McLean’s Final Handicapping Statistics for the Fair Grounds Winter/Spring Meet

Day Results13-6-3-3
2019 Overall 472472/180-176-236
Win % of Top Pick38.14%
Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall41.81%
2019 Top Pick in the Money –332 of 47270.34%
Top Selection ITM / FG Nov-Mar 461-65170.81%
Top Selection Win / FG Nov-Mar 257-65139.48%
“Key Horses” @ FG Nov-Mar 135-58-26-1542.96%
“Key Horses” in 2019 107-42-20-1239.25%

We finished the Fair Grounds’ Winter/Spring meeting with a bang — carving out 6 winners in the 13-race card.

We had winners that returned $12, $8.20, $15.80, $20.40, $9.40, $16.60 for each $2 placed across the board and we had exactas that returned $47.40 and $15.10 for every $1 played. We had a positive ROI on the final day with our straight wagers, but we lost money on the exacta plays.

We ended the meet with some real positive numbers, including a 70.81% for our top pick to hit the board. Our top pick won at a 39.48% clip for the entire meet, after we switched our handicapping ledger from Churchill Downs in late November.

We look forward to a few days off to sharpen the mind and the pencil.

We will see you next at the upcoming Keeneland Spring Meet.

Come on Spring. We sure could get use to seeing the sun.

All the Best/Gene


The horse broke well today,” Gaffalione said. “I had the horse inside, Dunph, going to the lead and then (Gun It) showed a little bit of speed. When I saw they were intent on going I just tried to get him back and got him to relax. He came back to me nicely and settled well down the backside. Got a little keen going into the far turn and wanted to move a little early. But I didn’t want to take too much away from him so I tried to sit as long as I could. He was waiting on horses down the lane but I kept him at task and there was plenty of horse there.”

“Mark (Casse, the trainer) and his team have done a great job,” Gaffalione said. “They’ve had a ton of confidence in this horse the whole way. It’s just an honor to be able to ride the horse. He’s just so professional, trains great and he’s a pleasure to be around.”

Tyler Gaffalione, Rode of War of Will to victory in the G2 Risen Star Stakes at the Fair Grounds
  • Gene McLean

    Gene McLean

    Gene McLean began his professional career in 1977 as a sportswriter and columnist for the Lexington Herald-Leader in Lexington, Ky., and was recognized as one of the state’s best writers, winning the prestigious “Sportswriter of the Year” honor in 1985. Now the President and Publisher of The Pressbox, McLean sets ...

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