Day Results 11 / 5-4-6
2020 Overall 1151 1151 / 414-377-471
Win % of Top Pick 35.97%
Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall 36.55%
2020 Top Pick in the Money –752-1,151 65.33%
Top Selection ITM / CD 47-65 72.34%
Top Selections Win / CD 24-65 36.92%
Top Selection ITM / KY Downs 25-42 59.52%
Top Selections Win / KY Downs — 15-42 35.71%
“Key Horses” @ CD 10-3-3-2 30.00% Win / 80.00% ITM
“Key Horses” @ KY Downs 7-3-2-2 42.86% Win / 100.00% ITM
“Key Horses” in 2020 156-53-37-23 33.97% Win / 72.44% ITM

A few winners. We went on a run of five in a row in the middle of the card. Not bad.

A few exactas. We had returns of $12.70, $14.10, $38.80, $9.70, $33.70, $7.20 and $11.80 (dead heat split this return) for each $1 placed. No real big deals. But solid. Not bad.

We were hoping for a big Sunday to splash down the weekend. But the rains have postponed today’s card at Kentucky Downs until this Tuesday.

So?

We move on to Indy Grand for Monday’s Card, which our very own Diamond Solitaire will make her 2nd career start. We are rooting. We are hoping. We are praying. And, we are wearing the right clothing for picture-taking, if you know what I mean.

Here’s a look at the next couple of days:

Indiana Grand on Monday, Sept. 14:

1st: 3-1-4/2-6…Barrier (3) goes for a barn operation that is winning at a .21% clip this meet, and that is with 103 starters. This one will be making the 2020 debut and also be making the first start for his trainer. The barn wins with .17% of those making the first start for the new operation, and with .14% coming off this extended a layup. Has been working nicely for the return and has 2 wins in 4 starts. By the way? Won the first two career starts. Choice. Big Fudge (1) has hit the board in all 5 career starts and picks up a top rider for this bout. Ran third here last time out and returns as a beaten favorite here. Barn wins with .18% of those. Work here on Aug. 27 was spot on. Can’t leave out. Maters N Taters (4) barn wins at only a .07% clip this meet and that’s with 102 runners, to date. Will cut back to the sprint distance here and that may help. In 4 tries at this distance, has a 1-1-1 mark. I bet the 3-1 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 3-1 over/under the 4-2-6 in two smaller units.

2nd: 7-5-1/3-6/8…My Interest (7) ran at Ellis Park last time out and scored a “Show” result at this same level. This group should be lighter, and the barn wins with .15% when shipping into a new facility. Rider is having a solid meet. Get Along (5) drops to the bargain bin for the first time since running here on July 30. That one was in the slop. Not his best surface. Could be a threat over a faster track condition. Chance. Brodytheoxman (1) has only one third in 4 previous runs here. Doesn’t look to be in front at any point of this one, but could get up in time to catch a part. I bet the 7 to win/place/show and then key the 7 over/under all the numbers listed in the exactas.

3rd: 1-7-6/8-3-5/2-4…Ragtime Blues (1) is our first Upset Special of the Day. This one made the first five starts of the career for Bob Baffert. Never worse than 2nd in those efforts and always close to the lead. Ran at Churchill Downs on Sept. 3 in the first ever start for the new barn operation. Never made any attempt. Whatsoever. Now, shows up here at 5.5-furlongs and gets one of this meet’s top riders. Working super since the transfer East. So what happened last time out? Doesn’t matter to me. This son of Union Rags — who cost $500,000 to purchase at the 2018 KEE September Yearling Sale — will air. At a nice price. Hidden Ruler (7) is another interesting choice. Son of Gemologist has a 3-6-1 mark in 20 starts and has totaled over $200,000 in earnings. Will stalk and push the pace. Is he good enoug? To be second, yes. Better Watch Out (6) drops in class for a clever barn operator. Has won with .14% of 93 starters this year and this one finished first last time out. Barn wins with .17% of those trying to repeat. And, with .16% of those making the 3rd start off the layoff. Could be a presence late. I bet the 1 to win/place/show and then key the 1 over/under the rest of the numbers listed.

4th: 2-6/10-9-5-4/8-7/3…Holly Go Lightly (2) ran a good one last time out to be third. Now, drops in class again and gets a distance where she is 2-2-1 in 7 starts. Blinkers added two races ago, and they appear to have helped immensely. Like the last work and looks poised. My pick. Pour Girl (6) drops in class, as well, for a barn that wins with .28% of those dropping this much in one swoop. IN 10 previous runs here, this one has a 4-2-1 record. Will be making the 2nd start of the 2020 season, and the barn wins with .11% of those making the 2nd start off a layup. Looks ready to push here. I bet the 2 to win/place/show and then box the 2-6 in one exacta. I will key the 2-6 over/under the rest of the numbers listed in two smaller units.

5th: 5/3-4-8/7-1-6…The first Key Play of the Day comes here with the Brad Cox pupil Runaway Dream (5). This one will be making the career debut, but the barn wins with .18% of first time starters and with .21% of those making the debut in the MCL ranks. Dam of this one has 8 winners from 9 starters and 1 Stakes winner. Works have been spot on. Looks to add up for me. I bet the 5 to win/place/show and then key the 5 over/under all the numbers listed in the exacta.

6th: 8-1-6/3/9-7-2-4…Cruel Summer (8) will get the girth tightened by trainer Tom Amoss, who is winning with a whopping .25% here this meet in 71 starts. Over those races, the barn has a record of 18-6-11. Wow numbers. This one didn’t run well last time out. But the race before? Was a very competitive 2nd as the favorite. Barn wins with .23% of those making the first start off this kind of layup and with .22% in the allowance ranks. Looks well-spotted here. Ready to Roll (1) ran in the G2 Risen Star Stakes at the Fair Grounds just two races ago. Now, the Triple Crown nominee gets to Indy Grand for this effort. Looks like he could be a force here against these kind and the last time he made the lead out of the gate? Won by 71/2 lengths. Look for this one to be asked for gas. Lots of it. Blanket of Roses (6) is another who was nominated to this year’s Triple Crown races. Has 2 wins on the resume, and I like that going in this condition. Trainer is having a solid meet, and this one nearly won the Rushaway Stakes at Turfway Park and over the AW back in March. Look for more out of this one today. I bet the 8-1 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the top 3 over/under the 3 in two smaller units.

7th: 6/9-2-1-3/8-4-5…Elusive Justice (6) is my second Key Play of the Day. Ran 2nd by a nose in the restricted Stakes race last time out and now has hit the board in each of the last 3 races and five out of the last 6. Will come from off the pace and will need some racing luck and room today. But gets a top rider to guide her through the maze. Love the chances here. I bet the 6 to win/place/show and then key the 6 over/under the numbers listed. I will also single the 6 over the “all button,” in one more effort here.

8th: 3-7/4-6-11-9/2-1-5-10/(13)…Elite Class (3) has been a different horse since he was converted to the grass just two races ago. Has yet to win over the grass course, but in two chances? Has two very nice seconds against much tougher. Now, drops to a career low level. Rider has won one of two for this trainer in the last 60 days and looks to be doing some of his best in the last few weeks. Ran 5th to Major Fed at the Fair Grounds back in January. Capable. Highland Boss (7) hit the board last time out when dropped into the MCL ranks. This 3YO son of Street Boss goes for a barn that wins with .14% this year and the last work was solid. Big chance. I bet the 3-7 across the board and then box those two in the exacta. Sternly. I then key the 3-7 over/under the 4-6-11-9-2 in two smaller units. I will key the 3 over/7 in the exacta.

9th: 9/10-5/4-7/6-8-1-11…Diamond Solitaire (9) is our baby. She is our racehorse. And, she is our best hope to have a really nice racehorse both today and tomorrow. She ran good in the debut, especially after the wayward start. We are hoping for more today. Ride along with us. We hope it is the ride of a lifetime. I bet the 9 to win/place/show and then key the 9 over/under all the numbers listed. I also key the 9 over the “all button,” in a smaller unit.

Kentucky Downs on Tuesday, Sept. 15:

1st: 7/5-2/4-6…The first Key Play of the Day on Tuesday will come in the first race at Kentucky Downs. I will saddle up with Telephone Talker (7). This 3YO son of Wicked Strong used to be trained by Chad Brown. IN the first 3 career starts, this guy had 2 seconds and a third. Was third last time out, but not close. Gets a new barn operator today, and he wins with .15% of those making the new debut. Gets the sport’s top rider today. Works are solid. Like the cutback in distance, too. Adds up for me. I bet the 7 to win/place/show and then key the 7 over/under all the numbers listed. I will also key the “7” over / under the “all button,” too.

2nd: 6-8-3/4-1-2/7-5…Gamblin Train (6) gets a huge class drop and this 4YO daughter of Bullet Train should be coming in the late going. Tough year for a top guy and one of the best trainers in the game. But the barn wins with .26% of those getting this big a class dump and this one certainly figures in this spot. I’m hoping for the barn operator and all the connections here. Barrel of Destiny (8) is a NY-bred who will be moving into the open ranks today. Last time — at about the same level and against other state breds — this one won two in a row at Tampa Bay Downs. In 24 lifetime tries over the sod? Has a 5-3-2 record. I use. Color Me Pretty (3) returns to the grass today after winning a race that was moved to the main dirt track due to heavy rains. In 10 turf moves to date, this one has a 4-3-2 record. Hard to argue with that and the rider, who is having another super meet. Has won with 2 of the first 9 mounts so far. I bet the 6 to win/place/show and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the top 3 over/under the 4-1 in a shorter version.

3rd: 3/10-5/9-8-7/1-4-2…The second Key Play of the Day comes here with Epicurean (3). This 2YO daughter of Speightster has never made the starting gate for good yet. But this one has spent the summer with trainer Wesley Ward at Saratoga and she has been knocking the stall door down and stopping the stop watch cold. Breeding suggest she will like the sod. Look out. Could be gone right off the bat. I bet the 3 to win/place/show and then key the 3 over/under all the numbers listed. I will key the 3 over/under the “all button,” too.

4th: 5-7-8/2-1-6-9…Zero to Sixty (5) is a 3YO daughter of American Pharoah, and won on debut at Saratoga on July 29. Went 5.5-furlongs that day at “The Spa,” and came from the back of the pack to breeze by them all and win by nearly 2 lengths. Many called this performance “eye catching.” Has returned South to work very well. Will face winners for the first time today, but the barn wins with .24% of them graduating up. Rider has won with 1 of 3 chances for this barn in the last 60 days. Look out. Moravia (7) came off a huge layup to run a very encouraging 4th last time out. If the 4YO filly improves at all with that conditioning, she will be tough her. Has been over “good” ground before and had a nice win in Ireland, too. Gets a top rider up to navigate this distance. Barn hits with .18% of those making the 2nd starts for the new operation. Jades Gelly (8) gets in for trainer Wesley Ward, who has been on a red-hot streak. Has won with 3 of 12 here, but also had 3 more thirds. This one ships in from Saratoga. Ran well to be 4th after some traffic issues. Race before that, she was right there at 6 furlongs at Belmont Park. Looks ready to pop the gate with a good one. I bet the 5-7 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exacta. I will key the 5-7 over/under the 8-2-1-6-9 in two smaller units.

5th: 5-1-2/8-10-9…Cashanova (5) drops into the claiming ranks and to a level where he has never raced before. The plunge in class should help immensely here and this one does have a win in 3 tries over the sod. Gets the barn’s go-to rider up and he has won with .32% of the last 28 mounts for the trainer. Last work was spot on and looks well-spotted here. Armchair Jockey (1) comes from the barn of Mike Maker, who is unloading the operation here. This one has been off since March, but has trained well of late for the return to action. Rider has won with .29% of the last 24 rides for this barn. Will be coming late. And, that style does well over this track. Kurilov (2) is another class-dropper. Barn hits with .12% moving from the dirt to the sod, too. Gets an interesting rider in the bike today. Should help, and this one ran much better against much better at Churchill Downs just two races ago. Don’t go to sleep here. I bet the 5-2 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exacta. I will key the 5-2 over/under the 1-8-10-9 in two smaller units.

6th: 6-5-2/3-8/4…Copper King (6) has been off since July, and will be making the career debut on the grass today for the barn of Steve Asmussen and the track’s owner, as well. Has run much better against much better in the past, and the drop into the claiming ranks for the first time has got to help, too. Barn wins with .16% with those making the sod debut. Dam of this one has 4 winners from 9 starters. Suggested (5) dropped to the $30,000 level last time out and nearly found success. Now, moves back up the class ladder for this one. Has 3 seconds and a third in 6 grass tries to date. Barn wins with .32% when moving up them a class order. Chance. Tiz Light the Way (2) is a first time gelding and gets back to the grass. In 4 previous runs over that surface, he has a second and a third. Should be salty at this level. Love the work at Churchill Downs in July. Shows some class and run, too. I bet the 6-5 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the top 3 numbers over/under the 3-8 in two smaller units.

7th: 5-4/1-6…By Your Side (5) started the career with grand style. Won the debut and then won the G3 Sanford Stakes. Has not won since. Sad. But did wake up a bit the last time out when catching the grass course at Ellis Park for the first time ever. Gets a nice rider switch here and the works of late are solid. If he can duplicate the last effort? Hmmm. My choice. Hay Dakota (4) is the ML favorite and could be the PT favorite, as well. The 7YO gelding ran a solid fourth last time out, despite being way wide and troubled in the late going. In 35 tries over the grass, this one has a 9-6-7 record. Experience. Tries. Good bet. I bet the 5 to win/place/show and then box the 5-4 in the exacta. I go stern in this spot. I will key the 5 over/under all the numbers listed and again with the “all button.”

8th: 5-9-2/4-10-3/6-7…Train to Artemus (5) is a first time starter for trainer Wesley Ward — who is on an absolute roll here. Has upped the win % to .25 now. Training well for the first try. Gets a rider who has won with .33% of the last 15 mounts for the barn. Should be about to grunt, and go. Palm Court (9) is another first time starter and this one goes for the hot barn of Mike Maker, too. This 2YO daughter is well-built for the grass surface and has attracted Jose Ortiz to the saddle. Work at Churchill Down’s training center on Aug. 31 was spot on. Look out. Bee Fast (2) could spice up the odds rack here. The 2YO Calumet Farm homebred ran 3rd on debut at Indy Grand on Aug. 20. Issues there. But has trained well since and the dam of this one has 3 winners form 4 starts — including 2 turf winners. Chance. I bet the 5-9 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the top 3 over/under the 4-10 in two smaller units.

9th: 3-2/5-4/6-1…$500,000 TVG Stakes…Mrs. Sippy (3) nearly won the G3 Way Stakes at Saratoga last time out. Has not raced over a soft cushion since arriving in NA, but has plenty of experience across the pond. Won once over a “good” course in France. Of the last 3 outs, has a win and two seconds. Ran second to Sistercharlie in one of them. Wow. Tough one to beat. Theodora B. (2) ships in for the eccentric trainer Michael Dickinson. Has started only 6 horses this year. Has won with 2 of them. One of them was this 5YO Ghostzapper filly, who captured the G2 Dance Smartly at Woodbine last time out. Did that from gate to wire fashion. Gets the world’s best rider in the saddle now. Has a win and a close second over a “good track.” I bet the 3-2 across the board and then box those two in the exacta. Stern. I key the 3-2 over/under the rest of the numbers — but more with the 5-4.

10th: 9-3-1/8-11-6-10/5/7-4-2…$400,000 Untapable Stakes…Mad Maddy (9) is my Upset Special of the Day. This 2YO daughter of American Pharoah has raced four times to date. All of them has finished with a 2nd place return. The last two have come at Saratoga and over the sod. The last one was over a “good” surface. Win time for this one is in the works. Today? Soon. Red Ghost (3) ran off to a 81/2-length win in the debut at Saratoga on Aug. 30. That was supposed to be over the turf, before it was washed to the main track. We are told that his Ghostzapper filly is much better on the sod. Wow. Will need to adjust to a soft footing, but talent is there. Obviously. Lady Goldstart (1) is another upset hopeful. She is 8-1 in the ML, too, and comes off a nose win in the debut at Ellis Park in the debut run. The trainer rarely wins at first asking. Normally, he takes his time to had training and maturity. But when he wins first out? Take note. Talent. Is. There. I bet the 9-3 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 9-3 over/under the 1-8-11-6-10-5 in two smaller units. Add another dose of “win” money on the 3. Or two.

11th: 8-10-5/6-1/7-3-11/9-2-4/12…$400,000 Music City Stakes…Finite (8) will return to the oval today after a layoff since March. This 3YO daughter of Munnings looked headed to the KY Oaks after winning 5 in a row — including 4 Stakes. Beat up on the 2YO Champ British Idiom in the G2 Rachel Alexandra Stakes at the Fair Grounds in February. But after running 4th to Bonny South in the G2 Fair Grounds Oaks, she was sent to the sidelines. Has been training well for the return. And, look back to where she broke the maiden. It was here. Over the grass. By nearly 5. She’s that good. Kimari (10) is one of my most favorite fillies in recent times. This gal, who has a 2-3-2 mark in 7 starts, can run them down and reel them in with the best of them. Has only one win in 5 tries on grass. But has never missed the board. Will be coming late. Will be coming with a new pilot. But they will be coming. Enola Gay (5) is a talented daughter of Uncle Mo who has a G2 win under her girth. Had no response at the marathon distance last time out. Now, cuts back to a better distance at 6.5-furlongs. Look out here. Could be a surprise at a nice price. I bet the 8-10 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 8-10 over/under the 5-6-1-7-3-11 in two smaller units.

Good Luck (both days) and All the Best (every day) / Gene