BC Distaff
Monomoy Girl Ollie’s Candy Swiss Skydiver Valiance Point of Honor Dunbar Road 10-9-5/8-7-6/3-4-1/2

(Monomoy Girl / Coady Photography)

In 2018, Monomoy Girl capped a great year — a Championship year — with a convincing win in the Breeders’ Cup Distaff at Churchill Downs.

In 2019, Monomoy Girl missed the entire year with a handful of nagging injuries that kept her sidelined.

Now, in 2020, Monomoy Girl is back. She is a perfect 3-for-3 this year and will go into Saturday’s Breeders’ Cup Distaff with one mission left on her mammoth “To Do List.” She is trying to cap another year — another Championship year — with a convincing win in the Breeders’ Cup Distaff at Keeneland.

If she can do that?

She will earn her 13th win in 15 career starts.

In the other two races, she was second — and was disqualified to that runner-up spot in the 2018 G1 Cotillion by the Stewards in Pennsylvania and not by the horses.

She will earn purses that will push her career earnings to over $4.0 million.

And, she will earn a title befitting her accomplishments.

Maybe instead of calling her Monomoy Girl, we can start referring to her as Monomoy Lady.

On Saturday, Monomoy Girl will be favored to do just that in her last outing before heading off to Fasig-Tipton’s November Sale and a new career as a mom. In her only previous start here at Keeneland, she won the G1 Ashland Stakes in 2018 by nearly 6 lengths.

Sure, that was in her racing hey-day.

But who is to say that she is not still just as good; still in the days of making hay?

After all, she has raced three times this year. Won over the slop at Churchill Downs in May. Won over a “good” track at Belmont Park in the G2 Ruffian in July. And, won over a fast track in the G1 La Troienne Stakes at Churchill Downs in September.

And, she has won them all by nearly 2 lengths — or more.

One last time around the oval? One last time for old times sake? One last time as a “girl,” before she becomes a “mom?”

Weep no more, my Lady. You have deserved this time to bow.

Here’s our look at the race:

  1. Monomer Girl (Tapizar — Drumette, Henny Hughes): She has won 12 of 14 lifetime starts, with two seconds. She has won a Championship or two. She is one of the best fillies and mares to ever stare through a bridle. How do you get off of her now? How?
  2. Ollie’s Candy (Candy Ride — Afternoon Stroll, by Stroll): This 5YO mare has raced 5 times this year — all in G1 events. She has 3 seconds and two thirds. No wins. Don’t think she can beat our top pick, even on her best day. But I do think that she is game and good right now, to boot. And, I do think she can run 2nd, again, at a very nice price. Just lost the G1 Spinster Stakes here by less than a length and had to go wide to get there. Will come with a test at the end. Deserves better. But some are destined to always be the bridesmaid?
  3. Swiss Skydiver (Daredevil — Expo Gold, by Johannesburg): She is coming off a huge win over KY Derby winner Authentic in the G1 Preakness Stakes. Perfect trip, to be sure. But a gutty one, too. Has raced 9 times this year. All at different tracks. But she returns to Keeneland today for the first time since running 2nd to Art Collector in the G2 Blue Grass Stakes. Granted, that was against the boys. But you have to make a note that it came over this dirt track, too. She will go shorter today and at 11/16-miles for the first time since she won the Santa Anita Oaks in June. No colts in here today, but there are a couple of fillies and mares in here that are much tougher than this crop of 3YO colts, too. One is Monomoy Girl. Another just may be Ollie’s Candy.

How Do We Play It?

Very simple here for me. I bet Monomoy Girl to win / place. I bet Ollie’s Candy across the board. I box Monomoy Girl and Ollie’s Candy in the exacta. And, I key both Monomoy Girl and Ollie’s Candy over/under the “all button.”