(New Year’s Eve at the LTS — OMG)

Total Day Results 10 / 4-5-2
2021 Overall 1,923 1923 / 720-673-896
Win % of Top Pick 37.44%%
Payoff% of Top 3 Picks Overall 39.68%
2021 Top Pick in the Money Overall — 1,290-1,923 67.08%
2021 Top Selection ITM / TP 69-122 56.56%
2021 Top Selections Win / TP 47-122 38.52%
“Key Horses” @ TP 14 / 5-3-2 35.72% Win / 71.43% ITM
“Key Horses” in 2021 290/ 129-65-26 44.48% Win / 75.86% ITM
“Longshots of Day” @ TP 14 / 1-1-2 .07% Win / 28.57% ITM
“Longshots of Day” @IGR (11-11-21) 21/4-1-0 19.095% Win / 23.81% ITM
“Longshots of the Day” @ SAR (8-28-21) 4/0-2-0 00.00% Win / 50.00% ITM
“Longshots of the Day” @ KY Downs 19/2-1-2 10.53% Win / 26.20% ITM
“Key Horses” @ Breeders’ Cup 2/1-0-0 50.00% Win / 50.00% ITM
“Longshots of the Day” @ Breeders’ Cup : 2 / 1-0-1 50.00% Win / 100.00% ITM

Sorry, guys.

Sorry about the New Year’s Day card at Turfway. Which my picks did not appear on the site or on Twitter.

Sorry about that.

Had every intention of handicapping and selection. And, of course, posting.

But New Year’s Eve and the magic of the internet had different plans.

The picks were done. The selections were made. The posting was forgotten.

Sorry, guys.

Sorry about that.

But New Year’s Eve at the Louisville Thoroughbred Society may have had something to do with the miscue.

Oh well.

We are back. And, here’s a look at Sunday’s selections.

And, here’s looking at a great 2022.

We are due one, right?

Enjoy. Remember. First Post is 1:15 p.m. ET

1st: 2-3-9/8-1-7/6…Mi Enlace (2) gets the nod, albeit modestly, in the ole’ lid-lifter at the “New & Improved” Turfway Park this Sunday, the day after New Year’s Day. The 4YO Liaison catches maybe the weakest field of the entire 2022, so far. In 10 career starts, this one does have a 0-3-2 mark and is coming off a competitive 4th against tougher last time out here on Dec. 3. Gets a competent rider up, who did win a G1 in 2021. Has only a third to show for 4 outings here in the past. But they were without Lasix, for the most part. I bet the 2 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exactas. I key the 2 over/under the “all button” in this spot. Good luck here.

2nd: 1-3-8/11-4/9-10/2-5…Trainer Susan Anderson — who is having a superb meet here through the “Holiday Meet” version, what with a .29% win rate — picks up this one from the barn of Joseph Saffie, Jr. Speedster drops all the way to the bargain bin here on the first try. This barn wins with .14% on debut runners for them and with .19% of those making the 2nd start off the layup. Will race as a first time gelding here. Take note. My pick. Familiar Ways (3) is another who can put pressure on the leaders. Will race here for the first time after facing much tougher at Oaklawn Park. Couldn’t hang down South, but could fit nicely here at a solid price. Love Twenty Six (8) drops in class for this one after traveling over sloppy ground at Mountaineer last time out. Barn won with .18% of 437 runners last year and this one is training well for here. One previous try over this surface resulted in a 3rd. Chance. I bet the 1 to win/place/show and then box the top 3 in the exactas. I will key the top 3 numbers over/under the 11-4 in two smaller units.

3rd: 5-1/8-2-3-4/6/7…Lord Revelstoke (5) gets the slight edge in this well-balanced and very competitive field. Gets the nod because of his race record over this surface. In 5 previous tries here, this one has 3 wins and a third. Won last time out here, utilizing his pure speed factor. Can stalk and is versatile enough to be able to finish the job, too. Gets a top rider, who had an “off” month in December. Willing to forgive and forget and refresh the button. Can win on this one. In this spot. Hemp Heaven (1) raced against much, much tougher last time out and won at Churchill Downs. In two previous runs here, has a win and a second, too.  Chicago-based rider takes the nod. Be interesting to see if this chap stays for the meet. Could add another factor to the rider’s colony here. This 4YO did win at KEE in 2021. Threat. I bet the 5-1 across the board and then box those two in the exactas. I will key the 5-1 over/under the 8-2-3-4 in two smaller units.

4th: 8-1-3/10-2-7/9/5…Maligator (8) gets the nod in another wide-open affair, that could use up to 6 horses in the multi-race configurations. This one, on the other hand, could be a “key” in those same versions. Hmm? But this 7YO is coming out of a much tougher affair here on Dec. 4 and ran a very credible 4th in that race. Won the previous two at Indy Grand and just looks the part as a true stalker in this crowd. Has a 1-2-0 mark in 5 races here and gets a rider who has won with this one before, too. Trainer is very solid. Pick here. I bet the 8 to win/place/show and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the 8 over/under the 1-3-10-2-7 in two smaller units.

5th: 4-2-1/5-11-10/7-9/6/3-8…The Judge and Jury (4) could be a real handful in this spot, with both the drop in class to the MCL ranks here and the cutback in distance, too. In addition, this 3YO son of Klimt is picking up Lasix for the first time, as well. Looks like that combo could be a the combination. Fireman Dan (2) drops from the $50,000 ranks to this $30,000 level here. Picks up Lasix for the first time, as well. Ran a real good one just two races ago against similar to these. Barn is solid and the rider is very steady in these parts. Chance. I bet the 4 to win/place/show and then box the top 3 in the exactas. I will key the 4-2 over/under the 1-5-11-10 in two smaller units.

6th: 3/2/7/1-6/8-5…The first “Key Play of the Day” comes here with Windy City Girl (3). When trainer Larry Rivelli — who wins with .33% of the last 439 runners — ships one here to Turfway Park? Better take notice. He went 4-2-2 in the last 11 shippers from his Chicago base to the Northern KY venue. Picks up the top rider on the grounds for this one, and he has won with .36% of the last 11 mounts for this outfit, too. Just the one here. I bet the 3 across the board and then another dose on the 3 to win only. I key the 3 over/under all the numbers listed. More with the 2-7-1 than the rest.

7th: 3/8/9-10/6/1-7/5-2…This is a top-notch allowance feature and I will go with my second “Key Play of the Day” here and with Ghosting Kim (3). This 5YO daughter of Ghostzapper has already won over $128,000 and nearly got to Stakes-placed with the last outing down at the Fair Grounds and over the sod. Ran much better than the final tally indicates. Coming with a real rush in that 5.5-furlong special. Has not run over this surface. But if she brings her “A” game, she will be a tough out here. Barn does win with .18% when converting from the turf to the AW. Picks up a hot rider of late. Has gone 4-0-1 in the last 14 mounts. I’m in. I bet the 3 across the board and then key the 3 over/under the 8-9-10-6-1-7. More with the 8 than the rest. More with the 9-10 than the others.

8th: 8-4-9/6/2-7-11/1-5-10/3-12…We close up the Holiday weekend with a hotly-contested claiming event that offers all kinds of options. I go with Point Wild (8), and, a bit surprisingly, I go stern here. Almost “key” stern. This 4Yo daughter of Point of Entry drops to half the asking price of the race before and this one was a strong contender up until the end of that one. Well supported at the windows that day, too. Won against much tougher as the heavy favorite at KY Downs back in September, too. This one offers real value at the price tag and is sure to be claimed today. I go here. And, I go strong. I bet the 8 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exactas. I key the top 3 over/under the 6 in two smaller units. And, I close out the betting with a key of the 8 over/under the 4-9-6 in two more.

Good Luck & All the Best / Gene