(Gene & LA at the Breeders’ Cup in Arcadia)

Total Day Results 10/ 3-4-5
2021 Overall 1,569 1569 / 595-560-750
Win % of Top Pick 37.92%
Payoff% of Top 3 Picks Overall 40.47%
2021 Top Pick in the Money Overall — 1069-1,569 68.13%
2021 Top Selection ITM / CD 16-21 76.19%
2021 Top Selections Win / CD 5-21 23.81%
“Key Horses” @ CD 0/0-0-0 00.00% Win / 00.00% ITM
“Key Horses” in 2021 238/ 108-54-23 45.38% Win / 77.31% ITM
“Longshots of Day” @ CD 5/0-0-1 00.00% Win / 20.00% ITM
“Longshots of Day” @IGR (10-30-21) 18/4-0-0 22.22% Win / 22.22% ITM
“Longshots of the Day” @ SAR (8-28-21) 4/0-2-0 00.00% Win / 50.00% ITM
“Longshots of the Day” @ KY Downs 19/2-1-2 10.53% Win / 26.32% ITM

Well, well, well. We picked things up on Wednesday, and we hope that bodes well, well, well for the rest of the week and the week’s end of the two-day Championships of the Breeders’ Cup, to be held Friday and Saturday at beautiful Del Mar Turf Club.

We missed the final Pick 5 in the final leg. We ran a head-bobbing third with Gigging. And, that’s what I felt like when our favorite missed in the finale. Gigged.

We did manage to score 8 exactas on the 10-race card and our top selection hit the board in 9 of the 10, as well.

Here’s hoping we can pick up some extra “cash money” and steam going into the big days.

And, here’s a look at the Thursday card:

1st: 3-5/2-1/6/4…Zoffa gets the call in the ole’ lid-lifter on Thursday. This 3YO gelded son of Zoffany comes into this one off two straight 2nd place finishes. Nearly won each of those over the grass course at Ellis Park. Has never run on fast dirt, but must do so here in this spot. If he can convert to the surface? Look out. Barn wins with a whopping .24% when making this surface switch. If good enough for them? Haney Boys (5) could be the beneficiary if the top pick does not pick up his feet on the dirt. This one is bred for the dirt and is coming off an extended vacation, as well. Barn wins with .13% when away from the gate this long. Picks up a solid rider for this spot. In 8 dirt starts, 0 wins. but does have a second and 4 thirds. Picks up pieces. I bet the 3-5 across the board and then box those two in the exactas. I will key the 3-5 over/under the rest of the numbers in two smaller units.

2nd: 3-6-7/1/4-5…We will try to nail the ole’ “3-3” double here by using Cypriano (3). this 5YO Louisiana-bred has faced open company in each of the last two. Ran much better here on Sept. 25 for top connections. Trainer is having a super year and this one could add to the table dressing. Barn wins when it drops this much at much at once to the tune of .29%. Take note. Sir Acealot (6) has hit the board in each of the last 3 outings and 4 of the past 5. Does not have a win here in four previous tries, but does have a win and a second at this distance. Chance with the class drop. Excursion (7) drops two more rungs in the claiming game here, and the barn wins with .28% when it does that. That’s instrumental. Has a win in three previous tries at this distance. Figures to be a factor at the wire. I bet the 3-7 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exactas. I will key the top 3 numbers over/under the 1 in two smaller units.

3rd: 1-2/6-4/3-5/7…Shippingport (1) gets the class drop for this $10,000 claimer, and the barn wins with .29% when lowering the asking price this much in one swoop. Nearly won on the grass at Indy Grand two back. Trainer is having a rough year. This could help some. Convection (2) will race for the first time as a gelding, and that could help about as much as the drop to the career-low price tag. Barns wins with .25% of the last 32 to drop this much at once. Also, this one drops off the claim. Barn wins with .37% of the last 19 to do that. Gets the meet’s top rider up, too. One to beat. Take note: I bet the 2 to win/place/show and then box the 1-2 in the exactas. I will key the 1-2 over/under all the numbers listed in two smaller units.

4th: 5-3-4/6-8/1/2-7…Marco Polo (5) will race for the first time under the new training operation, and the works indicate that this 2YO son of Empire Maker likes the newer connections. Barn wins with .21% when going from the MSW level to the MCL ranks. This one probably worth the asking price of $50,000. Especially when you consider that the owners paid $330,000 just a year ago. Zippin Gigi (3) drops two classes here, as well, and the barn wins with .25% of the last 12 to do that. Shorter distance could help here and the blinkers stay on. Chance. Wild Appeal (4) returns as a beaten favorite here and the barn wins with .21% of those. Nearly won the last two. Gets the meet’s top rider. One to beat. In fact, I don’t know if anyone can beat this one. I bet the 5-4 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the top 3 numbers over/under the 6-8-1 in two smaller units.

5th: 1/6-3-2/4/5…The first “Key Play of the Day” comes here with the railbird Cowan (1). This 3YO son of Kantharos has had an eventful year. After running so well as a 2YO on the turf, this one showed up on the dirt this year at Oaklawn Park. Ran two 2nds in Hot Springs before shipping to the desert of Saudi Arabia. Ran another 2nd there before moving on to Dubai. Not so lucky there, with a 10-place finish. Returned from a considerable layup to win here in September. Flashed speed on that day. In two starts here, this one is a perfect 2-for-2. Look out. Look. Out. I bet the 1 to win/place and then key the 1 over/under the numbers listed. More with the 6-3-2-4 than the rest.

6th: 7-8/1-2-6/3-4…Constitutional Law (7) is a subject matter for my beautiful wife the youngest graduate in the history of the University of Louisville Law School. How she ended up with me is a mystery to all. Weak moment on her part, to be sure. But this 3YO son of Tapit is no mystery. Has run two thirds in a row to begin the career. Should improve here in the 2nd start off a long layup. Barn wins with .12% of those. Gets the meet’s top rider. Works are spot on. Spot on. I’m in. All in. Jimmy Dan (8) has run two good ones in a row after a series of dull performances before that. Son of Kitten’s Joy is now a gelding and that may have helped with the concentration levels. Comes in off two nice races in a row and has a legit shot in this field of study. Rider has gone 3-for-3 for this barn in the last two weeks, too. I bet the 7-8 across the board and then box these two in the exactas. I will key the 7-8 over/under the 1-2-6-3-4 in two smaller units.

7th: 2-6-9/5/7/1-3-8-4…Shotgun Hottie (2) nearly won on debut here in September. Just ran out of time and space. Returns as a beaten favorite here, and this top barn operator wins with .26% of the last 264 to fit that category. Works are solid. Rider is the best in the biz here. Adds up. Zumra Bayou (6) spit the bit in the late yards of the debut run. Before that set very nice splits. Barn wins with .16% on the second try, and gets a top rider for this chance. Medley (9) is a 2YO son of Dominus and works out of the barn of HOFer Steve Asmussen. This one has two 3rd-place finishes in a row to set the career in motion. Could improve here. I bet the 2-9 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exactas. I will key the top 3 numbers over/under the 5 in two smaller units, too.

8th: 6-9-1/8-7/5-2-4/3…Bow Bow Girl (6) has raced 10 times in the career with a modest 1-1-1 record. But this daughter of Oxbow looks good in this spot and the career still can be very promising for this 3YO gal. Nearly won two races back on the dirt at Ellis Park. Swanage (9) looms a threat here, too. This 4YO English Channel girl has hit the board in each of the last 4 tries and 5 of the last 6. Only win, so far, has been on turf. What to make of that? More Romance (1) could be the surprise of the field. Just broke the maiden in Oklahoma by over 5 lengths. Trains are well done. Rider is the best in the business here, too. Adds up. I bet the 6-9-1 across the board and then I box those three in the exacta. 

9th: 4/7-8-6/3-5/1-2…This is my last “Key Play of the Day” on the card, and I will saddle up with Palm Cottage (4). This 3YO daughter of American Pharaoh is owned by the Oxo Equine Nearly won last time out at Churchill Downs on Sept. 17. Put in a long drive to do that. Faltered to a 6th when routing two starts ago, but the cutback to 7-furlongs should do the trick here. Top barn. Top rider. Top horse. Adds up. I bet the 4 to win/place and then key the 4 over/under all the numbers listed above. More with the 7-8-6. A tad less with the 3-5. Slighter in the final two. 

10th: 1-5-7/8-9-4/2/3-6…This is one wide, wide, wide open affair. I will saddle up with the railbird — Motion Picture (1). This 4YO colt is by Medaglia d’Oro and out of a Distorted Humor mare. This one is a home-bred for the ownership team of husband Gary West and bride Mary West. Son of Medaglia d’Oro and has run two solid-enough races if not spectacular or close to the front-runners. Winner of the debut came right back to win the next out. Has a chance in this spot. Fed Money (5) moves to the dirt for the first time since being entered on the mud at the Fair Grounds in March. Does have 2 turf seconds in 4 tries. If he can convert to the main track? Look out. Has speed. Cartier Cat (7) is my last “Longshot Play of the Day.” This one is a first time starter for a barn that wins with .12% of the 191 starts this year.Sharp work on Oct. 28. Top rider up. Dam of this one has 4 winners from 4 starters. Shot in a wide open affair. I bet the 1-7 across the board and then box the top three numbers in the exactas. I will key the 1-7 over/under the 5-8-9-4-2 in two smaller units.

Good Luck & All the Best / Gene