(A look worth savoring. A look at Diamond Solitaire on the move Monday at Indy Grand)
Friends and Family:
We didn’t get home until late last night, or early this morn. Which was it?
But it was a happy time. Our Diamond Solitaire won at Indiana Grand on Monday and we took time to enjoy the race and the aftermath, as well.
My long-winded explanation of why I do not have updated “Statistics” on my handicapping grid for you today.
But here are my selections for KY Downs on this wonderful “morning after.”
Hope we have a few winners today, too.
Kentucky Downs on Tuesday, Sept. 15:
1st: 7/5-2/4-6…The first Key Play of the Day on Tuesday will come in the first race at Kentucky Downs. I will saddle up with Telephone Talker (7). This 3YO son of Wicked Strong used to be trained by Chad Brown. IN the first 3 career starts, this guy had 2 seconds and a third. Was third last time out, but not close. Gets a new barn operator today, and he wins with .15% of those making the new debut. Gets the sport’s top rider today. Works are solid. Like the cutback in distance, too. Adds up for me. I bet the 7 to win/place/show and then key the 7 over/under all the numbers listed. I will also key the “7” over / under the “all button,” too.
2nd: 6-8-3/4-1-2/7-5…Gamblin Train (6) gets a huge class drop and this 4YO daughter of Bullet Train should be coming in the late going. Tough year for a top guy and one of the best trainers in the game. But the barn wins with .26% of those getting this big a class dump and this one certainly figures in this spot. I’m hoping for the barn operator and all the connections here. Barrel of Destiny (8) is a NY-bred who will be moving into the open ranks today. Last time — at about the same level and against other state breds — this one won two in a row at Tampa Bay Downs. In 24 lifetime tries over the sod? Has a 5-3-2 record. I use. Color Me Pretty (3) returns to the grass today after winning a race that was moved to the main dirt track due to heavy rains. In 10 turf moves to date, this one has a 4-3-2 record. Hard to argue with that and the rider, who is having another super meet. Has won with 2 of the first 9 mounts so far. I bet the 6 to win/place/show and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the top 3 over/under the 4-1 in a shorter version.
3rd: 3/10-5/9-8-7/1-4-2…The second Key Play of the Day comes here with Epicurean (3). This 2YO daughter of Speightster has never made the starting gate for good yet. But this one has spent the summer with trainer Wesley Ward at Saratoga and she has been knocking the stall door down and stopping the stop watch cold. Breeding suggest she will like the sod. Look out. Could be gone right off the bat. I bet the 3 to win/place/show and then key the 3 over/under all the numbers listed. I will key the 3 over/under the “all button,” too.
4th: 5-7-8/2-1-6-9…Zero to Sixty (5) is a 3YO daughter of American Pharoah, and won on debut at Saratoga on July 29. Went 5.5-furlongs that day at “The Spa,” and came from the back of the pack to breeze by them all and win by nearly 2 lengths. Many called this performance “eye catching.” Has returned South to work very well. Will face winners for the first time today, but the barn wins with .24% of them graduating up. Rider has won with 1 of 3 chances for this barn in the last 60 days. Look out. Moravia (7) came off a huge layup to run a very encouraging 4th last time out. If the 4YO filly improves at all with that conditioning, she will be tough her. Has been over “good” ground before and had a nice win in Ireland, too. Gets a top rider up to navigate this distance. Barn hits with .18% of those making the 2nd starts for the new operation. Jades Gelly (8) gets in for trainer Wesley Ward, who has been on a red-hot streak. Has won with 3 of 12 here, but also had 3 more thirds. This one ships in from Saratoga. Ran well to be 4th after some traffic issues. Race before that, she was right there at 6 furlongs at Belmont Park. Looks ready to pop the gate with a good one. I bet the 5-7 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exacta. I will key the 5-7 over/under the 8-2-1-6-9 in two smaller units.
5th: 5-1-2/8-10-9…Cashanova (5) drops into the claiming ranks and to a level where he has never raced before. The plunge in class should help immensely here and this one does have a win in 3 tries over the sod. Gets the barn’s go-to rider up and he has won with .32% of the last 28 mounts for the trainer. Last work was spot on and looks well-spotted here. Armchair Jockey (1) comes from the barn of Mike Maker, who is unloading the operation here. This one has been off since March, but has trained well of late for the return to action. Rider has won with .29% of the last 24 rides for this barn. Will be coming late. And, that style does well over this track. Kurilov (2) is another class-dropper. Barn hits with .12% moving from the dirt to the sod, too. Gets an interesting rider in the bike today. Should help, and this one ran much better against much better at Churchill Downs just two races ago. Don’t go to sleep here. I bet the 5-2 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exacta. I will key the 5-2 over/under the 1-8-10-9 in two smaller units.
6th: 6-5-2/3-8/4…Copper King (6) has been off since July, and will be making the career debut on the grass today for the barn of Steve Asmussen and the track’s owner, as well. Has run much better against much better in the past, and the drop into the claiming ranks for the first time has got to help, too. Barn wins with .16% with those making the sod debut. Dam of this one has 4 winners from 9 starters. Suggested (5) dropped to the $30,000 level last time out and nearly found success. Now, moves back up the class ladder for this one. Has 3 seconds and a third in 6 grass tries to date. Barn wins with .32% when moving up them a class order. Chance. Tiz Light the Way (2) is a first time gelding and gets back to the grass. In 4 previous runs over that surface, he has a second and a third. Should be salty at this level. Love the work at Churchill Downs in July. Shows some class and run, too. I bet the 6-5 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the top 3 numbers over/under the 3-8 in two smaller units.
7th: 5-4/1-6…By Your Side (5) started the career with grand style. Won the debut and then won the G3 Sanford Stakes. Has not won since. Sad. But did wake up a bit the last time out when catching the grass course at Ellis Park for the first time ever. Gets a nice rider switch here and the works of late are solid. If he can duplicate the last effort? Hmmm. My choice. Hay Dakota (4) is the ML favorite and could be the PT favorite, as well. The 7YO gelding ran a solid fourth last time out, despite being way wide and troubled in the late going. In 35 tries over the grass, this one has a 9-6-7 record. Experience. Tries. Good bet. I bet the 5 to win/place/show and then box the 5-4 in the exacta. I go stern in this spot. I will key the 5 over/under all the numbers listed and again with the “all button.”
8th: 5-9-2/4-10-3/6-7…Train to Artemus (5) is a first time starter for trainer Wesley Ward — who is on an absolute roll here. Has upped the win % to .25 now. Training well for the first try. Gets a rider who has won with .33% of the last 15 mounts for the barn. Should be about to grunt, and go. Palm Court (9) is another first time starter and this one goes for the hot barn of Mike Maker, too. This 2YO daughter is well-built for the grass surface and has attracted Jose Ortiz to the saddle. Work at Churchill Down’s training center on Aug. 31 was spot on. Look out. Bee Fast (2) could spice up the odds rack here. The 2YO Calumet Farm homebred ran 3rd on debut at Indy Grand on Aug. 20. Issues there. But has trained well since and the dam of this one has 3 winners form 4 starts — including 2 turf winners. Chance. I bet the 5-9 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the top 3 over/under the 4-10 in two smaller units.
9th: 3-2/5-4/6-1…$500,000 TVG Stakes…Mrs. Sippy (3) nearly won the G3 Way Stakes at Saratoga last time out. Has not raced over a soft cushion since arriving in NA, but has plenty of experience across the pond. Won once over a “good” course in France. Of the last 3 outs, has a win and two seconds. Ran second to Sistercharlie in one of them. Wow. Tough one to beat. Theodora B. (2) ships in for the eccentric trainer Michael Dickinson. Has started only 6 horses this year. Has won with 2 of them. One of them was this 5YO Ghostzapper filly, who captured the G2 Dance Smartly at Woodbine last time out. Did that from gate to wire fashion. Gets the world’s best rider in the saddle now. Has a win and a close second over a “good track.” I bet the 3-2 across the board and then box those two in the exacta. Stern. I key the 3-2 over/under the rest of the numbers — but more with the 5-4.
10th: 9-3-1/8-11-6-10/5/7-4-2…$400,000 Untapable Stakes…Mad Maddy (9) is my Upset Special of the Day. This 2YO daughter of American Pharoah has raced four times to date. All of them has finished with a 2nd place return. The last two have come at Saratoga and over the sod. The last one was over a “good” surface. Win time for this one is in the works. Today? Soon. Red Ghost (3) ran off to a 81/2-length win in the debut at Saratoga on Aug. 30. That was supposed to be over the turf, before it was washed to the main track. We are told that his Ghostzapper filly is much better on the sod. Wow. Will need to adjust to a soft footing, but talent is there. Obviously. Lady Goldstart (1) is another upset hopeful. She is 8-1 in the ML, too, and comes off a nose win in the debut at Ellis Park in the debut run. The trainer rarely wins at first asking. Normally, he takes his time to had training and maturity. But when he wins first out? Take note. Talent. Is. There. I bet the 9-3 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 9-3 over/under the 1-8-11-6-10-5 in two smaller units. Add another dose of “win” money on the 3. Or two.
11th: 8-10-5/6-1/7-3-11/9-2-4/12…$400,000 Music City Stakes…Finite (8) will return to the oval today after a layoff since March. This 3YO daughter of Munnings looked headed to the KY Oaks after winning 5 in a row — including 4 Stakes. Beat up on the 2YO Champ British Idiom in the G2 Rachel Alexandra Stakes at the Fair Grounds in February. But after running 4th to Bonny South in the G2 Fair Grounds Oaks, she was sent to the sidelines. Has been training well for the return. And, look back to where she broke the maiden. It was here. Over the grass. By nearly 5. She’s that good. Kimari (10) is one of my most favorite fillies in recent times. This gal, who has a 2-3-2 mark in 7 starts, can run them down and reel them in with the best of them. Has only one win in 5 tries on grass. But has never missed the board. Will be coming late. Will be coming with a new pilot. But they will be coming. Enola Gay (5) is a talented daughter of Uncle Mo who has a G2 win under her girth. Had no response at the marathon distance last time out. Now, cuts back to a better distance at 6.5-furlongs. Look out here. Could be a surprise at a nice price. I bet the 8-10 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 8-10 over/under the 5-6-1-7-3-11 in two smaller units.