|2018 Overall 1706||626-615-751|
|Win % of Top Pick||36.69%|
|Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall||38.92%|
|Top Selection ITM / CD Nov 51-84||60.71%|
|Top Selection Win / CD Nov 25-84||29.76%|
|“Key Horses” @ CD Nov: 18-5-4-1||27.78%|
It has been a tough to pick winners so far at this November Meet at Churchill Downs. We are sitting at about 30% through the first 84 races, which included the two days of this year’s Breeders’ Cup.
On the other hand, our top selection is performing quite nicely when you look at the percentage of those hitting the board. Over the same span of race, our top pick is hitting the first three slots on the board an average of nearly 61% of the time.
So, what to make of it?
Who knows, truthfully, other than a larger number of long shots are proving worthy adversaries so far this meet. And, we hit with one of those on Sunday, as well. We hit an exacta that returned $107.90 for each $1 wagered, and we also had a winner that returned $33.60 for each $2 bet across the board. Those kind of hits can cure a lot of ills, if you know what I mean.
We will be back later this week and take another swing at picking some winners.
Here’s a closer look at the current “Jockey Standings” after Sunday’s races were concluded:
|3||Irad Ortiz, Jr.||14||2||3||1||$2,792,000||14%||6||43%|
|6||John R. Velazquez||9||1||0||2||$1,535,230||11%||3||33%|
|7||Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.||69||9||14||6||$1,293,814||13%||29||42%|
|9||Ryan L. Moore||8||0||1||0||$1,030,000||0%||1||13%|
|10||Drayden Van Dyke||9||2||1||0||$1,019,520||22%||3||33%|
|11||Jose L. Ortiz||25||4||1||1||$1,000,762||16%||6||24%|
|12||William T. Buick||5||1||1||0||$890,000||20%||2||40%|
|13||Ricardo Santana, Jr.||55||8||8||13||$856,236||15%||29||53%|
|17||Corey J. Lanerie||55||6||9||10||$435,057||11%||25||45%|
|20||Julien R. Leparoux||38||6||5||3||$338,255||16%||14||37%|
(Stats Courtesy of Equibase)
Although some of the stats are a little skewed because of the purse money allocated for the two days of the Breeders’ Cup, the leading riders in terms of wins this meet is highly contested.
Locally based Brian J. Hernandez, Jr. tops the list so far with 9 winners from 69 mounts. He has an additional 14 seconds and 6 thirds on this tally sheet, and his horses have earned nearly $1.3 million this meet.
Just a win back in second is Richardo Santana, Jr., who normally rides first saddle for the well-connected barn of Steve Asmussen. Through the first couple of weeks of this November meet, Santana has amassed 8 wins, 8 seconds and 13 thirds in 55 rides to date, and his horses have earned over $856,000 in purses.
Apprentice Edgar Morales also has managed to get to the winner’s circle 8 times so far, with 9 seconds and 5 thirds in 55 rides. His horses have won nearly $400,000 in purse money.
Both Florent Geroux and Tyler Gaffalione are another win back in a tie for fourth with 7 wins.