A Closer Look at the Kentucky Derby Post Position Draw

Gunnevera drew the No. 10 position for the Kentucky Derby.

By Vance Hanson, Twinspires.com

Halfway through Wednesday morning’s post position draw for Saturday’s Kentucky Derby (G1), the connections of 10 three-year-olds were surely nervous as the dreaded post 1 remained vacant on the board. Their chances of drawing it had been 5 percent at the start of the process, but now had drifted up to 10 percent. The chances continued to increase as other posts were filled.

Thankfully for most everyone involved, confirmed closer Lookin at Lee will break from the rail. Post 1 is still not overly ideal as jockey Corey Lanerie will surely have to take back perhaps more than intended soon after the start, but the 19 other Derby participants should be more or less satisfied with where they’re breaking from in the 1 1/4-mile classic.

The likely speed was favorably drawn. Fast and Accurate (3) and Always Dreaming (5) are expected to show early foot, with the classier Always Dreaming possibly having chance to outrun the former and secure the inside. State of Honor (6) and Blue Grass (G2) winner Irap (9) don’t figure to be far behind.

Morning line favorite Classic Empire (14) and Wood Memorial (G2) winner Irish War Cry (17), both of whom figure to employ stalking tactics, couldn’t have asked for better, though there is that historical curiosity that no horse has won the Derby from post 17…yet. There will be a gap between Classic Empire and co-second choice McCraken (15), who starts from the first stall in the auxiliary gate. The connections of the latter, a three-time winner over the Churchill surface, will have no complaints.

Perhaps drawing a little wide for comfort were Santa Anita Derby (G1) winner Gormley (18) and multiple Grade 1 winner Practical Joke (19), and much has been made already of Patch drawing post 20. A colt who lost his left eye before he even ran, his only view at the start will not be that of any of his rivals to his inside, but to the massive and loud throng along Churchill’s lengthy stands. That could make for an interesting break.

I was absolutely dancing into the Winner’s Circle. It was so exciting and Joel has been like one of my kids ever since he came from Bay Meadows. We tease each other a lot. We greet each other by grunting and everybody looks at us like, ‘what’s that all about’ but we’ve been doing it for years. So it’s wonderful to win with him. The owners are great people that really deserve something like this.

“This horse seems like he’s more adept at seven furlongs to a mile so I’m not sure he wants a mile and a quarter …

“I could tell my horse had won, but I was so excited in the stretch I thought I was gonna pass out.

“We are very happy with the way our horse had trained for this race, but it’s always scary when you get a look at those Baffert ‘Maseratis’, it pretty much unfolded the way we had hoped.

“The people that own this horse, they’ve got this colt a seven furlong-miler type maybe time will tell differently, but the other colt they are focusing on him going the two turns.”


More From The Pressbox Staff