Total Day Results 8 / 2-3-1
2022 Overall — 16 16 / 7-7-5
Win % of Top Pick 43.75%
Payoff% of Top 3 Picks Overall 39.58%
2022 Only / Top Pick in the Money Overall — 12-16 75.00%
2021-22 Turfway / Top Selection ITM 81-138 58.70%
2022 Only / Top Selection ITM / TP 12-16 75.00%
2021-22 Turfway / Top Selection Win / TP 54-138 39.13%
2022 Onky Turfway / Top Selections Win: 7-16 43.75%
2021-22 “Key Horses” @ TP 18 / 8-3-2 50.00% Win / 72.22% ITM
2022 “Key Horses” @ TP 4/ 3-0-0 75.00% Win / 75.00% ITM
“Key Horses” Overall in 2022 4 / 3-0-0 75.00% Win / 75.00% ITM
2021-22 “Longshots of Day” @ TP 14 / 1-1-2 .07% Win / 28.57% ITM
2022 “Longshots of Day” @ TP 0 / 0-0-0 00.00% Win / 00.00% ITM

Won the first two on the Friday night card and then got blanked over the next 6. Ho. Hum.

Here’s our looks for Saturday night’s card:

1st: 4-1/9/10-(14)/5-11/8-6-(13)-3…Lucky Lizzie (4) has run four good ones in a row and has a couple of wins and a couple of 2nds in that span. Now? Gets the top billing in the ole’ lid-lifter on this Saturday night in Snowville. Nearly, won at this same level last time out on Dec. 17. Led all the way to the wire before being headed at the line. Blinkers come off here and the trainer wins with .23% of those kind. This will be the 2nd start off a layup, and the barn wins with .27% of those. Top rider takes the return mount. One to beat. For sure. Kitten Rocks (1) drops to the bargain bin here after a nice run last time out. Jockey takes the mount on our top pick over this one. Has raced here twice before. No placings, as of yet. I bet the 4 to win/place/show and then box the top two numbers in the exactas. I will key the 4 over/under the 1-9-10-14-5-11 in two smaller units.

2nd: 11-9-12/1-3-(13)/6-5-10-(14)/2-7/4-8…Princess Nina (11) gets the saddle from one of the top trainers at the Turfway Park meet. Barn has won with .28% of the first 18 starters, and has 4 more 3rds to show on the resume. Gets a rider who knows his way around the oval, and will drop to half the asking price of the last event here on Dec. 23. Closed to be a threatening 3rd in that one. Barn wins with .37% when dropping this much at one time. Returns as a beaten favorite, too, and the barn wins with .22% of those kind. Look out. Ann in the Middle (9) goes for the barn of Ken McPeek, who is winning at a .13% rare here this meet. This one won the last time out, but loses that condition for this effort. Gets a rider who has won with .33% for this barn over the last 60 days. Seemed to like the AW surface last time. Coming from nowhere to somewhere. Moonlight Rain (12) goes for a barn that has won with .27% this meet and the rider is the meet’s top gun. Won the last time out here at this same level. Barn wins with .17% when returning a winner from the last out. Will close from a nice stalking position and that seems to be the preferred method over this track of late. Threat. Big one. I bet the 11-12 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the 11-12 over/under the 9-1-3-13-6-5-10 in two smaller units.

3rd: 7/3-9-6/2-8/4/1-5…The first “Key Play of the Night” will come here with Caramelito (7). This 5YO son of Medaglia d’Oro cost just $77,000 at the Fasig-Tipton Horses of Racing Age Sale last year. Not a bad price for this one, who drops to the $25,000 claiming level here. Has been running against much, much, much tougher. If this is not a dumpster fire, then he should fit with these very favorably. Look out with the meet’s top rider up. I bet the 7 across the board and then key the 7 over/under all the numbers listed in the exactas. I will use more with the 3-9-6 than the rest.

4th: 10-5-8/3-9-2-6/4-7/1A…A very nice field has been assembled here for this fine event. I will give the edge to Robinhill (10), who won the last time out to break the MSW at the Fair Grounds and over the turf course. This barn wins with .26% when moving up to face winners for the first time and the barn wins with .29% in the 2nd start off the layup. Has speed. Can burn And, comes in off a very sharp workout on Dec. 31. Beautiful Empire (5) cost a nifty $320,000 at the 2020 KEE September Yearling Sale. Has raced 3 times to date, and broke the MSW last time out over this surface. Now, this one gets Lasix for the first time. Barn wins with .20% when moving up to face winners for the first time and with .15% when getting treated with the anti-bleeder for the first time, too. Rider has won with .27% of the last 11 for this barn. Look out. Abitibi (8) goes for a barn operation that has won with .38% of the first 13 runners here this meet. In addition to the 5 winners, the trainer has 2 2nds and 2 3rds, to add to the ledger. Gets the meet’s top rider up. Won the career debut in impressive, closing style. Can’t dismiss this one. At all. I bet the 10-5 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exactas.  I will key the 10-5 over/under the 8-3-9-2-6 in two smaller units. Nice race. 

5th: 9-7-4/11-5/2-8/1-3-10-12…This is a very nice MSW event slated to go a flat mile over the AW surface. My top pick is Bright Prospecter (9), who cost a nifty $225,000 at the 2019 KEE September Yearling Sale. Has run twice over this track. A 4th and then a 3rd. Barn wins with .14% over the AW, and the rider has won with .20% for this barn operation. could fit nicely in this grouping. Haig Point (7) ran 3rd here on Dec. 5. Pressed the pace and tired in that one. But that was the first race in 6 months. Should improve the conditioning and look for this one here — for a barn that wins with .19% on the 2nd try off a layup. Rider is building up the numbers of late. Threat. Counterstrike (4) goes for a top barn operation, which has won with .21% of the first 14 starters here. Gets the meet’s top rider up, and he has won with .29% of the last 7 tries for this trainer. Has some speed. May make the others come catch him I bet the 9-4 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the top 3 numbers over/under the 11-5 in two smaller units.

6th: 2-6/4/5-7/1-3/9-8…Turfway Prevue Stakes…What a nice Stakes event, which will be contested at the 6.5-furlong distance. The leader of these 3YOs just may be Nobals (2), who is very aptly named. You can figure out why that is so appropriate for this gelding. Comes in off a much-better-than-looks 5th in a Stakes at Del Mar in early November. Nearly won the Stakes in the race before and won the Arlington-Washington Futurity. Has a nice 2-1-0 record in 3 previous tries over AW surfaces. Experience should not go unnoticed. Kaely’s Brother (6) is a 3YO son of Twirling Candy and comes from the barn of Brad Cox. Ships up from the Fair Grounds for this one. Ran a solid race last time out in a Stakes in New Orleans. Working lights out. Stalker will get the first jump on the leaders. Could be gone. I bet the 2-6 across the board and then box these two sternly in the exactas. Stern. Ly. I will key the 2-6 over/under the 4 in two smaller units. I will key the 6 over/under all the numbers listed in two smaller units.

7th: 8/4-5-11/(1A)-2-7-12/6/10-1/3-9…The second “Key Play of the Night” will come here with Soaring Bird (8). This 7YO gelding had a very nice 2021. Raced 9 times last year. Went 3-2-4 in those events. Won here last time out, rallying from just off the pace. Has hit the board in last 9 races. Wow. Consistent behavior is good. Rider has won only once here this meet — and this is the horse he won on, too. Hmm. I bet the 8 to win/place/show and then key the 8 over/under the 4-5-11-1A-2-7-12-6 in the exactas. 

8th: 9-10-1/(13)-4-5-8-12/(14)-2-6/3-12-7…The finale will go to the post at approximately 9:46 p.m. ET. I will saddle up with Dream Streak (9), who comes into this one off a layup. Last race came back in November at Aqueduct. Ran OK in that one, beaten just 31/2 lengths. Now, drops considerably for the first outing with this barn operator. Gets Lasix for the first time. Gets blinkers for the first time, too. Lots of changes. Let’s see if this one wakes up. I bet he does. Justastar (10) is my first “Longshot Special of the Night.” This 3YO daughter of Mohaymen gets Lasix for the first time, too. Drops from $150,000 claiming to the $30,000 rate here. Barn wins with .31% when dropping this much. Rider has won with .27% for this barn. Adds up to a serious challenger. Rhubarb Martini (1) is another longshot possibility. Drops from the MSW ranks and gets blinkers and the Lasix for the first time, on both. Work here on Jan. 4 indicates there is some talent there. Chance. I bet the 9-10 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the 9-10 over/under the 1-13-4-5-8-12 in two smaller units.

Good Luck & All the Best / Gene