|Day Results||9 / 4-2-5|
|2020 Overall 642||642 / 224-206-257|
|Win % of Top Pick||34.89%|
|Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall||35.67%|
|2020 Top Pick in the Money –406-642||63.24%|
|Top Selection ITM / CD Spring-Summer: 90-150||60.00%|
|Top Selection Win / CD Spring-Summer: 48-150||32.00%|
|“Key Horses” @ CD Spring-Summer:12-6-2-3||50.00% Win / 91.67% ITM|
|“Key Horses” in 2020 84-28-19-13||33.33% Win / 71.43% ITM|
Productive day at the ole’ ball yard.
Four winners. Modestly priced. But winners.
Seven exactas. They returned $9.80, $11.80, $27.20, $71.10, $10.80, $11.60 and $78.80 for each $1 played. Nice.
And, we bankrolled are way into some cash reserves for Friday and the upcoming weekend.
Here’s hoping to keep it going and a look at the Friday card:
1st: 2/5-9/8-3-7-4/6…The first Key Play of the Day comes in the very first race with Drop Dead Gorgeous (2). This 4YO daughter of Strong Mandate is even-money in the ML and I look for her odds to plummet before post time. She has not won in 15 starts, granted. And, she has had plenty of good chances, granted. In fact, she has been favored in at least two races that I can see from the PPs, and is coming off a loss as the favorite last time out, too. But this gal looks much, much the best as she drops to an all-time low price tag. And, she has run two seconds in a row at a higher level. In this 15 starts, she does have 4 seconds and 3 thirds on the resume. Should finally graduate today. I bet the 2 to win (only). I key the 2 over (only) the 5-9-8-3-7-4 in the exacta.
2nd: 9-4-3/1-7-2/6…This is the day’s “Baby Race” for the 2YOs, and I will go to the far outside and land on Hulen (9). This son of Tapiture goes for a barn that is winning with .18% of its’ first time starters. Also, the sire scores with .18% of his first time starters. Works of late are nothing to write home about, but the move at Keeneland on May 13 was nice. Very nice. If he breaks straight, then he has a chance to air and clear here against this bunch. Looting (4) is aptly named. Right? This son of Violence comes from a dam who has 2 winners from 3 starters and 1 Stakes winner. The sire wins with .21% of those making the first start, too. Pedigree is there. Works OK over in Lex. Gets a top rider for the assignment. Our Commish (3) may be your choice if your are looking for value and price. This trainer has a third in only previous start here. Sharp work on June 6. Rider knows how to find the finish line first, too, and never gets first choice of the mounts. Live. I bet the 9-3 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. Tepid.
3rd: 6-1-5/4-1A-3/2-2B-7…The first grass event of the day is a 5-furlong sprint and I will give the slight edge to Just Might (6). This 4YO gelding has suddenly turned on the light bulb. Has hit the board in each of the last 7 tries and 9 of the last 10. Won each of the last two outs and has a 2-2-3 mark in 9 tries at this specialty distance. Love this trainer and how she conducts business. Pro’s pro. Rooting for this one. Bulletin (1) started out his career like a lightning bolt. Won the first 3 starts before running a game 4th in a Stakes here in April 2019. Has not been close since. Not really. But this will be his second career start for the new barn operation. Showed speed and tired last time out. Should be fitter for this one today. Look out. Fast Boat (5) has raced this distance 8 times, to date. Has a 3-1-2 record. Nice. Loves this course, too, with a win in two tries. Will be stalking and will have first shot at the top of the stretch. Chance. I bet the 6-1 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 6-1 over/under the 5-4-3-2 in two smaller units.
4th: 5-1-4/3-2/7…Oro de Tejano (5) goes for the red-hot barn of Robertino Diodoro. Doesn’t seem to matter where this barn calls home, they find a way to make the winner’s circle the second home. In 11 races here, has 5 wins. Wow. This one ran 5th here on May 22. Had some issues in that one. Look for a better run of it today. Admire (1) drops to a career low level for the barn of Dale Romans. Should like the company here better. Stretches back out in distance, and will have a shot at the wire — if good enough. Galindo (4) ran 2nd at this level last time out. Same effort makes him dangerous here today. I bet the 5-1 across the board and then box the top 3 in one exacta. I will key the 5-1 over/under the rest of then numbers listed in two smaller units.
5th: 12-(13)-10-9/8-4-6/5-7-(14)-1…Ronamo (12) is still looking for the first career win after 13 starts. Does have 7 seconds and 3 thirds and might be a lifetime maiden. But the 4YO drops to an all-time low price tag here and if he can throw the same kind of race as he did in the four straight 2nds? May be his day, after all. Draw the Line (13) could be dangerous if he draws in from the AE List. Drops to an all-time low, too. Could be a nice price at the windows. Instigated (10) and Vasariano (9) both have a chance here. The latter was nominated to the Triple Crown. Once, the connections had high hopes. I bet the 12 across the board and then box the top 3 in one exacta. I will key the 12 over/under the numbers listed in two shorter versions.
6th: 3-7-(10)/8-1/9-6/4-2…Ballagh Rocks (3) will be making his first start since March, but on class alone, the 7YO stands out in this bunch. Had serious issues in the G3 Appleton Stakes last time out. Don’t hold that against him. Gets a huge rider switch for this one and if he can negotiate a better trip, this one could soar at the wire. Set Piece (7) will make his NA debut for the barn of Brad Cox — who scores with .26% of those making the barn debut. Gets blinkers and Lasix. Gets in off a huge work here on June 7, too. Watch the tote board early to see how alive in the betting. I bet the 3-7 across the board and then box those 2 in the exacta. I will key the 3-7 over/under the rest of the numbers in two smaller units.
7th: 2-3-5/4-6/7-1…The Great Dansky (2) was claimed last time out by a barn operator who scores with .30% in the first race off the purchase. Gets a huge rider switch. And, in two of the three career races to date? Has found the wire first. Hidden Ruler (3) ran a huge one last out against much better. Tired and passed at the wire, spoiling a nice effort. Drops in class today and should improve with the shorter distance. Sacred Oath (5) is another live wire. Won last time out and was claimed, to boot. Barn hits with .30% of those making the first start after a purchase. Rider sticks despite the change in connections. I bet the 2-3 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 2-3 over/under the rest of the numbers in two shorter units.
8th: 5-9-7/2-3/6-8-4-12/1-10-1A-14…Today’s feature is a real dandy, and I will go with a horse that just may turn out to be a great one. Not good. Great. Earner (5) is my Upset Special of the Day if he stays anywhere close to the 6-1 ML odds, too. This sone of Carpe Diem cost $425,000 to purchase at the 2018 KEE September Sale. In the first start back in January, he ran 2nd to a very nice winner in Echo Town. Very nice winner. Next out, Earner won going away when stretched to two turns. If this one pops today — and he could impressively — then watch out for the Stakes races to come. KY Derby is not out of the question here, guys. Seriously. Wrecking Crew (9) is another long shot possible here. In 7 career starts, only has one win. But has 2 seconds and 2 thirds and has faced the likes of Thousand Words and Authentic. Stretches back out. Look out. Oxide (7) is another moving up off an impressive MSW win. Won here on May 16 on a wet-fast track, when it was moved from the turf. Maryland-bred will have to have his running shoes on today, though. Top two contenders here are the real deal. I bet the 5 to win/place/show. I go large. I box the top 3 in one exacta. And, I key the 5 over/under the “all button” in two more. Another round of the 5 may not be out of order, too.
9th: 4-9-10/(15)-6-3/(11)-7-5-(13)/8-(12)-(14)…The final race of the day is a 1-mile turf event for the MSW ranks. I go with trainer Chad Brown. Why not? In 17 starts here this meet, his horses have compiled a record of 5-4-2. That is a win percentage of nearly .30%. This one was off from November of 2018 until March. Came back running, too. If not for being steadied late in the lane, he may have won on the return. I look for a huge effort from this one today. Rochambeau (9) ran 2nd last time out at GP. Has hit the board in each of the last 4. Valid Point beat him before that. And, Valid Point is a good one. Take note. Fortuity (10) could spice up the odds rack here. Love the one previous grass race. Came flying late. Look for that move again. I bet the 4-9 across the board and then box the top 3 in one exacta. I will key the 4-9 over/under the 10-6-3-7-5-8. Throw in some of the AE horses if they can entry.
Good Luck & All the Best / Gene