|Day Results||10 / 3-3-7|
|2020 Overall 1268||1268 / 451-420-524|
|Win % of Top Pick||35.57%|
|Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall||36.67%|
|2020 Top Pick in the Money –825-1,268||65.06%|
|Top Selection ITM / CD 106-152||69.74%|
|Top Selections Win / CD 55-152||36.18%|
|“Key Horses” @ CD 26-7-8-4||26.92% Win / 73.08% ITM|
|“Key Horses” in 2020 176-58-42-25||32.95% Win / 71.02% ITM|
(Diamond Solitaire in the winner’s circle after her last race)
There’s a lot to look forward to on this day. So much.
Our very own Diamond Solitaire — who broke her maiden by an eye-popping 10 lengths last time out (at least my eyes were popping) — will make her first Stakes start in the City of Anderson Stakes.
So, to get the jump on the excitement, I went ahead and handicapped the entire card for this coming Wednesday on this lazy Sunday. Don’t know what I will do to get through the next couple of days. Just biding my time and biting my nails.
So, in advance…
Here’s a look at the card at Indy Grand on Wednesday:
1st: 5-3-2/1-4…Apron Springs (5) gets the nod in the ole’ lid-lifter on the day. This 5YO Indiana-bred mare has raced here 8 times in the career. Has 3 wins and 2 thirds. At the distance, though, she has 3 wins and a third in just 5 starts. Didn’t fire last time out, but now gets a massive drop in class. Barn hits with .11% of those going into the claiming ranks for the first time. Meet’s top rider takes the reins for the first time. Look former out of this one today. Hypnotising (3) ran well in an Indiana-bred Stakes event last time out. Ran 4th in that one, but that was after being bumped at the start and having to go wide at the turn. In 10 starts here, has a 3-2-1 mark and won here just two starts back. Good right now. First Lady Maggie (2) goes for a barn operation that has won with .18% here this meet, and that is with 106 starters. Never won at the distance. Hmmm. I bet the 5 to win/place/show and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 5 over/under the numbers listed in two smaller units.
2nd: 1/4-5/6-7-3/8-2-9…The first Key Play of the Day comes right here with Verrazanointhesky (1). The 2YO colt is an Illinois-bred and comes in off a nice turf win at Arlington Park in the last outing. That was against open company, too, and was a marked improvement with the addition of blinkers for the first time. Trainer is having another super year and is winning with .30% in 82 starts here. Gets a rider who has won with .37% of the last 41 rides for this barn operation. Look out. May be gone early on. I bet the 1 to win/place and then key the 1 over/under the numbers listed. More with the 4-5. A little less with the 6-7-3. Even less with the 8-2-9.
3rd: 6-5/4-2-1-7/3…River Finn (6) will race in this one as a first-time gelding, and that may get the attention of this talented — yet troubled, somewhat — 3YO son of Pioneerof the Nile. In 9 career starts, has a win; a second; and two thirds. But the last two efforts have been miserable. If you go back to June, he ran a huge one at Churchill Downs against so much tougher. Now, this one finds the bargain bin for the first time in a massive class drop. Wake up time. Or else. Tom’s Last General (5) drops form the $15,000 level all the way to the “bin,” too. Ran well two and three races back. Not so much last time out. Moves from a sprint to a route in this one, and the barn wins with .14% of those. Also, the trainer wins with .23% of those getting this class relief, too. Work on Sept. 11 was spot on. Contender. I bet the 6 to win/place/show and then box the top two in the exacta. I will key the 6-5 over/under the rest of the numbers listed in two smaller units.
4th: 3-6-8/1-2/9-4…This is a 7.5-furlong event over the sod for the Indiana-bred fillies. And, there’s a few interesting ones in here, to be sure. I will give the edge to Swift Temple (3). This daughter of Temple City ran a solid 2nd here on Sept. 7. Closed from the back of the pack with a late rally. Lost by just a neck. Gets the meet’s top rider back in the irons for this one and the rider has gone 7-5-4 in the last 25 mounts. Serious. Tuckyourtaleandrun (6) ran just behind our top pick last time out. Moved late and from the back, as well. Could be more formidable here with a little better break. Dam has 3 winners form 4 starters — but 0 winners on the sod. Corsidat (8) will get her first race over the sod. Barn only hits with .08% of those making this surface switch. But has not been worse than 3rd in three starts so far. Will need to find a way to finish, while stretching out some, too. I bet the 3-6 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 3-6 over/under the rest of the numbers listed.
5th: 2-6/4-1-7/3-5…Class Riot (2) gets the nod here in a MCL event for the 2YO fillies. I go with the daughter of Jack Milton (since I have one of those, too). Just kidding. But I will go with here for two main reasons. One, she is getting the Lasix for the first time. Two, she is getting the blinkers for the first time, too. Barn wins with .14% of them. Three, she drops from the MSW ranks to the MCL for the first time and the trainer wins with .10% of them. And? She is trained by my great friend and great conditioner Buff Bradley. Adds up for me. Talented Tapper (6) will be getting the Lasix for the first time, as well. Gets a rider who has won with .20% here this meet, after 82 rides. Figures. I bet the 2-6 across the board and then box those two in the exacta. I will key the 2-6 over/under the 4-1-7-3-5 in two smaller units.
6th: 2-10-7/8-9-5/3-1-6…D D Seven Thirty (2) has been off since July, but is training OK for the return and the barn knows how to win off the bench — capturing .22% of those away from the races this long. Gets a rider who has won with .13% of the last 54 mounts for this barn. Could be a lot smarter with a return to the sprint distance, too. Winner of the last one came right back to win the next out. Looks the best. Cake Ina Can (10) has not won in 16 lifetime starts. Wow. But she has 5 seconds and two thirds. Must use under for me. Playful Justice (7) ran much better last time out, but the winners of the first two starts both came back to win the next out. Could spice up the odds rack with a good run here. Could be my first Upset Special of the Day. I bet the 2-7 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I also key the 2-7 over/under the 10-8-9-5-3-1-6 in two smaller units.
7th: 9/8-1-6/7-3/4-2…City of Anderson Stakes…This is it. This is the time. Our very own Diamond Solitaire (9) will make her Stakes debut in this spot today and we are hoping for a similar effort as her last run when she thrilled us all with a 10-length victory. We draw the same post position as the last time, and we get the meet’s top rider back up again. Thank goodness. We are going all in. Again. I bet the 9 to win/place/show and key her over the rest of the numbers listed. More with the 8-1-6-7-3.
8th: 6-2-7/9-4/5-3-1/8…Hillsdale Stakes…Betsdownletsride (6) gets the nod in the male version of the Indiana-bred Stakes event for the 2YOs. This gelded son of Sangaree has won both of his first two career starts and the last one came against open company. Trainer wins with .23% in Non-Graded Stakes races. Looks like he will press the pace in here. Private Union (2) will get the blinkers for the first time and the barn wins with .18% of those kind. Ran third in the debut and is still a maiden. But he was pinched at the start of that one and lost all chance for the real money. Still, came within 11/2 lengths of making the front at just 5.5-furlongs. Gets more ground today and should be a handful with a better break. Meet’s top rider sticks here. Look out. Mischieviousbud (7) won impressively on debut and then ran a nice 2nd against open company in the last out. Trainer has won with .22% of just 32 mounts this year. But this is one of them. Looks to be the speed. Can he carry it? I bet the 6-2 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 6-2 over/under all the numbers listed in two smaller units.
9th: 5-7-8/6-12-(13)-1/4-11-2-3…This is a 5-furlong sprint test over the grass to finish the day. Bombshell (5) gets the nod here. This 3YO son of No Nay Never ran a huge one at Saratoga in the NA debut last time out on Aug. 26. Will get the 2nd start off the layup and the barn wins with .18% of them. Dam of this one has two turf winners already out of the first 3 starters. Should be a tough out here with a little better beginning. Look out here at some nice odds. Millennium Force (7) will return to the barn of trainer Tom Amoss for this start, and she has a win and a second in three starts for the trainer. Barn has won with .25% at this meet this year, and that is with 75 starters. Rider has won with .30% for this barn operation. Has speed. Will try to burn from the get-go. Misty Blue (8) will try the turf for the first time and the barn wins with .17% of those kind. Has speed. If she can convert to the weeds? Watch out. I bet the 5-7 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the top 2 over/under the 8-6-12-13-1-4 in two smaller units.
Good Luck (to all of us) & All the Best / Gene