022 Only / Top Pick in the Money Overall — 440-693 63.49%
2022 Only / Top Pick in the Money @ CD 70–103 67.96%
2022 Only / Top Pick Wins @ CD 38-103 36.89%
2022 Only / “Key Horses” @ CD 16/7-5-1 43.75% Win / 81.25% ITM
2022 Only / Top Pick in the Money @ HI — 79-116 68.10%
2022 Only / Top Pick Wins @ HI — 49-116 42.24%
2022 Only / “Key Horses” @ HI — 23/10-2-3 43.48% Win / 65.22% ITM
2022 Only / “Key Horses” Overall  129/ 54-29-10 41.86% Win / 72.09% ITM
2022 Only / “Longshots of Day” @ CD 3/0-0-0 00.00% Win / 00.00% ITM
2022 Only / “Longshots of Day” Overall — 20/3-1-2 15.00% Win / 30.00% ITM
2022 Only / Longshots of the Day” @ HI — 1/1-0-0 100.00% Win / 100.00% ITM

Here’s our selections for the G1 Preakness Stakes & All the “Other Stakes” at Pimlico this Saturday, May 21:

Preakness Stakes:

13th: 8-1-5/4-2/6/7-9…Epicenter (8) was my staunch play going into the Kentucky Derby just two short weeks ago and he did nothing to dissuade or disappoint in the 148th running of our sport’s greatest race. For awhile, he looked like the sure winner — after repeatedly putting away the serious challenges of the highly-touted Zandon. But we all know what happened. Disappointment can break a lot of hearts — including those of horses, too. But I see no let down and the same perky and beautiful horse going into this event. I’ll back again. Simplification (1) ran huge despite a very difficult trip, where he was caught wide for much of the Kentucky Derby. If the rider had hunted a little different path? Maybe this one was the one to come rallying on the inside. Instead, he stayed wide and wider and, yep, even wider. Gets a new rider here. Yeah. And, this one could give the sire, Not This Time, a great exacta. Early Voting (5) is a speedster, but a good one. And, one that may be able to carry the load for the entire way. If any of the others decide to go? It could compromise this one just enough. Secret Oath (4) ran huge to win the KY Oaks and could have easily have won the G1 Arkansas Derby against the “boys” if not for a horrendous trip. But the crowd in that race has turned up a bit suspect. She will have her hands full here. She’s not ever faced the likes of these. And, of course, will be overbite. The “surprise horse” just may be Creative Minister (2). Has done nothing wrong in the career yet, and the last race was  very impressive. Trainer has won the Preakness before, and with a filly. This horse is better than that filly, too, IMO. Look out here. Could spice up the odds rack in the exotics. I bet the 8-1 across the board and then box the 8-1 sternly and stoutly in the exactas. I will key the 8-1 over/under the 5-4-2 in two other units. Finally, I will box the 8-1-2 in another exacta and key those 3 in the trifecta, as well.

The Rest of the Stakes:

4th: 4-7/6/2-5/1-3…G3 Maryland Sprint…Disco Pharoah (4) gets the nod here for me. This 4YO son of American Pharoah has won two in a row and has done so easily and impressively. Will have to run here without Lasix, but this one certainly seems to be on the improve and the trainer knows how to get them ready. Has won with .21% of the last 43 to make the 3rd start off the layoff. Jaxon Traveler (7) picks up the best rider in the land and will be a ton of speed in this one. Has raced here 3 times previously, with two wins and a 2nd. Must use for me. I bet the 7 — take note — to win/place/show and then box the 4-7 in the exactas.  I will key the 4-7 over/under the 6 in two smaller units.

5th: 4/2-5/3/6/1/7…G3 Gallorette Stakes…“Key Play of the Day” comes here for me with Technical Analysis (4). Chad Brown is simply the best when shipping in for Stakes over the sod, and this one ran huge in the 2022 debut at Aqueduct on April 16. Looks poise with a very nice work on May 13. Has speed. Can control the front end. Looks awesome. I bet the 4 across the board and then key the 4 over/under the 2-5-3-6-1 in the exactas. More with the 2-5-3 than the rest.

6th: Skip

7th: 4-6-9/10-8/3-5/1/2-7…Skipat Stakes…Joy’s Rocket (4) is another from the barn of HOFer Steve Asmussen, who could end up having a huge day today. This 4YO Florida-bred ran very well and better-than-looks in the last at Oaklawn Park. Can stalk. Gets a rider who nearly won on her three starts ago. Could be a tough out in this group. Cilla (6) is a Louisiana-bred and she struggled in the G1 Madison Stakes over a muddy track at KEE. But? Take that out and she has run well — even against open company. Worth a shot at a price. Rider is red hot these days. Time Limit (9) could upset them all here at a nice price. Comes in with a top rider getting the mount. Look at the win at Laurel two back. Nice. I bet the 4-9 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the 4-9 over/under the 6-10-8-3-5 in two smaller units.

8th: 3-6/4-5/1/2-7…G2 Dinner Party Stakes…Set Piece (3) is a very nice “piece.” This 6YO had a rough outing in the 2022 debut. Coming off an extended layoff, he drew the G1 Maker’s Mark Mile at KEE and some of the best grass runners in the world. Tugged and wanted to go on with the running earlier than the rider wanted, and, to be honest, the jockey strangled him in the early going. Same rider is back again. Here’s hoping he allows the horse to have his head just a bit more. Is better than the last, and only lost that one by 2. Look out here. Atone (6) ran a good one in the Maker’s Mark, too. Beaten just a length in that one. Could get the money here. I bet the 3-6 across the board and then box these two in the exotics. I will key the 3-6 over/under the94-5-1 in two smaller units.

9th: 5-6/7-1/3/2-9/8-4…G3 Chick Lang Stakes…This is a very nice 6-furlong Sprint and I will line up with the undefeated Old Homestead (5). This one was brilliant in the Lafayette Stakes at KEE last out. That was a Graded Stakes crowd, too. The runner-up came right back to run a huge one. This guy could be a top one. Chasing Time (6) is my “Upset  Special of the Day.” This son of Not This Time should excel today with the cutback in distance. Last time sprinting, this one was 2nd over a muddy track at Oaklawn Park. Look out here with a return of Tyler Gaffalione to the saddle. I bet the 5-6 across the board and then box these two solidly in the exactas. I will key the 5-6 over/under the 7-1-3 in two smaller units.

10th: 5-7/10-9/8-6/4-3-2…James W. Murphy Stakes…Ready to Perform (5) gets the Lasix for the first time and may be a different horse with the medication added. Will race for the first time since last November, but this one is training quite well for a barn that wins with .24% when returning from vacation. Will be running at the end and will need racing room and luck. If he gets it? Look out. Riot House (7) ships up from Florida for a top barn operator. Has won the last two in a row and gets to keep Lasix, which seems to have made a difference with this one. Has the speed to be very dangerous here. I bet the 5-7 across the board and then box these two in the exactas. I will key the 5-7 over/under the 10-9-8-6 in two smaller units.

1th: 8-5-1/9-10/6-7/3/2-4…Sir Barton Stakes…I think most casual bettors will line up with HOFer D. Wayne Lukas and Ethereal Road (1) in this spot. And, while I think the 3YO son of Quality Road has a shot? I like two better. I will go with Unikee (8). This guy nearly won last time out at KEE and the horse that got him is a very, very, very talented runner. Look for this one to press the pace from the get and could be there at the end, too. Love the rider on this one. Dawk (5) ships in off an 11-length win at KEE last time out. Freak performance. May be a freak horse, too. Lost the blinkers and lost the crowd last time out. Top rider is back for the occasion. Look out for this one, and his speed ability. I bet the 8-5 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the 8-5 over/under the 1-9-10-6-7 in two smaller units.

12th: 2-3/6-1/5-7-9/8…Jim McKay Turf Sprint…This 5-furlong specialty race is named after one of the best sports broadcasters ever and a great fan of this sport. I will go with the ML favorite, Carotari (2). This 6YO gelding has won two in a row on the lead and comes in here off some very impressive works. Trainer is under-appreciated and can get the job done. Rider is top notch. Adds up to a tough out. Seven Scents (3) won the last time out and must step up to the Stakes caliber here. May be up for the challenge, despite being a former claimer. Looks good right now. I bet the 2 to win/place. I key the 2 over/under the 3-6-1-5-7-9 in the exactas. More with the 3-6-1 than the rest.

Good Luck & All the Best / Gene