Dave’s Handicapping Picks for May 3 at Churchill

Wednesday is here, and that means another full day of racing and handicapping at Churchill Downs. Here are my picks for May 3 under the Twin Spires.

Race 1- 5, Confederate Rags

I’ll take the 5 here, but don’t feel all that great about it. There’s not a whole lot to get excited about here.

Race 2- 2, Juliet Foxtrot (SCR)

The 2 loves running long-distance races and particularly loves Churchill Downs. Too bad he’s scratched. Don’t feel strongly about anyone else in Race 2.

Race 3- 3, Jury Wise

This tactical mare can stay close throughout the race and can win it in the end.

Race 4- 2, Sea Cloud; 6, Clair de Lune

Nothing particularly exciting in Churchill’s fourth race, so try an exacta with the 2 and the 6.

Race 5- 1, Greelys Charm; 4, P J’s Awesome

Greelys Charm came out at 5-1 and and P J’s Awesome was listed at 10-1. If you can get similar odds on both horses, I’d bet both to win.

Race 6- 6, Shezaprado

I’m conflicted between Shezaprado and the 7, Summertime Sky, but I’ll lean Shezaprado here.

Race 7- 1, I’m With Miller

The 7 gets lasix and has some ground to work in Churchill’s seventh race.

Race 8- 5, Crooked As Can Be

Crooked As Can Be qualified for this race last time out. He can move up here. The 4, Jack Tripp, will be his primary challenger.

Race 9- 6, Kasseopia

I expect to see Kasseopia battle the 9, Derby Champagne, down the stretch here. Kasseopia gets the edge, though.

Race 10- 6, Jacob Sings

Trying the first-timer over the 8 and the 9. Wouldn’t surprise me if either of them put in a good showing at all, though.

The horse broke well today,” Gaffalione said. “I had the horse inside, Dunph, going to the lead and then (Gun It) showed a little bit of speed. When I saw they were intent on going I just tried to get him back and got him to relax. He came back to me nicely and settled well down the backside. Got a little keen going into the far turn and wanted to move a little early. But I didn’t want to take too much away from him so I tried to sit as long as I could. He was waiting on horses down the lane but I kept him at task and there was plenty of horse there.”

“Mark (Casse, the trainer) and his team have done a great job,” Gaffalione said. “They’ve had a ton of confidence in this horse the whole way. It’s just an honor to be able to ride the horse. He’s just so professional, trains great and he’s a pleasure to be around.”

Tyler Gaffalione, Rode of War of Will to victory in the G2 Risen Star Stakes at the Fair Grounds

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