Total Day Results 13 / 7-6-7
2021 Overall 1,548 1548 / 590-553-739
Win % of Top Pick 38.11%
Payoff% of Top 3 Picks Overall 40.53%
2021 Top Pick in the Money Overall — 1053-1,548 68.02%
2021 Top Selection ITM / CD 85-117 72.65%
2021 Top Selections Win / CD 44-117 37.61%
“Key Horses” @ CD 21/10-6-2 47.62% Win / 85.72% ITM
“Key Horses” in 2021 238/ 108-54-23 45.38% Win / 77.31% ITM
“Longshots of Day” @ CD 15/2-1-3 13.33% Win /40.00% ITM
“Longshots of Day” @IGR (10-30-21) 18/4-0-0 22.22% Win / 22.22% ITM
“Longshots of the Day” @ SAR (8-28-21) 4/0-2-0 00.00% Win / 50.00% ITM
“Longshots of the Day” @ KY Downs 19/2-1-2 10.53% Win / 26.32% ITM

We had a good day — handicapping wise — at the grand Indy Grand Racing & Casino in Shelbyville, IN on Saturday. Had 7 winners on the 13 race card and we scored exactas on 8 of the races.

In addition…

Our very own Diamond Solitaire ran a huge second to Fireball Baby in the $150,000 Lady Fog Horn Stakes on “Champions Day” at the beautiful facility.

Our very own Diamond Solitaire was the only horse that was able to muster a rally from well off the pace all day.

Our very own Diamond Solitaire had to go 8-9 wide at the top of the stretch to run behind one of the best fillies she has faced in her life.

It was a very good day — horse owner wise, too.

Here’s our looks for Churchill Downs on the opening of its’ November race meeting on Sunday:

1st: 5-1-8/3-6/4/2-7…Rewire (5) is a 2YO gelded son of Mohaymen and will make his first start with the ultimate equipment change. Also, this one will route for the first time here and this barn wins with .29% of the last 207 to do that. Rider has gone 6-3-4 in the last 20 mounts for this trainer and the first career race nearly was a winning effort. Winner that day came right back to capture the next outing, too. Look for this one to be a real handful in this spot. Blunder (1) is my first “Longshot Special of the Day.” This 2YO tired against the better Rattle N Roll last time out. The latter one will be headed to Del Mar for the Breeders’ Cup. This one ran well in the previous two outings, as well. Gets a new rider here, and that could help this one. Work on Oct. 23 was spot on. Could come running late here. Hitting Bombs (8) had a horrific trip last time out and had no shot from the 7-wide position. Gets blinkers for the first time here, and the barn wins with .19% of the last 37 to get the shades for the first time. Barn wins with a whopping .43% when routing for the 2nd time. Look out. I bet the 5-1 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exactas. I will key the 5-1 over/under the 8-3-6-4 in two smaller units.

2nd: 8-6-9/4-1-7-3/5-2…Implosion (8) improved immensely in the 2nd career start and nearly pulled off the win here in September. Went in-between horses in that one, and that’s a tough “teaching moment” for a young 2YO. Love the breeding on this one and this barn wins with .24% when stretching out to the route distance for the first time. Look for more here. Butterbean (6) will be making the career debut for a barn that normally does NOT have them cranked up for the first go. but this one comes from a dam who has 2 winners from 2 starts and this one has been training lights out, too. Could surprise here. Cost a Fortune (9) gets the blinkers off for this one, and the barn wins with .30% of the last 20 to go to the post without the shades. Has been consistent in the first three outs and the dam was a Stakes-winner. New rider can boot them home. I bet the 8 to win/place/show and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the top 3 numbers over/under the 4-1 in two smaller units.

3rd: 5-4-6/1-2-9/3-7/8…Chasing Time (5) is a son of Not This Time, who is rapidly becoming one of the game’s best young sires. this one ran 4th on debut against another good one, who shows up in the Stakes later today. This one was the PT favorite, too. Has trained well. Has run good against a tough trip. Gets a new rider here, and looks poised for a good time in this spot. Mean Jakey (4) is another from the same barn of the HOF trainer. Ran 3rd on debut and had all kinds of traffic issues in that inaugural run. Gets the barn’s go-to rider up this time around and despite the cool hand of late, this rider is due. Connections paid a whopping $340,000 for this son of violence last year. Consider. O P Firecracker (6) nearly won the first time out at odds of nearly 35-to-1. Lost at the wire of that 6-furlong sprint. Barn wins with .17% on the second start and gets a huge, huge rider switch for this effort. Look out. I bet the 5 to win/place/show and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the 5-4 over/under the 6-1-2-9-3-7 in two smaller units.

4th: 9-6/7-3/1-4-2-8/5…Bourbon Heist (9) ran an impressive 4th in the G3 Iroquois Stakes here on Sept. 18. Lost to Major General in that one and was coming with a rush at the wire. Has had serious issues at the start of all four career races so far. If this son of Practical Joke can figure out a clear path? Look out. Talent is certainly there. Gets a new rider here and has been working lights out. Looks salty in this spot. Ten Gauge (6) ran up against Rattle N Roll last time out and that didn’t work out too well for this one. The latter, on the other hand, is headed to Del Mar for the Breeders’ Cup. In three career starts to date, has 2 seconds. Can carve out a good spot early and should be a tough out in the 2nd try at the route distance. Figures here. I bet the 9 to win/place/show and then box the 9-6 in the exactas. I will key the 9-6 over/under the 7-3-1-4-2-8 in two smaller units.

5th: 5-4-2/3-1…Rags to Riches Stakes…This is a 11/16-mile Stakes event that may propel some of these onward and upward towards the 2022 version of the Kentucky Oaks. I saddle up with Dressed (5), who is converting back to the main dirt track after two nice attempts over the grass. Won two back and nearly pulled off the victory in the G2 Jessamine Stakes last time out. Won the first time she was stretched out to two turns. Should like this one and the pedigree is one of the most versatile in the game. Gets a new rider who knows his way around this oval. Yuugiri (4) broke the maiden here at first asking on Sept. 17. Ran off to win by nearly 8 lengths that day. Daughter of Shackleford has the pedigree to love the extra ground and has speed to burn, too. Gets a top rider in these parts, and he is coming off a whirlwind meet at Keeneland, too. Look out. mama Rina (2) ran up against Juju’s Map in the G1 Alcibiades at KEE last time out. came running late and made the finish respectable. Will need to figure out the start a bit better. But if the new rider can get this one motivated a bit sooner? She has talent. I bet the 5-4 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the top 3 numbers over (only) the 3-1 in a smaller unit. 

6th: 2-3-4/1-5-6-7/8/9…Bicameral (2) ships in from Del Mar for her first race East of the Mississippi and will stretch out to the two turn distance of 11/16-miles, too. Has a veteran rider up for the assignment and has faced some real good ones in the G1 Del Mar Debutante in the last outing. Barn wins with .17% off this kind of a layup, and with .15% making the adjustment to extra distance. Threat. Princess Pauline (3) will make the 2nd career start for the HOF trainer, who wins with .22% on the second attempt. Well bet in the debut race, but that went sideways after a poor start. Should like the extra distance, too. Pedigree screams distance. Cupid’s Strike (4) ran over the slop in the career debut. Hopped at the start of that one and then was rushed to the leaders. Bad combo. Has worked great of late and looks like could be set on go here. I bet the 2-4 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exactas. I will key the 2-4 over/under the 3-1-5-6-7-8 in two smaller units.

7th: (13)-1-8-4/12-9-2/7-10/11-5-3…This is a MSW event to be contested fort the 2YOs at the 7-furlong distance. If Cyberknife (13) draws in from the AE List? Look out. This one won here back in September, but was disqualified and placed 2nd for interference in that debut run. Barn wins with .26% on the 2nd effort and with .34% with beaten favorites. Look to see if he gets in. If so, will be a single for me. That good. If not? Seal Beach (1) gets the nod. This 2YO son of Midshipman comes in off a 10th place finish. But that was in the G1 Breeders’ Futurity at KEE and he had a rough, rough beginning to that effort. Two times before, this one was 2nd. Gets a top rider back in the irons. Could roll in this one. General Strike (8) nearly won last time out as the PT favorite. Barn wins with .25% of the last 981 that return as a beaten favorite. Gave up the lead very late. Has real talent. Look out here. Unpredictable Bay (4) goes for a trainer, who I have never heard of before or know anything about. But this one has run 4 straight seconds coming in. At three different tracks, too. Work at Hawthorne on Oct. 23 was spot on. Spot. On. I bet the 13-1 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the 13 or 1 over/under the 1-8-4-12-9-2-7-10 in two smaller units.

8th: 2-1/4-7-5/6-3…Penny Saver (2) is the ML favorite, according to our good friends at Brisnet.com. This 2YO daughter of Super Saver comes in off a rough go of it in the G1 Alcibiades. Never had much of a chance or a serious run. But this one did win the race before over this track by a whopping 10 lengths. This one comes from a Stakes-placed dam and has run up against some real good ones, so far. May just air them from the get-go here. Rain Check (1) broke the MSW last time out over a wet-fast track at Churchill on Sept. 19. Came from off the pace and ripped away to a 4-length win at the wire. Love the rider, who is under-appreciated. I bet the 2 to win/place/show and then box the 2-1 in the exactas. I will key the 2-1 over/under the 4-7-5-6-3 in two smaller units.

9th: 3-2-10/5-4-8/7/1-6/9…Hoist the Gold (3) is the ML favorite and with good reason. Comes into this one off two seconds in a row and the last one was a near-miss. If fact, this one was moved up to the win after being bumped repeatedly in the stretch. Rider is the best in the Kentucky biz, these days. Works are solid. Barn wins with .21% when moving up to face winners for the first time. Dr. Perry (2) broke the maiden in a cakewalk last time out. Jumped to the lead right out of the gate and never gave another horse any chance of hope. Ran 5th to one of the game’s best 2YO colts in Jack Christopher two races ago. Play Action Pass (10) is my next “Longshot Special of the Day.” This 2Yo son of Cairo Prince was beaten just 41/2 lengths by Tiz the Bomb in the G2 Bourbon Stakes on the grass at KEE last time out. If this one can convert to the dirt with aplomb? Look out. I bet the 3-10 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the 3-10 over/under the 2-5-4-8-7 in two smaller units.

10th: 7-9/5-4-3/1-6-2/8…Street Sense Stakes…This is one of the better preps for the upcoming Kentucky Derby 2022 that will be held in November. Lucky Boss (7) is my next “Longshot Special of the Day.” This son of Street Boss comes in off a tough go in the G2 Bourbon Stakes. Popped through the gate before the race. Had traffic issues. Track bias shortchanged any serious effort. But two races before — over the main dirt track at Ellis Park — this one was right on time. Had a 2nd to Roger McQueen in the Juvenile Stakes and won a MSW effort. Work here on Oct. 22 was spot on. My pick. Red Knobs (9) just may be the 2nd best 2YO colt in this race for trainer Dale Romans. But this son of Union Rags has been in Stakes company before and I will give the edge to this experience. Will come late. Will come with a purpose. If this one can duplicate the last race effort? Look out. I bet the 7-9 across the board and then box those two in the exactas. I will key the 7-9 over/under the 5-4-3-1-6-2 in two smaller units.

11th: 5-9/(14)-4-12/10-8-7-2/3…The finale on Sunday will be a 6-furlong sprint in the MSW category for the fillies. I give the edge to Old Pho (5), who will be my last “Longshot Special of the Day.” This daughter of American Pharoah comes in off a near-miss 2nd here on Oct. 1. Edged at the wire in that effort. Race before, she ran a tiring 6th in the career debut at Saratoga. Daughter of a Stakes-winning dam and I am not convinced that the sod was the preferred surface. Work here on Oct. 22 was spot on. Looks promising. Eclipsed (9) is another solid choice at a square price. This one ran 2nd on debut and the winner of that one came right back to win the next outing, too. Looks like this one is ready to return. I bet the 5-9 across the board and then box those two in the exactas. I will key the 5-9 over/uneer the 14-4-12-10-8-7-2 in two smaller units.

Good Luck & All the Best / Gene