(That’s Gene in the middle at the original site of the Man o’ War statute in Lexington. Photo was taken about 58 years ago)
|2020 Overall 158||158/55-46-59|
|Win % of Top Pick||34.81%|
|Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall||33.76%|
|2020 Top Pick in the Money –106-158||67.09%|
|Top Selection ITM / TP Winter-Sprng 97-144||67.36%|
|Top Selection Win / TP Winter-Spring 51-144||35.42%|
|“Key Horses” @ TP Winter-Spring 23-4-9-5||17.39% Win / 78.26% ITM|
|“Key Horses” in 2020 24-5-9-5||20.83% Win / 79.17% ITM|
The last time we teed it up at Turfway Park was last Saturday. We nailed it right down the middle of the fairway for about 300 yards. Five winners out of the 8 races carded and we brought home a little bacon for frying up this week.
Now, we are ready to embark on a new week, and a nice card of action for Thursday night. Here’s a look at our picks.
By the way, anybody figure out why we select certain photos to go with this “piece?” If you Direct Mail, text, email or send us a message and have the right answer, we will send you a Louisville Thoroughbred Society glass.
Now, back to our regular programming:
1st: 5-7-4/3-9-6…Stock Chain (5) gets the nod in the lid-lifter. Ran a solid race here on Jan. 16. Stalked and stayed. Just couldn’t get past the leader that night. In two starts here, has a second and a third. Hangs around the same level. Vunerable, to be sure. But attracts a top rider and the numbers on the pedigree suggest he will take to the plastic. Barn has a 2-1-1 mark in 7 starts this meet. Encouraging. Chance. B R Cooper (7) is an Indiana-bred who will face open company for the first time. Maybe ever. Does drop in class for this tilt. But barn knows where to spot them and this one picks up a solid rider for the local debut. Does not have a win in 19 previous runs, but does have 4 seconds and 4 thirds. Always around. Fat Maker (4) gets the meet’s top rider in the irons for the first time. Ran a nice race two starts back at Charles Town. Returned to run OK over the slop in West Virginia last time out in December. Hangs around the same level and moves to the AW for the first time tonight. I bet the 5-4 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I key the 5-4 over/under the 7-3-9-6 in two smaller versions.
2nd: 2-4-6/1-3/5-7…Channel Princess (2) has not run since Nov. 2 when third at Churchill Downs against much tougher foes. Has been training well at the Thoroughbred Center in Lexington and ships up with a real shot in this spot tonight. Daughter of English Channel has a win over this track and has solid pedigree marks for the AW surface. Will be making the first start for a new barn operation tonight, and the trainer hits with .10% of those making the barn debut. Ascender (4) drops in class and back to a level where she ran well at in New York back in the Fall. Rider has hit with .60% winners for this barn in the last 5 starts, and could be a nice addition to the exacta with the current odds price point. Tricky Tune (6) goes for a barn that has done well here this meet. Daughter of Into Mischief only cost $30,000 at the Fasig-Tipton Horses of Racing Age Sale last year. Ran a very nice se and for $15,000 last time out. Could be tough in this spot, too. I bet the 2-4 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will ket the top 3 over/under the 1-3 in two smaller versions.
3rd: 4-6-11/2-8/9-7…Stylish Kitten (4) will make the career debut for trainer Mike Maker. This daughter of Kitten’s Joy is out of a winning Broken Vow mare and could be a nice pick-up off the claiming wire. Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters and the trainer hits with .23% of those making the career debut in the claiming ranks. Homebred gets a rider who is 4-1-1 in the last 10 rides for this barn, too. My pick at a nice price in the ML. Holly Peach (6) drops from the MSW ranks to the $15,000 price tag and should like this company much better. Barn having a solid meet, with .19% winners in 58 starts. This rider, though, doesn’t help the percentages much. Has won with only .05% of the last 21 mounts for this barn operation. Sign of the Times (11) is a 3YO daughter of Animal Kingdom — who is a Kentucky Derby winner to have prepped over the Turfway Park strip. This one has run twice before against much, much tougher. Didn’t fare well in either. Gets the class plunge tonight and the trainer/owner puts the meet’s top rider aboard. Can’t dismiss at this price tag. I bet the 4-11 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 4-11 over/under the 2-8-9-7 in two smaller versions.
4th: 4-8-3/2-9-7/1A-1/5-6…Glass Eater (4) cost $50,000 as a yearling at the KEE September Yearling Sale of 2018. Will drop to a price tag of $10,000 tonight in the first try ever at the claiming ranks. Trainer knows how to win. Been hot of late, too. Look out here at a square price. Saddles this one up for Seth Hancock’s Cherry Valley Farm. Great connections and another that may be worth the money. Morning Darling (8) drops significantly for this tilt. Ran third against much tougher at KEE back in October. Been idle since then. Working OK for the return. but the barn is 0-for-28 this meet. Hmmm. Improbable Story (3) gets a class drop. Ran OK for awhile in the last effort and then spit the bit. Should relish the softer company here. I bet the 4 to win/place/show and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 4 over/under the 2-9-7-1A in two smaller versions.
5th: 5-12/2-6/11-1-8/7-9…Mo Mosa (5) is one of two horses in this race that are nominated for the Triple Crown. Wow. This son of Uncle Mo ran a nice 3rd here on Jan. 24 after running 2nd here on debut. Gets the blinkers for the first time and the barn hits with .19% of those. Goes from two sprints to a route distance tonight, too. The barn hits with .17% of those that go long for the first time. Looks the part. Probably low odds, but deserves it. Peerless Brown (12) is not nominated to the TC series, but the son of Blame looks well-intentioned for this spot. Ran third here when racing a mile on Jan. 16. Pushed the pace from the get-go and tired late. Should improve with the second start over the AW tonight. Dangerous here with the meet’s top rider aboard. I bet the 5-12 across the board and then box those two in the exacta. I will key the 5-12 over/under the 2-6-11-1-8 in two smaller versions.
6th: 3-5-6/4-1-7-9-8/10…Keyed On Top (3) drops back to the sprint distance tonight and to a distance where he has 5 wins in 9 starts. Love this angle for a barn that hits with .25% of those that go from a sprint, to a route, and back to a sprint. Race two back was a clear win. Sprinting. Take note. Dangerous here at a square price. Kid Perfect (5) is my Upset Special of the Night. The 6YO gelding lost it completely in the stretch last time out. But cuts back to a sprint tonight, as well. Two starts back was competitive at this distance. Barn wins at .13% clip on the cut back. At Guard (6) goes for a barn operation that knows where the winner’s circle is. Has hit with .21% of the last 346 starts. Has a 6-3-2 mark here in 30 mounts. This one won last time out here on Jan. 18. Barn hits with .29% of those trying to repeat in the claiming ranks. I bet the 3-5 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 3-5 over/under the 6-4-1-7-9-8 in two smaller versions.
7th: 3/4-2-1/8-6-5/1A-7…The Key Play of the Night comes right here with Kitten’s Cat (3). For those that like the “cat names” (Sak, are your reading?), this one has a double dose. Ran 5th in a Stakes event here on Jan. 17. Was way, way, way wide in that one, too. Gets a new rider who has won with .44% of the last 18 mounts for this barn. Looks like he will be closing best of the rest. Look out. May mow them all down and then some. I bet the 3 to win/place/show and then key the 3 over/under all the numbers listed in the exacta.
8th: 12-8-4/7-5-9/1-2…The finale tonight is a MCL event and I will go to the far outside and saddle up with West Glacier (12). This 3YO filly gets the meet’s top rider and this one has flashed speed in the past. Moves to a new barn tonight and the trainer has a 2-0-2 mark in just 7 starts here this meet. Has been facing much tougher in Chicago. Looks to have landed in a softer bed tonight. Two More Times (8) drops from a MSW level to the MCL $7,500 price tag tonight for a barn that underachieves with most. Gets a new rider who has hit with .30% of the last 10 starts for this barn, though. And, the works indicate this one could be ready off a long layup since last July. Dangerous. Smoky Kitten (4) is another first time starter for Mike Maker. Could be a nice night for “Money Maker.” Barn hits with .16% of those that start the career in the claiming ranks. Gets a top rider to take the reins. Works slow. But doesn’t have to possess much to factor here. I bet the 12-4 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exacta. I will key the 12-4 over/under the 8-7-5-9 in two smaller versions.
Good Luck & All the Best / Gene