|Day’s Results||8 / 3-4-5|
|2022 Overall — 1682||1682 / 567-620-798|
|Win % of Top Pick||33.71%|
|Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall||39.34%|
|2022 Only / Top Pick in the Money Overall — 1079-1682||64.15%|
|2022 Only / Top Pick in the Money @ CD 18-35||51.43%|
|2022 Only / Top Pick Wins @ CD 10-35||28.57%|
|2022 Only / “Key Horses” @ CD 3/0-2-0||00.00% Win / 66.67% ITM|
|2022 Only / Top Pick in the Money @ HI — 315-473||66.60%|
|2022 Only / Top Pick Wins @ HI — 166-473||35.10%|
|2022 Only / “Key Horses” @ HI — 64/26-9-7||40.63% Win / 64.06% ITM|
|2022 Only / “Key Horses” Overall 270/ 107-58-25||39.63% Win / 70.37% ITM|
|2022 Only / “Longshots of Day” @ CD 11/2-1-1||18.18% Win / 36.36% ITM|
|2022 Only / Longshots of the Day” @ HI — 7/2-1-2||28.57% Win / 71.43% ITM|
|2022 Overall / “Longshots of the Day” @ EP — 11/3-1-2||27.27% Win / 54.55% ITM|
|2022 Overall / “Longshots of the Day” @ KY Downs 3/0-3-0||00.00% Win / 100.00% ITM|
|2022 Only / “Longshots of Day” Overall — 44/9-7-5||20.45% Win / 47.73% ITM|
(Stats to be updated after Saturday night’s card is completed)
Here’s our looks for the Sunday “Fun Day” card:
1st: 5-2/1-4/3-6…Indimaaj (5) gets the nod in the ole’ lid-lifter on this Sunday “Fun Day” at the “big oval” in Louis Town. This 7YO horse ran so far back that they had trouble calculating the distance in the last outing at Saratoga. At last count, he was eaten over 45 lengths. That’s a toss for me and we see the horse drop to a career low price tag here. Has speed. Will use it early and often. Gets the barn’s go-to rider up for this one. What a Country (2) won the last time out over the slop at the same price level. Has run here 8 times previously, and has 2 wins and a third. Looks tough in this spot. I bet the 2 — take note — across the board and then box the 5-2 in the exactas. I will key the 5-2 over/under the 1-4-3-6 in two smaller units.
2nd: 8-3-4/2/7-6-1/5…Hill of Tara (8) has never hit the board in three previous tries over this main track. But the 2YO colt will be dropped into the MCL ranks for the first time and if he can duplicate the effort he had against Mo Strike on June 19? Look out here against this bunch. May like the longer distance here. Chelonian (3) ran poorly in the career debut at Horseshoe Indianapolis for a top barn operation. Gets the demotion immediately to this level. Has trained well coming in and picks up a new rider. Barn wins with .26% when getting blinkers for the first time and with .32% when going a route distance for the 2nd time. Airtime (4) flashed speed in the inaugural run, but spit the bit in that one. Drops here for a barn that has had a super year. Rider is up-and-comer, too. May like this longer distance, as well. I bet the 8-3 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exactas. I will key the top 3 numbers over/under the 2 in two smaller units.
3rd: 6/3-4/1-5/2…The first “Key Play of the Day” comes here with Forever After All (6). this 3YO daughter of Connect has run two nice 2nds in a row and if she improves at all? Watch out here. Dam of this one was a Stakes winner and has thrown 4 winners from 8 starters. Looks poised. I bet the 6 across the bad and then key the 6 over/under the 3-4-1-5 in the exactas. More with the 3-4 than the rest.
4th: 3-4-2/7/1-5/6…Gardenly (3) has won two in a row and has done both of those performances on cruise control at wire time. Trainer is one of the best young people in the game today and this one looks well placed, with one of the hottest riders in the world taking the job. Wow. Pistol (4) didn’t fare great over the hills and dales of KY Downs, but the four races before that were spot on. Two wins. Two seconds. Can’t dismiss here. Waywardness (2) has run mostly on grass and AW. In one lone dirt race to date, this one was a very game 2nd — by just a neck — at KEE. Encouraging. I bet the 3-2 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exactas. I will key the top 3 numbers over/under the 7 in two smaller units.
5th: 7/2-1/4/5-8-6/3…The next “Key Play of the Day” comes here with Cause to Cruise (7). This 3YO colt comes from the barn of Brad Cox and should appreciate the considerable drop in class. Finds a soft spot here. I like. A lot. I bet the 7 across the board and then key the 7 over/under the 2-1-4-5-8-6 in the exactas. More with the 2-1 than the rest.
6th: 7-3/2-5/4/6/1…Backsideofthemoon (7) won the last time out and that came here on July 1. Barn wins with .21% when away from the gate this long, and with a whopping .33% when dropping in class off a victory. Trainer is 2-1-1 in the last 6 outings and picks up the same rider who took on the win last time out. Air Attack (3) goes for a hot trainer, who does a great job for the Rigney Racing family. This one didn’t like the slop last time out at Saratoga. But the races before are certainly good enough to boost this one’s chances here. I bet the 7-3 across the board and then box these two in the exactas. I will key the 7-3 over/under the 2-5-4-6 in two smaller units.
7th: 7-4/6-3/1-9/2-8/5…Gut Feeling (7) is a 3YO gelded son of Blame and goes for a trainer having a solid year. Picks up a top rider, who has struggled a bit in this abbreviated meet. If this one can duplicate the last race effort? Will be a tough out here. Floki’s Flight (4) goes for a top trainer, who has won with over .20% of 384 starters this year. Sharp work on Sept. 18. Barn wins with .25% with beaten favorites returning to the fray. I bet the 7-4 across the board and then box those two in the exactas. I will key the 7-4 over/unde the 6-3-1-9 in two smaller units.
8th: 4-5-2/3-1/6…Magic Quest (4) looks to be the best here, by a length or two, if she can find her form off the long, extended layoff. Has not raced since last August. Barn can get them ready off the bench and the works are promising. But a lot to ask. Altered Shot (5) is good enough to win this one, too. This one has run 4 good ones in a row — which includes three wins. Gets a top rider back for the saddle job and he has won on this one twice in the last five outings. Look out. I bet the 4-5 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exactas. I bet the top 3 over/under the 3-1 in two smaller units.
9th: 2-1-9/8/3-6/5-7/4…Spankster (2) won the last time out at Ellis Park and has hit the board in 3 of 5 lifetime. Has talent and if he can get untracked in the early going, he has a way of carrying his speed. Return to a sprint distance is an interesting move. Barn wins with only .06% when taking this angle. Higher Standard (1) has faced tougher and comes in from Saratoga, where he has been close. Look for the one to do his best running late. My pick. I bet the 1 — take note — across the board and then box the top 3 in the exactas. I will key the top 3 numbers over/under the 8 in two smaller units.
10th: 12-7-(14)/6-1/(13)-8-10-11/2-3-9…Baby Got Backspin (12) has run two nice 2nds to start the career and looks like she will haver there first jump on these here. Barn wins with .33% with beaten favorites and a familiar rider gets back in the saddle here. Work on Sept. 21 was spot on. Looks the best. I bet the 12 across the board and then box the 12-7 in the exactas. I will key the 12 over/under the 7-14-6-1-13-8-10-11 in two smaller units.
Good Luck & All the Best / gene