|Day Results||10 / 2-4-8|
|2020 Overall 1491||1491 / 526-502-634|
|Win % of Top Pick||35.28%|
|Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall||37.16%|
|2020 Top Pick in the Money –968-1,491||64.92%|
|Top Selection ITM / CD 27-41||65.85%|
|Top Selections Win / CD 15-41||36.59%|
|“Key Horses” @ CD 5-2-0-0||40.00% Win / 40.00% ITM|
|“Key Horses” in 2020 199-68-44-27||34.17% Win / 69.85% ITM|
(What about this piece of photography-turned-art that was captured on Wednesday at Indiana Grand by our great friend and partner — Jamie Deno — and just before our very own Diamond Solitaire ran 2nd in the Indiana Stallion Stakes. Just wonderful. Just wonderful.)
We managed only a couple of winners on the Friday card, which had 10 events on full display for both a live TV audience and in-person fans. (Thanks Churchill Downs for allowing us on the grounds. It is nice to see horse racing again.)
While we didn’t hit the winner’s circle much, we did manage to boot home 8 exactas, though, and they returned the likes of $2.50, $18.50, $31.80, $21.50, $15.80, $19.20, $26.00 and $15.50 for each $1 played.
Those exotics helped soothe the loss of photo sessions in the circle.
Here’s a look at the Saturday card. Less than a week to go before Breeders’ Cup 2020. We will start posting some of our intel on the “Championship Event” come Monday.
1st: 6-2/3-5-4…Healing (6), who will get the saddle today from the talented Tom Amoss, looks to be the top contender in today’s lid-lifter. The 3YO gelded son of American will be making just the 2nd start for the new barn operation after being claimed at Indy Grand two back. Won that day for fun. Didn’t muster the same level of run against much better last time out at KEE on Oct. 3 and now drops to the lowest level since a 12-length win at Ellis Park on July 4. Working well. Gets a rider who has won with .14% for this barn over the last 22 rides. One to beat. Kadesh (2) is the ML favorite and could be a prime contender, too, if he can duplicate his last run at KEE on Oct. 8. Finished 3rd that day against $40,000 claimers. Drops to half that price today, and the barn wins with .18% of those making the 2nd start after a claim purchase. Has speed. Can and will use it early. Will be the one to catch. I will bet the 6 to win/place/show and then box the top 2 in the exacta. I will key the 6-2 over/under the 3-5-4 in two smaller units.
2nd: 7-1-2/3/6-9-4…Stellar Stiletto (7) will be getting class relief and a drop to the bargain bin in this event today. The 4YO filly is coming off a tiring effort last time out when facing tougher, but won here at this same level just two races back when she was claimed by the current connections. Barn wins with .06% of those on the 2nd start after a purchase, but this one worked lights out on Oct. 3. Looks ready. All Fact (1) has hit the board in each of the last four outings, and there’s no reason to believe that she can’t make another late run to be right there at the wire again. Rider has gone 4-1-3 in the last 16 mounts. Threat. I Dream of Lois (2) has raced over this surface one other time and finished 2nd. That was just three starts ago and with this jockey in the irons. Chance. I bet the 7-1 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 7-1 over/under the 2-3-6-9-4 in two smaller units.
3rd: 1-3/6-5/2-4…She Can’t Sing (1) may not be able to carry a tune, but she may be able to hum her way to a victory here. This 3YO daughter of Bernardini has been facing some salty characters over the 8 starts this year, but she appears to stand out against the likes of these today. Gets the Commonwealth’s hottest rider up and the work on Oct. 26 was spot on. Gerri B (3) ran a real good one here last time out at a huge price. Winner that day came right back to win again the next time out. Works are good. Looks to be the top challenger. I bet the 1 to win/place/show and then box the top 2 in the exacta. I will key the 1-3 over/under the rest of the numbers listed in two smaller units.
4th: 9-1-5/10-3/2-4/7-6-8…Midnight Jostar (9) will drop into the claiming ranks for the first time and this barn wins with .19% of those kind. Will be making the 3rd start off the layup, too, and the trainer scores with .20% of those. Deep, deep, deep closer will need some help navigating the final strides, but has ability. Justinthenickotime (1) goes for a red-hot barn operation right now, and the rider has won with .26% of the last 54 mounts for the trainer. Returns today as a beaten favorite, and the barn wins with .24% of those kind. Big shot here. I can’t leave off the ticket. Front Man (5) may offer some value to the ticket, as well. In 5 grass starts, has a win and a third. Chance. I bet the 9-1 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 9-1 over/under the 5-10-3-2-4 in two smaller units.
5th: 2-8-6/5-3-1/4-7…Klayton’s Kandy (2) drops into the MCL ranks for the first time today, and the barn wins with .20% when getting this kind of class relief. This 2YO daughter of Twirling Candy has flashed some speed in the last two outings, and she should relish the cutback in distance today, too. Barn wins with .23% of those going from a route to a sprint. Barn’s go-to rider up. Big shot here. Binge Watch (8) gets the class drop into the MCL ranks, too, and will add the blinkers for the first time. Barn wins with .18% when adopting the shades. Gets the meet’s top rider up. Big difference-maker in the bike. Emmyrates (6) comes from the barn of Brad Cox, who is having yet another great meet and year. First time starter and this one comes from a dam who has 4 winners from 5 starters. Barn has gone 9-5-3 in the last 25 starts. Take note. I bet the 2-6 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 2-6 over/under the 8-5-3-1-4 in two smaller units.
6th: 2-4-5/1A/7-1-3/6-9…Gold Standard (2) will be making the 2nd start off a layup for the Cox barn operation and they win with .27% of those. Returns as a beaten favorite, too, and they win with .30% of those kind. Rider has won with .28% of the last 74 rides for this barn. Adds up for me. Queen Nekia (4) has run two really good ones in row and won a Stakes event just two races back. In 9 races at this distance, this one has a 5-3-0 record. And, the barn wins with .33% of those returning as a beaten favorite. Will be coming late. Istan Council (5) drops in class for this one today after finishing 3rd against tougher last time out. Has the best dirt speed figures in this group and has a win and two seconds in 6 starts here. Chance. I bet the 2 to win/place/show and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 2 over/under all the numbers listed in two smaller units.
7th: 8-9/1-2-5/4-3-6…Value Engineering (8) will get his first start since nearly winning back-to-back races at Saratoga this summer. Been given a breather since then, and the barns wins with .27% of those returning from that kind of a vacation. Training well for the return. Gets a top rider up. And, won after a longer break in June. Can pop when fresh. Counter Offer (9) has raced here 3 times and has won 2. Has a win at the distance, too. Has not been close in any of the last 3 outings, but the win at Saratoga in July was impressive Work here on Oct. 27 was spot on. My first Longshot Play of the Day. I will do this: bet the 8 to win/place/show and then box the 8-9 in the exacta. I will key the 8-9 over/under the rest of the numbers listed in two smaller units.
8th: 8-7-4/10-11-1-3/6-9…Amusing Antics (8) is a 2YO daughter of Super Saver and is coming off a near-miss 2nd here on Sept. 4. The “Show” horse in that one came right back to win the next outing, and this one gets a top rider up for this one. Edge. Taqseemaat (7) is another from the barn of Chad Brown, and the trainer wins with .28% of those making the 2nd career start. Flashed a ton of speed in the opener before tiring late. Trainer and jockey have teamed up to go 4-1-0 in the last 8 mounts. Sharp work here on Oct. 23. Big shot. Easy to Bless (4) could add some spice to the odds rack. This one ran a nice 2nd in the career debut, but the rider flips to the #7 for this one. Interesting note, but this one could be right there at the wire. I bet the 8-7 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 8-7 over/under the 4-10-11-1-3 in two smaller units.
9th: 9-3-8/11-2/5-6-4-10/1-7…Endorsed (9) is dropping out of a G2 event into the allowance ranks here today. Nearly won a Stakes at Saratoga two back and was 2nd in a G3 five races ago. Class edge and training super for this one. Super. Crafty Daddy (3) faced Mr Freeze in the G2 Fayette last time out. Pushed the pace before fading late. Has raced in 6 Stakes events in a row and three of them Graded. Should appreciate the class drop here. I don’t dismiss. Captivating Moon (8) has raced over this track 5 times previously. Has a 1-2-1 mark on the resume. Guy knows how to train and the rider knows how to ride. And? This horse knows how to run. I bet the 9-8 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 9-8 over/under the 3-11-2-5-6-4-10 in two smaller units.
10th: 10-5-3/(11)-2-7-4/1-9…Better With Age (10) could give the #10 horse a win in the #10 race; just like the #9 could win the #9 race. This 3YO filly gets the drop into the MCL ranks. Last time here? Ran 2nd at Del Mar. Barn wins with .19% when getting this kind of drop. Will come running late in the proceedings and will need some racing room. Treaty of Paris (5) ran a good one here two back. Tossed in a clunker last time out when she missed the break. Look for more when going a route for the first time today. Barn wins with .17% of those. Teller to Sing (3) has hit the board in each of the last two outings and will make the third start off a layup today. Trainer excels with these kind. Wins with a whopping .29% that fit the category. I bet the 10-3 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the top 3 over/under the 2-7 in two smaller units.
Good Luck & All the Best / Gene