Final Version: McLean’s Selections for Breeders’ Cup on Saturday, Nov. 7 & Oh, What a Start on Friday

Day Results 5/ 3-0-1
2020 Overall 1511 1516 / 533-513-646
Win % of Top Pick 35.16%
Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall 37.20%
2020 Top Pick in the Money –984-1,516 64.91%
Top Selection ITM / CD 40-61 65.58%
Top Selections Win / CD 19-61 31.15%
“Key Horses” @ CD 7-2-0-1 28.57% Win / 42.86% ITM
“Key Horses” in 2020 204-71-44-28 34.81% Win / 70.10% ITM

Wow.

What a start to the 2020 Breeders’ Cup, we had on Friday.

Five BC races.

Three winners.

And?

And?

We hit for exactas that returned $17.10, $83.90 and $299.90 for each $1 played.

Thank goodness for the “all button,” granted. But thank goodness for our three straight-up, all-out, perfect pitch winners, too.

Hope you were on board.

Now, we head from the appetizers straight into the main course. Here’s our looks at today’s card, and plays:

Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint:

4 BC Filly & Mare Sprint
Gamine Serengeti Empress Venetian Harbor Speech Sally’s Curlin Bell’s the One 4-8/10-9-6/1-3/7-2

 

  1. Gamine (Into Mischief — Peggy Jane, by Kafwain): This brilliant filly — who has found her way into trouble about as often as she has found the winner’s circle — is world class when she is able to stretch her legs. And, breaking from the #2 post, she will need to go fast and early — especially considering that this sprint is 7 furlongs and will be coming out of the chute. She has raced once at this distance. Won the G1 Test by 7 lengths. Will be facing older and will be facing better than she has ever eye-balled before. But she is capable. And, more some.
  2. Serengeti Empress (Alternation — Havisham, by Bernardini): Undoubtedly; without question; and unequivocally this is one of my most favorite horses of all time. Of. All. Time. She is classy. She is gritty. She has more guts and grind that many with more pedigree. And, she will fight you every inch of the way until the wire meets her nose. Today will be her last race before heading off to motherhood. I will be standing. I will be cheering. I will be saluting. And, I hope her affable and talented trainer, Tom Amoss, sheds a tear in celebration. In the end? They all will have to beat her to win this one. She won’t beat herself.
  3. Venetian Harbor (Munnings — Sounds of the City, by Street Cry): This 3YO filly is coming off a nice win over this track in the G2 Raven Run on Oct. 17. If this one can throttle back off the pace just a bit and can find a nice stalking position, she will have the first run at the two speedballs listed above. In 7 career starts to date, she has never finished worse than second. I don’t think she will be worse than that again on Saturday, and is my best possible pick to split the top two in the exotics. Was 2nd to Speech here in the G1 Ashland Stakes. But that was at the two turn distance of 11/16 miles. In two starts at this distance? She has a win and a second. Can’t afford to leave out.
  4. Speech (Mr Speaker — Scribbling Sarah, by Freud): This filly threw in a clunker in the G1 KY Oaks, which was won by Shedaresthedevil. But that was the only race where this gal has missed the board. She ran within a neck of Gamine at Oaklawn, back in the Spring, and she beat Venetian Harbor in the Santa Anita Oaks. So, the talent is definitely there. She has never run at the distance, but has the stalking style that may play very well with all the speed in this one. Keep an eye out here. In her only try at this track, she won the G1 Ashland Stakes. Not a bad checkmark in the resume.
  5. Sally’s Curlin (Curlin — Cabo Queen, by More Than Ready): This is the true and genuine “closer” in the race. Has a win and a third place finish in three tries at this specialty 7-furlong sprint distance, but truth be told? She is probably better at the flat mile and at Churchill Downs. But, don’t mistake either. She is not without a serious shot here — especially at the hitting the board here. She has one run. She has one quality, kick-butt run. And, it will come late. If it is not too late.

How Do We Play It?

I am betting Serengeti Empress to win/place and then keying Serengeti over/under the other others listed above. I will play hard with Venetian Harbor and Sally’s Curlin, in particular. Sentimental choice, to be sure. Heart strings, to be sure. But I just love Serengeti’s fight and spirit. She will go down in my book with the likes of Personal Ensign; Rachel Alexandra; Genuine Risk; Zenyatta. You get the idea. She will go down in history as one of my favorites. With win today against this bunch? She will go down in history as one of the best fillies of all time. She deserves that, in my book, too.

Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint:

BC Turf Sprint
Got Stormy Oleksandra Leinster Glass Slippers Imprimis Into Mystic 12-8-7/6-3/9-1-4-13/10-11-5-2
  1. Got Stormy (Get Stormy — Super Phoebe, by Malabar Gold): The “new and improved” Got Stormy has reinvented herself with the cutback in distance and now she rolls into her second straight Breeders’ Cup Championship Saturday with a huge chance to beat the boys and make a career statement that she is truly one of the best grass runners of her era. The win here over this track in the last out was amazing, as she blitzed home from next-to-last to grab the win by a nose hair at the wire. Jockey Tyler Gaffaliione may need to kick her into high gear just a bit sooner in this spot, but this gal has the mojo and the motor to get the job done. In 24 career starts over the sod, she has a record of 10-5-3 and has earned nearly $2 million now in purse earnings.  Would not discount.
  2. Oleksandra (Animal Kingdom — Alexandra Rose, by Caesour): This 6YO mare whipped the boys last time out, winning the G1 Jaipur at Belmont Park back in June. This deep, deep closer has raced three times at the distance. She has accumulated a record of 2 wins and 1 second for one of the best trainers to ever fit a halter over the head of a Thoroughbred. Won at Keeneland in October of 2019. Will be coming with a fury. Will need some racing room and some racing luck. But this one has a way of making her own luck, too. Has hit the board in 13 of 15 lifetime starts.
  3. Leinster (Majestic Warrior — Vassar, by Royal Academy): There is no horse in this race that loves the Keeneland green grass more than this 5YO horse. Going into Saturday’s event, he has hit the starting gate in Lexington four different times. He has gone to the winner’s circle three times, and ran a tough-beat 2nd in the other. This guy will try to stalk the early leaders and if he has able to carve out that kind of trip, he will get the jump on the true and later closers. That may be enough to propel this one to victory here. Again. The dam of this one has produced 5 different turf winners from 7 starters. And? Well, she has produced three Stakes winners, too. Not bad. Not bad, at all.
  4. Glass Slippers (Dream Ahead — Night Gypsy, by Mind Games): This British-bred filly is yet another female who will try to upset the boys in this 5.5-furlong sprint. And, she has the credentials to do it, too. In 16 starts in the career, she has a 6-3-1 mark. But look at the record when she sprints. In 5 races? She has 2 wins and 2 seconds. Has the most experience for a soft or heavy turf, and the grass courses here at this time of year will always carry a bit of moisture left over from the cool and chilly nights. There will be some cut to the ground. She should excel over it. Will get the Lasix for the first time, too. Doesn’t hurt. The dam of this one has thrown 6 turf winners from 9 states and has produced two Stakes winners. Pedigree is there. At 12-1 ML odds? Worth a shot.
  5. Imprimis (Broken Vow — Shoppers Return, by Put It Back): One of the top colts to make the field. Comes in off two wins in a row, and the runners who have prepped and won at Kentucky Downs have certainly returned to racing in other venues with a lot of success and power. This closer can kick it home with the best of them, too. The real question in this one is who will set the pace? Who will set it up for the late-runners? Is there enough speed to allow for a late rally? It’s a legit question.
  6. Into Mystic (Into Mischief — Loveofalifetime, by Medaglia d’Oro): Deserves a look here simply off the last two 2nd place finishes to Got Stormy. Last one was a whisker difference. Has only raced over the sod 4 times in her life. Has a 1-1-1 mark. Lacks experience. But doesn’t lack guts.

How Do We Play It?

We will stick with the proven commodity here in both Got Stormy, who has clearly relished the cut-back in distance and has reinvigorated her career, and Leinster. The mare will need to crank the motor up a tad earlier than maybe she likes. But she has the quality. She has the class. And, she may have the talent to win a Breeders’ Cup at her 2nd best distance. Leinster just simply loves this course. Loves it. And, you have to respect that. I will bet this duo to win/place and hit them hard in an exacta box. I will also key them both over/under the “all button” in two smaller units.

Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile:

BC Dirt Mile
Complexity Art Collector War of Will Mr Freeze Rushie Knicks Go 10-1-4/9-7-5/12-8/6–3-11

 

  1. Complexity (Maclean’s Music — Goldfield, by Yes It’s True): This 4YO colt is undefeated when racing at a mile distance. He’s a perfect 3-for-3. And, if those credentials are not enough to convince you that he is the horse to beat, just consider that the horse hails from the barn of Chad Brown. That’s the same guy who has won with .24% of his 632 starters this year. And, if that’s not enough? Just consider that Complexity is coming into the Breeders’ Cup off a near-miss 2nd to Win Win Win in the sloppy, G1 Forego Stakes and off a convincing win over Code of Honor in the G2 Kelso Handicap. He’s good at the distance. He’s trained by one of the best in the business. And, he’s really good right now, too. Adds up to formidable foe. The compromise is that he will break from the far outside in a race where the distance to the first turn is short and quick. Must break well. Must clear. Must get over closer to the rail. Lots of “musts.”
  2. Art Collector (Bernardini — Distorted Legacy, by Distorted Humor): As we wrote above, the Preakness Stakes was not a good race. Didn’t look the same. Didn’t act the same. Didn’t run the same. But this colt returns home to the place where he captured his biggest victory ever. So far. He has returned home and returned to training like the horse who won 5 in a row before the Preakness. He has returned home to find a much more comfortable post position that some of his critical rivals. On the downside, Art Collector will be moving up to face older horses for the first time on Saturday. Is he ready? He better be.
  3. War of Will (War Front — Visions of Clarity, by Sadler’s Wells): Over the last three races, trainer Mark Casse has geared one of his prized pupils up a major Stakes event over the grass. Makes sense. The pedigree certainly tilts that way. And, lo and behold, the colt won the G1 Maker’s Mark Mile right here at Keeneland, too. But instead of running in the Mile over the turf? Casse has opted to try the dirt. Again. This time, War of Will will go in the BC Dirt Mile. This is a distance that the colt has never run in a race before. Interesting. To be sure. But I think this may be one of the best Longshot Plays of the Day. The colt is talented. The colt has some speed. And, the colt certainly can tune it up on “Game Day,” too. I’m bullish on this one. Very bullish.
  4. Mr Freeze (To Honor and Serve — Heavenly Cat, by Tabasco Cat): At one time, and not so long ago, many would and could argue that this guy was and could be the best “Miler” in the world. He had won a G2 Stakes at Gulfstream Park at the distance. He had won a G3 Stakes at Churchill Downs at the distance. But, more importantly, many could also argue that this guy is the best “Miler” at Keeneland, in recent years. In total, he has raced over this track 3 times. Going into Saturday, he has 2 wins and a second and is coming off a rebound win here in the G2 Fayette Stakes — which was contested at 11/8 miles. Won’t be a surprise to see this one command the lead. And, he might have to — considering that he must break from the #9 hole just beside the expected PT favorite. The question will be if Mr Freeze fondness for this strip can help him hold off the others.
  5. Rushie (Liam’s Map — Conquest Angel, by Colonel John): This 3YO colt must move up to face the older ones for the first time, but there may not be a better time for him to give this jump a shot. He is coming off a huge win in the G2 Pat Day Mile — despite the fact that he not raced in nearly two months. In three career starts at this 1-mile distance? Has 2 wins and a second. Maybe has found his sweet spot.

How Do We Play It?

I am all in on Art Collector. He is coming home to the site of his biggest career win. He is coming home off one of his best and most impressive series of works. And, he is coming into this race with the same look and style that propelled him to 5 straight wins before the Preakness Stakes. He’s my pick, especially considering that Complexity drew the #10 hole on the draw. I bet Art Collector across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key Art Collector and War of Will over/under the “all button.”

Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf:

BC Filly & Mare Turf
Sistercharlie Rushing Fall Harvey’s Lil Goil Mean Mary Lady Prancealot Cayenne Pepper 2-6-9/4-12-14-1/10-11-13-7/13
  1. Sistercharlie (Myboycharlie — Starlet’s Sister, by Galileo): This mare has been one of the world’s best grass horses for the past three years. Over her career, she has made 17 starts and has amassed a sparkling record of 10 wins, 3 seconds and 3 thirds. Her career earnings now exceed $3.745 million. But there is there a dent in this one’s armor? Last year, she rolled into the Breeders’ Cup on a 3-race win streak and was the odds-on favorite to win the masterpiece again. She ran third in that one, failing to muster enough out of her customary late rally to catch the leaders. And? More troubling? She has returned this year to run just twice — finishing third in each of those, too. She still comes late. She still gives all. But is her “all” still good enough. I hope so. Sure would like to see this one go out with a huge victory. She has earned that.
  2. Rushing Fall (More Than Ready — Autumnal, by Forestry): This is the other formidable foe that will get the tack from the best “Brown” team that is not UPS. This filly is a Keeneland “expert.” She has run over this grass 6 times in her life. She has headed to the winner’s circle after 5 of them. And, she is a perfect 3-for-3 this year. On paper? Looks tough as parchment. But? There’s always a but…she is very speedy, and she will have to carry her speed to a distance that she has never run before. As in? Ever. Can she do that? Maybe. Just maybe.
  3. Harvey’s Lil Goil (American Pharoah — Gloria S, by Tapit): This is an improving 3YO, and she will step up to face older ones for the first time in her career today. That is never an easy task, especially when you consider the quality of this “older ones.” But she has a very nice stalking style and she has been on an absolute roll for trainer Bill Mott since getting over to the grass course on a more regular basis. Ran huge at KY Downs. Won over this course last time out in the G1 QE II Challenge Cup. Has a chance.
  4. Mean Mary (Scat Daddy — Karlovy Vary, by Dynaformer): This lady has a wonderful grass pedigree and in her career has never been worse than 2nd when running over the sod. Has speed too, though, and is likely to hook up early and often with Rushing Fall. Could be the downfall of both of them.
  5. Lady Prancealot (Sir Prancealot — Naqrah, by Haatef): This is my “Longshot Special of the Day.” The 4YO filly is a closer, but she won’t have to come from as far back as Sistercharlie. In fact, she should be about half as far back as the top pick In 20 lifetime starts over the sod, she has a 4-4-4 mark. But this year, she does not have a win in 5 starts. I just think that gal has the closing ability to be a tough out, if she can find the space for the final furlong of the race. Chance.
  6. Cayenne Pepper (Australia — Muwakaba, by Elusive Quality): My top pick from the Europeans. I use.

How Do We Play It:

I bet Sisterhcarlie and Lady Prancealot across the board. I will also spread a little love on Cayenne Pepper, too. I will then box my top 3 numbers in one exacta. I will key the 2 over/under all the numbers listed in two smaller units.

Breeders’ Cup Sprint:

BC Sprint
Whitmore Diamond Oops Yaupon CZ Rocket Collusion Illusion Firenze Fire 7-11-10/2-3-8-6-1-12/5-13-9
  1. Whitmore (Pleasantly Perfect — Melody’s Spirit, by Scat Daddy): The “Old Man” just ran 4th here in the G2 Phoenix Stakes on Oct. 2. Before that, he ran 7th in the G1 Forego Stakes at Belmont Park. Thus, I can understand some doubters looming. And, I can appreciate the 15-1 ML odds. But…And, there is always a “but.” But…This one ran 7 furlongs over a very sloppy track two races ago. For the most part, Whitmore does NOT do his best running over and through such conditions. Such is the life of a deep closer. And, last time out, in the Phoenix, the gelding was swung out a disastrous 6-wide in what can best be described as a rather interesting and compromising ride and journey. On Saturday, Whitmore will get the services of the best rider in North America — Irad Ortiz, Jr. Hmmmm. My pick.
  2. Diamond Oops (Lookin at Lucky — Patriotic Viva, Whywhywhy): Has raced at this sprint distance a total of 5 times in his career. Has 3 wins and a second. Just won the G2 Phoenix Stakes, too. May be the hottest sprinter — come sod or dirt — in the world, right now. Can close. Can speed. Can win. No doubt.
  3. Yaupon (Uncle Mo — Modification, by Vindication): Has raced four times in the career. All at this distance. All wins. Will be moving into G1 class category today and will move up to face older, too. Both are obstacles, and both are hills to climb. But this one has speed to burn and may go right to the front and not look back. Chance.

How Do We Play It?

I am going to bet the top two horses across the board and then box the top 3 numbers. I am going to key the top 2 over/under the “all button.”

Breeders’ Cup Mile:

BC Mile
Uni Ivar Circus Maximus Raging Bull Siskin Kameko 12-11/1-5-14-4/2-10-6-13/9-8
  1. Uni (More Than Ready — Unaided, by Dansili): At this 1-mile distance over the turf, Uni has raced a total of 11 times in her life. She has won 8 of them, and run third in two more. Try that on for mental size for just a second. Have you thought? Don’t think too much. Don’t over think it. Uni is amazing.
  2. Ivar (Agnes Gold — May Be Now, by Smart Strike): This Brizillian-bred mare is the newest shinny penny in the sandlot at Keeneland. Just about a month ago, she won the G1 Shadwell Turf Mile over this course, whipping two of Chad Brown’s finest in that affair. Now, she will get to face another one of Brown’s talented sod runners. Or two. Since coming to NA, she has run just four times. Has 2 wins. Has 2 sub-par performances. Seems she may be good — as in really good — every other race type. And, she gets the riding services of Joe Talamo. Hmmm.
  3. Circus Maximus (Galileo — Duntle, by Danehill Dancer): This one ran, perhaps, his worst race of his career last time out at Ascot. Was 10th in the G1 Queen Elizabeth II Cup, every pressing the pace early on. Has a 1-1-2 record in 5 starts this year, but just doesn’t look as sharp as he ran in 2019, when he posted 3 wins in 7 starts. Hmmm. But he did run 4th in last year’s version of this race as one of the PT favorites, even though he should much prefer this surface to the one at Santa Anita. Could upset the odds here.
  4. Siskin (First Defense — Bird Flown, by Oasais Dream): This is my “Upset Special of the Day.” In 7 career career starts, has 5 wins and has a win in 3 starts at the distance. But this one has “the look” coming in, off two tough struggles over the past two. Had traffic issues and troubles. But this one could find a nice spot over this turf course.

How Do We Play It?

I will key on both Uni and Siskin. I will play both of these across the board, and then box those two in the exactas. I will key those two over/under the “all button” in the exacta.

Breeders’ Cup Distaff:

BC Distaff
Monomoy Girl Ollie’s Candy Swiss Skydiver Valiance Point of Honor Dunbar Road 10-9-5/8-7-6/3-4-1/2
  1. Monomoy Girl (Tapizar — Drumette, Henny Hughes): She has won 12 of 14 lifetime starts, with two seconds. She has won a Championship or two. She is one of the best fillies and mares to ever stare through a bridle. How do you get off of her now? How?
  2. Ollie’s Candy (Candy Ride — Afternoon Stroll, by Stroll): This 5YO mare has raced 5 times this year — all in G1 events. She has 3 seconds and two thirds. No wins. Don’t think she can beat our top pick, even on her best day. But I do think that she is game and good right now, to boot. And, I do think she can run 2nd, again, at a very nice price. Just lost the G1 Spinster Stakes here by less than a length and had to go wide to get there. Will come with a test at the end. Deserves better. But some are destined to always be the bridesmaid?
  3. Swiss Skydiver (Daredevil — Expo Gold, by Johannesburg): She is coming off a huge win over KY Derby winner Authentic in the G1 Preakness Stakes. Perfect trip, to be sure. But a gutty one, too. Has raced 9 times this year. All at different tracks. But she returns to Keeneland today for the first time since running 2nd to Art Collector in the G2 Blue Grass Stakes. Granted, that was against the boys. But you have to make a note that it came over this dirt track, too. She will go shorter today and at 11/16-miles for the first time since she won the Santa Anita Oaks in June. No colts in here today, but there are a couple of fillies and mares in here that are much tougher than this crop of 3YO colts, too. One is Monomoy Girl. Another just may be Ollie’s Candy.

How Do We Play It?

Very simple here for me. I bet Monomoy Girl to win / place. I bet Ollie’s Candy across the board. I box Monomoy Girl and Ollie’s Candy in the exacta. And, I key both Monomoy Girl and Ollie’s Candy over/under the “all button.”

Breeders’ Cup Turf:

11 BC Turf
Magical United Arklow Channel Maker Lord North Tarnawa 2-7-1/9/6-3/8-10
  1. Magical (Galileo — Halfway to Heaven, by Pivotal): This 5YO mare will be taking on the boys today in the Turf Classic. But that is not something new for this gal, who has totaled up over $5.315 million in career earnings to date. The Aidan O’Brien trained mare has, in fact, rarely run against just fillies and mares. The last four Group 1 races she has competed in have all been against the boys and, in many cases, the men. And, she has held her own alright and all right. She has two wins, a second and a third in that mix. Overall, in 26 lifetime tries over the sod, Magical has a record of 12-7-1. Just as importantly, though, at this distance? She has raced just twice. Has a win. Has a second. Simply put, she is one of the world’s best grass runners of our time. If not for Enable, Magical may have been even more, hmmmm, magical. 
  2. United (Giant’s Causeway — Indy Punch, by Pulling Punches): This 5YO gelding is America’s best hope, IMO. In 5 starts this year, this guy has 4 wins and 1 second. The only time he was runner-up was two starts ago in the G2 Del Mar Handicap when he ran a head bob behind Red King. In 14 lifetime tries over the grass, this one has a sparkling record of 6-4-1. But, and here’s a key point, at this distance? Has raced twice. Has two seconds. Can he get over that hump? In this race? Against these types? Lot to ask, for sure. But the trainer of this one is one of the world’s best, too. Best trainers. Best people. Have to root for these guys.
  3. Arklow (Arch — Unbridled Empire, by Empire Maker): For awhile, it appeared as if this 6YO horse may have hit his peak and was aging a bit. After he won the G1 Belmont Park Turf Classic in 2019, Arklow went on a 5-race losing streak. He ran 8th in this event a year ago at Santa Anita. He wasn’t even close in either the G2 Elkhorn Stakes or the G1 United Nations this year. But going into the last race at Kentucky Downs, trainer Brad Cox did something rather unconventional for a horse this old and this accomplished. He changed the equipment. He added blinkers. Take note. He won the G3 Ky Downs Turf Cup in dramatic fashion and, by all reports, has been training lights out since then, too. Take a swing here. Take a chance. Old dogs = new tricks. Just maybe. I would NOT count out Brad Cox.

How Do We Play It?

I bet Magical and Arklow across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key Magical and Arklow over/under the “all button” in two smaller units. I’m beginning to like this “all button” thing. Especially in the Breeders’ Cup.

Breeders’ Cup Classic:

12 BC Classic
Tiz the Law Tom’s d’Etat Maximum Security Improbable Authentic By My Standards 2-4-10/8-9/3-7/1-6-5

 

  1. Tiz the Law (Constitution — Tiztiz, by Tiznow): The record will show — rather dramatically and emphatically — that I did NOT like this 3YO colt in this year’s “special running” of the Kentucky Derby. In fact, I was bullish on it. In fact, I kept telling people that a New York-bred had only won the greatest race on Earth one time in the firsts 145 years. And, that was for the same connections as this one. I kept telling people that it would NOT happen again. And, of course, I was right. LOL. Lucky prediction. But, just the same, I do think that Tiz the Law is the horse to beat today in what very well may be the best Breeders’ Cup Classic in history. If not the best horses? Certainly has to be considered one of the deepest. Take any of the top 6 horses in this one and you have a credible contender. But I will go with “The Law.” While never running over this track surface before, he has the style and the command of his style to be an absolute powerhouse here. And, to be honest, I simply don’t think that the colt loves or even likes Churchill Downs — the site of his only two career losses. Here? He has trained superbly. Here? He has drawn superbly. Here? He can use that perfect stalking spot perfectly. My choice. And, I think he draws away impressively. Not even close at the wire. My thoughts.
  2. Tom’s d’Etat (Smart Strike — Julia Tuttle, by Giant’s Causeway): This “old man” has one race over the Keeneland main track on this resume. Won the G2 Fayette Stakes here in 2019 by an easy 41/4 lengths. And, he has been a true powerhouse over the past two years just about everywhere. In that span, he has raced 10 times. Won 5 of them. Second on one occasion. And, third two more times. Lost to Improbable in the G1 Whitney up at Saratoga in August. But he stumbled at the great of that one and was farther back than normal. In the five times that rider Joel Rosario has been in the saddle? He has four wins. Not a bad ratio. Huge threat, if there is one.he
  3. Maximum Security (New Year’s Day — Lil Indy, by Anasheed): This is a horse that has endured many “troubles” in his life. Remember? How can you forget. The only horse in the history of the Kentucky Derby to be disqualified for an infraction during the race. And, no matter what you think, the Kentucky Stewards made the absolute right call and the only one that they could make. Has since gone through a horrid and tumultuous career while toiling in the barn of the disgraced and the indicted former trainer Jason Servis. But now there is a new lease on life. He is in the barn of the world’s greatest Thoroughbred trainer in Bob Baffert. And, in the first three starts, he has 2 wins. Didn’t run his best in the G1 Awesome Again in the last out. Granted. But today he is back in Kentucky. Back to redeem? Back to capture a glory that might have been? Back to win? I would not discount. In two runs at this distance, he has a win and a DQ. Maybe. Just maybe.

How Do We Play It?

I bet Tiz the Law and Maximum Security across the board and then I box the top 3 numbers in the exacta. I will key Tiz the Law and Maximum Security over/under the “all button” in two smaller units. I may take another dose on Tiz the Law, too.

Good Luck & All the Best / Gene

 

2020-11-07T07:48:06-05:00By |

About the Author:

Gene McLean began his professional career in 1977 as a sportswriter and columnist for the Lexington Herald-Leader in Lexington, Ky., and was recognized as one of the state’s best writers, winning the prestigious “Sportswriter of the Year” honor in 1985. Now the President and Publisher of The Pressbox, McLean sets the vision for the site and still finds time to handicap races, interview trainers and keep his finger on the pulse of the industry, More About Gene.

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