Dave’s Handicapping Picks for May 3 at Churchill

Wednesday is here, and that means another full day of racing and handicapping at Churchill Downs. Here are my picks for May 3 under the Twin Spires.

Race 1- 5, Confederate Rags

I’ll take the 5 here, but don’t feel all that great about it. There’s not a whole lot to get excited about here.

Race 2- 2, Juliet Foxtrot (SCR)

The 2 loves running long-distance races and particularly loves Churchill Downs. Too bad he’s scratched. Don’t feel strongly about anyone else in Race 2.

Race 3- 3, Jury Wise

This tactical mare can stay close throughout the race and can win it in the end.

Race 4- 2, Sea Cloud; 6, Clair de Lune

Nothing particularly exciting in Churchill’s fourth race, so try an exacta with the 2 and the 6.

Race 5- 1, Greelys Charm; 4, P J’s Awesome

Greelys Charm came out at 5-1 and and P J’s Awesome was listed at 10-1. If you can get similar odds on both horses, I’d bet both to win.

Race 6- 6, Shezaprado

I’m conflicted between Shezaprado and the 7, Summertime Sky, but I’ll lean Shezaprado here.

Race 7- 1, I’m With Miller

The 7 gets lasix and has some ground to work in Churchill’s seventh race.

Race 8- 5, Crooked As Can Be

Crooked As Can Be qualified for this race last time out. He can move up here. The 4, Jack Tripp, will be his primary challenger.

Race 9- 6, Kasseopia

I expect to see Kasseopia battle the 9, Derby Champagne, down the stretch here. Kasseopia gets the edge, though.

Race 10- 6, Jacob Sings

Trying the first-timer over the 8 and the 9. Wouldn’t surprise me if either of them put in a good showing at all, though.

She really kicks into gear late. She’s a big filly and she’s obviously learned a lot, and we’ve made a lot of progress with her in the last three months and I was delighted. This was a much tougher race then she’d run in thus far. We were aware of that obviously, but she seems to step through every hurdle we give her. I’m very excited.

“We’re pointing towards the Gazelle and that would be the natural stepping stone to the (Kentucky) Oaks. I’ve never run in the (Kentucky) Oaks, and the possibility is very exciting.”

Linda Rice, trainer of Midnight Disguise

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