|Total Day Results||10 / 5-6-4|
|2021 Overall 1,526||1526 / 581-542-727|
|Win % of Top Pick||38.07%|
|Payoff% of Top 3 Picks Overall||40.41%|
|2021 Top Pick in the Money Overall — 1041-1,526||68.22%|
|2021 Top Selection ITM / CD 85-117||72.65%|
|2021 Top Selections Win / CD 44-117||37.61%|
|“Key Horses” @ CD 21/10-6-2||47.62% Win / 85.72% ITM|
|“Key Horses” in 2021 232/ 104-54-23||44.83% Win / 78.02% ITM|
|“Longshots of Day” @ CD 15/2-1-3||13.33% Win / 40.00% ITM|
|“Longshots of Day” @IGR (9-8-21) 14/3-0-0||21.43% Win / 21.43% ITM|
|“Longshots of the Day” @ SAR (8-28-21) 4/0-2-0||00.00% Win / 50.00% ITM|
|“Longshots of the Day” @ KY Downs 19/2-1-2||10.53% Win / 26.32% ITM|
We return to some betting action on Thursday with a return to the grand Indiana Grand Racing & Casino in Shelbyville, IN. And, we are overjoyed. For a couple of reasons.
First and foremost, our very own Diamond Solitaire will return to the races after a little respite, and a return to the allowance ranks for the first time in such a long time. We are hoping that the little vacation and the drop in class from the high-octane Stakes company will enable her to pick her head up and put it down first at the finish line. We delve more into that in our 8th race summary.
Secondly, we are just happy to be back to looking at Past Performances offered up by our good friends over at Brisnet.com and handicapping a few races along the way. We are hoping that we can have a field day after driving through, er, past (hopefully) the beautiful corn and soybean fields of Southeast Indiana. Pretty country. Ought to drive up someday. Pretty darn country.
While some of you may wonder why we’re are not offering up any selections for Keeneland, well, there is an easy explanation. Keeneland is the only track in Kentucky that does not retain us to offer up our picks to you all. On the other hand? Indiana Grand does.
So, here we are. Here are our looks at IGR on this Thursday.
And, here’s hoping that we all have a great day at the races.
1st: 6/4-5/2-1/3…The first “Key Play of the Day” comes in the very first race of the day at the beautiful and scenic Indiana Grand Racing & Casino. We go sturdy and strong with the even-money ML favorite — Rock Star Parking (6). This 3YO filly by Upstart comes into this one off a claim last time out — when she ran off to win her by nearly 5 lengths on Oct. 6. Finished with a surge that day and now will make the first start for the new barn operation — which wins with .09% on the first chance after a claim purchase. Barn does win with .29% of those trying to repeat ij the claiming ranks and this one looks pretty salty here. I am all in. I bet the 6 to win/place and then key the 6 over/under the rest of numbers listed above. More with the 4-5 than the rest.
2nd: 5-(13)/12-11-6/7-1-9-10/4-3/2-8…This is the first turf race of the day and here’s hoping that the rains dodge this course on this day and leave the horses to run on the preferred surfaces. This contest will be conducted at the sprint distance of 5 furlongs, and I go with Lunar Rocket (5). This 2YO son of Munnings comes from the barn of Brad Cox, who is winning with .25% of the first 99 runners here this meet. The colt will run with Lasix for the first time, and the barn wins with a whopping .31% of those kind. Also, this one returns as a beaten favorite off the debut run and the barn wins with .34% of those kind. Has been working lights out for this one, too. I am all in here, again. I bet the 5 to win/place and then key the 5 over/under the 13-12-11-6 in a rather strong way. I will key the 5 over/under the 7-1-9-10 in a lesser way.
3rd: 3-2/4-5-6-7/1…Winning Romance (3) is a Louisiana-bred daughter of First Samurai, and comes into this one off a 20-length win — that’s right, 20 — at Evangeline Downs. Did that against three other foes that day and over a muddy track. That was in June and the first race since March. Has been away from the gate nearly four months again. Can win off the bench and has a 3-2-2 mark in 8 career starts. This is the first against open company. Be interesting to see how this one fares at a short price. But the works are solid and the trainer has won with 3 of 6 here this meet. When he ships in, he means it. The Mary Rose (2) is an Arkansas-bred, who has done much of her best running and purse damage when facing other Arkansas-breds. But this 4YO filly by Macho Uno ran huge over the mud last time out at Colonial Downs in Virginia against open company. Yet, that was only against three others that day. The race before, this one tired and dropped back at the distance. Cuts back to a sprint distance here and that could help immensely. Last time out at 6 furlongs? This one won two in a row. Watch out here. I bet the 3 across the board and then box the 3-2 in the exactas. I will key the 3-2 over/under the rest of the numbers listed in two smaller units.
4th: 8-6/4-1-3-5/(11)/7-2/9-10…This turf event will be contested at the distance of 11/16-miles, and I will saddle up with Tropical Tornado (8). This 4YO gelded son of Noble Mission ran poorly here in the last outing when traveling over a “good” turf course. Spit the bit about half way through that tilt. Now drops into the MCL ranks for just the second time and the cheapest price tag ever. Should be salty at this level and the barn wins with .11% when making this kind of drop. Rider is red hot these days, going 6-2-4 in the last 24 mounts. Serious threat. Zoffa (6) is the ML favorite and will ship in from Louisville for this try. Race very well at this level last time out at Ellis Park, just missing at the wire as the PT favorite. Barn wins wins with .18% when shipping and with .17% of those coming off this type of layup. Works of late are good and the rider has won 3 of the last 7. Watch out. I bet the 8 across the board and then box the 8-6 in the exactas. Sternly. Stern. Ly. I will key the 8-6 over/under the 4-1-3-5-11-7 in two smaller units.
5th: 8/7-9-5-4/2/1-3/6…The second “Key Play of the Day” comes here with Turckin’ On (8). This 4YO gelded son of Fed Biz nearly won at this same level here last time out. Tired at the end and lost the lead, but could be a tough out here with the same pace scenario. Last time try was the first start in nearly two months. Could improve with a shorter distance here and in 9 previous tries here, this one has a 2-2-1 record. At this distance, though? Has 2 wins and a third in 3 tries. One to catch. One to beat. I bet the 8 to win/place/show and then key the 8 over/under the numbers listed. More with the 7-9-5-4-2 than the rest.
6th: 1-10-2/9-12/4-7-(13)-(14)/11…This is a 1-mile turf event and I will ramp up with the rail horse — Bia Bolt Runner (1). This is another runner by Noble Mission and this 3YO filly come in off a nice 2nd last time out here on Sept. 1. Was claimed in that one and will make the first start for the new barn operation. New trainer wins with .12% in the first try off the purchase and with .20% when running in the claiming ranks overall. Gets a new rider here and comes in off a very sharp work on Oct. 6. Looks poised. Princess d’Oro (10) is on the far extreme of the starting gate from our top pick, but this one should be coming from off the pace. Gets a rider switch and drops in class off the last try at Churchill Downs. Two races ago, when facing similar types to these, this one was 2nd. Should fit better here and could be a threat at the wire. Whats Up Sweets (2) comes from the barn of Brad Cox, who is having another super meet here. This one will route for the first time and the barn wins with .28% of those kind. Drops in class and will make the 2nd grass race ever. Barn wins with .32% of those kind. Works of late are solid and the rider wins with .36% of the last 28 rides for this barn. Wow numbers. Can’t dismiss. Take note. I bet the 1-2 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exactas. I will key the 1-2 over/under the 10-9-12-4-7 in two smaller units.
7th: 1-8/5-2-7/4-3/6…I’ll go back to the rail here for the second straight time for this 6-furlong sprint for the Indiana-breds. Chipofftheoldblock (1) ran last on Oct. 6 in the slop and going long. Didn’t long either the surface or the distance. Or both. Cuts back here and drops out of the Stakes company, too. In 14 career starts here? This one has a 7-2-2 mark. In 9 starts at this distance? Has a 5-3-0 record. last time in allowance company? Won by nearly 3 and easily. Odds-on favorite will be tough to beat. For sure. A Few too Many (8) is our first “Longshot Special of the Day.” This 3YO gelding won just two starts ago and then nearly defeated open company in the last sprint try here on Oct. 5. This one has 4 wins and 3 seconds in 10 career starts. On an “off track?” A perfect 3-for-3. Look for the track condition with this one. Could be a huge payout. I bet the 1-8 across the board and then box these two sternly in the exactas. Stern. Ly. I will also key the 1-8 over (only) the 5-2-7-4-3-6 in a smaller unit.
8th: 4/7-1-5-8/6/2…My last “Key Play of the Day” comes here with our very own Diamond Solitaire (4). Don’t get too excited if you plan on making serious cash at the windows. She is listed at 2-5 in the ML by our great friends at Brisnet.com. Don’t hold the last race against her. That was the fault of her overanxious and terribly impatient owner (blush). Two races ago, she nearly defeated her dear, dear, dear friend Pearl Tiara, whom she grew up with at Deerfield Farm. At this distance, Diamond has a win and a second in two previous tries and the lone loss was against Bumble of Love, who just ran a super star third in the Stakes last week. Should love the drop back into allowance company here, too. Working well. I’m rooting. I’m cheering. I’m hoping. I’m just loving this filly. After all, she ‘s ours. I bet the 4 to win (only). I key the 4 over (only) the 7-1-5-8-6 in the exactas.
9th: 4-2/6-7-10/8-9/1-5…As I always write, I know zero about Quarter Horses or how to handicap them or their breed’s races. However…that being written…My picks are winning at nearly an .80% rate and — somehow — my picks are running consistently well. So, don’t ask any questions. Just pick. here, I pick Vf Zip to the Moon (4), who is the ML favorite. Comes in off a near-miss 3rd off the last outing. Slow start in that one. If she breaks better and cleaner? Could be gone against this group. But? Always a but, right? I think my second “Longshot Special of the Day” has a real chance here, too. Sc Girlcrush (2) never ran a step last time out. But that one broke from the dreaded rail in that one and ducked in sharply towards the border. rider pulled this one up nearly to avoid the collision. Race before, this one broke from the #8 position and nearly pulled off the win. Race before that, this one broke from the #5 and nearly won that one, too. I think the move out from the rail should help immensely here. And, if she can run straight? She might just run them into submission. At a nice price. I bet the 4-2 across the board and then box those two in the exactas. I will key the 4-2 over/under the 6-7-10-8-9 in two smaller units.
Good Luck & All the Best / Gene