Day Results 10 / 3-7-5
2020 Overall 841 841 / 299-279-339
Win % of Top Pick 35.55%
Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall 36.35%
2020 Top Pick in the Money –534-841 63.50%
Top Selection ITM / SAR 6-10 60.00%
Top Selection Win / SAR 3-10 30.00%
“Key Horses” @ SAR 0-0 00.00% / 00.00%
“Key Horses” in 2020 111-38-24-16 34.23% Win / 70.27% ITM

We delved into the first day of 2020 Saratoga Race Meet on Thursday and we were able to boot home three winners on the 10-race card.

In addiiton, we got exactas that returned $24.20, $13.20, $51.25 and $23.00 for each $1 wagered.

We will not jump back in on any entire race card today, but we have a few races from both Saratoga and Ellis Park that we thought were interesting. At least, for us, interesting enough to handicap and wager.

Here’s are look at Friday’s “Select” races:


7th: 9-2-1/4-3/6-8…De La Rosa Stakes…This is a 1-mile event scheduled for the grass course, and the best trainer of sod horses in the entire world has 4 of the 9 horses entered in the race under his care and roof. Of course, we are talking about the “Green Man” — Chad Brown. I take three of his horses on top in this one — led by the 4YO Dansili filly Blowout (9). This one will be making the 2020 debut here today, but has run well off a layup before, and the barn hits with .29% of those returning from this type of a lay off. In three career races at the distance, she is 2-1-0. In 8 career races overall — all of which have been over the grass — Blowout is 3-4-1, too. Has the look of a winner, and most certainly should be on the front end from the get-go. If she is fit enough, is the main question. Poor Sahara (2) will be making the 2nd career start in NA after shipping over from France this year. Nearly won the NA debut last time out. Got a little leg weary at 11/8-miles, but does have 2 wins and a third in 5 tries at the mile distance. Has run over a soft turf in the past, as one might imagine. Gets Irad Ortiz, Jr., too, and he’s won with .30% of the last 37 horses for this barn operation. Look for more out of this one. Catch a Bid (1) moves up and back into the Stakes races today after easily winning on the lead at Churchill Downs last time out. The race before that one was the G3 Valley View at KEE last Fall, and she came from nearly last to almost win that one. Will shorten up to a distance where she is a perfect 2-for-2. Versatile type, and I think the rider will take a stronger hold and come a bit later today. It’s Brown time for me. I bet the 9-1 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the top 3 over/under the 4-3 in two smaller versions.

8th: 3-6-2/1-4-5…This is a 5.5-furlong tilt over the grass, and I will go with another Chad Brown pupil here in Lady Lawyer (3). This one is a perfect 3-for-3 over the All-Weather surfaces over across the pond, and has only 2 seconds in 3 tries over the grass, to date. But the North American debut was very solid for 7-furlongs and the cut-back in distance should help this one today. Gets a top rider to help close out the effort, too. Work here on July 10 was spot on. Look out. Turf War (6) used to be in the barn of Chad Brown, but now resides under the roof of trainer Christophe Clement. Has not run in 2020 so far and only had one win and one third in 4 tries last year. But the win came at 6 furlongs over the grass at Belmont Park. Works are encouraging, but may need a race, too. I bet the 3 to win/place and then key the 3 over/under all the numbers listed in the exactas.

9th: 9-3-5/2/10-6/8-7-1…Shine Again Stakes…What a nice field of fillies that has been assembled for this 7-furlong Stakes event over the main track. I will give the edge to the on-again, off-again Blamed (9). This Maryland-bred daughter of Blame won four starts back and then bombed the next time out in the G3 Hurricane Berti. Came back to win two races back and then returned to bomb in the G1 Ogden Phipps. May be ready for another power play here. Has only one second in 4 tries at the distance, but has speed to burn and gets Irad Ortiz, Jr. for the first time. Salty. Positive Spirit (3) has not raced since clipping heels and hitting the ground in last year’s G1 KY Oaks. Has been switched to a new barn and has been working well for this return to racing. Has a third in one try at this distance and that was in the career debut here in 2018. If she can break clean? Look out. Good one at my Upset Special of the Day at 12-1 ML odds. Indian Pride (5) is the ML favorite and comes from the barn of Chad Brown. Name sound familiar? Has two nice wins in three career starts and now will gets Stakes company for the first time. Looks like she has the speed to roll along with the best of them in here. Can’t leave out. I bet the 9-3 across the board and then box the top 3 in one exacta. I will key the top 3 over/under the 2 in two smaller units.

Ellis Park:

3rd: 6-8-2/1-11-5-4-12/(14)-9-7-10…Into the Sunrise (6) returns as a beaten favorite after a really poor performance in the career debut at Gulfstream Park on June 20. After pressing the pace in the early going, this 2YO son of Into Mischief threw out the parachute. Winner of that event came right back to win the next outing and now this one moves to the grass for the first time. Surface change could help, considering that the dam of this one has a turf winner and 7 winners from 8 starters. I’m willing to give another chance — especially considering the trainer wins with .21% when moving to the sod for the first time; with .20% of those making the 2nd career start; and has a super work at KEE on July 9. I’m all in here. I bet the 6 to win/place/show and then key the 6 over/under all the rest of the numbers listed. More over/under the 8-2-1-11-5-4-12.

5th: (8)-3-2/6-4/7-1-5…If this one comes off the grass and goes to the main surface, I have to give the edge to Inthemidstofbiz (8), who is entered for the “Main Track Only” for trainer Cipriano Contreras. This one has a 3-1-0 resume over a fast dirt track and has a second in only try over an “off” main track. Has the speed to roll here. If it stays on the sod, this one is a major test for many. I give the slight edge to Hidden Facts (3). in 7 tries at this distance, only one win. But 2 seconds and a third. Has run two good seconds in a row as the beaten favorite in each. Burns money? Dixiecandyland (2) could be a nice upset candidate. Has a 2-2-2 mark in 7 starts at this 5.5-furlong distance. Same record over the grass, as a whole. Gets Corey Lanerie back up. My pick. I bet the 8 or 2 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in any case. I will key the 8 or the 2 over/under the “all button” in two smaller units.

7th: 3-4-(10)/7-2/6-8/9-5…Sense You Left (3)