|Total Day Results||8 / 4-3-1|
|2022 Overall — 24||24 / 11-10-6|
|Win % of Top Pick||45.83%|
|Payoff% of Top 3 Picks Overall||37.50%|
|2022 Only / Top Pick in the Money Overall — 18-24||75.00%|
|2021-22 Turfway / Top Selection ITM 87-146||59.59%|
|2022 Only / Top Selection ITM / TP 18-24||75.00%|
|2021-22 Turfway / Top Selection Win / TP 58-146||39.73%|
|2022 Only Turfway / Top Selections Win: 11-24||45.83%|
|2021-22 “Key Horses” @ TP 19 / 9-3-2||47.37% Win / 73.68% ITM|
|2022 Only “Key Horses” @ TP 5/ 4-0-0||80.00% Win / 80.00% ITM|
|“Key Horses” Overall in 2022 5 / 4-0-0||80.00% Win / 80.00% ITM|
|2021-22 “Longshots of Day” @ TP 15 / 1-1-2||.07% Win / 26.67% ITM|
|2022 Only “Longshots of Day” @ TP 1/ 0-0-0||00.00% Win / 00.00% ITM|
Won the first three races on the card and finished with 4 out of the 8 on top. Had four nice exactas, too, that rendered the likes of $15.40, $34.10, $24.80 and $25.30 for each $1 played correctly.
Missed the Pick 5, and I thought we were in good shape going into the final legs. But the 62-1 shot kicked us — and so many more — out of the running.
Here’s our looks for Sunday at Turfway Park:
1st: 7-4/8-2-3/5-6/4-1…Run With Grace (7) gets the nod in the ole’ lid-lifter on the Sunday afternoon card, which tips off at 1:18 p.m. ET. This 4YO daughter of Run Away and Hide comes into this one off a 3rd place finish in the last outing here on Dec. 16. Came with a late rush in that one as the defeated PT favorite. Will return with the same rider, who is pecking around with just 2 wins in the last 41 mounts. Wow. Hmmm. Kick Out the Jams (4) will make the 2nd start off the layup and the barn wins with 4 of the last 10 of these kind. This is the first off a claim, too, and the barn has won with 2 of the last 10 of those. Gets a new rider up here, and could mount a nice rally in this one despite moving up in class. Has raced against better in the past. I bet the 7-4 across the board and then box the top 2 numbers in the exactas. I will key the 7-4 over/under the 8-2-3-5-6 in two smaller units.
2nd: 4-7/9-3-10-5/1-6/8…Morethansoultitle (4) will get the saddle from one of the hottest trainer on the grounds, who may not even be on the grounds. The Larry Rivelli barn has won with 5 of 13 this meet, and has added 2 seconds and 2 thirds to the mix. This one won here easily last time out by nearly 5 lengths. Will lose that condition. But this one has 3 wins and a 3rd in 4 races over the AW. Look out here. Look out. I bet the 4 to win/place/show and then box the 4-7 in the exactas. I will key the 4-7 over/under the 9-3-10-5-1-6 in two smaller units.
3rd: (14)-(13)/7-6-11/9-4/10-12-3-2/5-8…The top two contenders in this spot will have to have some luck before the race ever begins. They both — or either — must draw in to the body of the race from the AE List. The best opportunity for a win may come from Storm Kiss (14), who ran a smart 2nd here on debut on Dec. 10. Will get the Lasix for the first time here and the barn wins with .25% of the last 57 to get the anti-bleeder med. Returns as a beaten favorite, too, and the barn wins with .32% of those kind. Look no further if this one draws the starting gate. Traverse (13) would be my 2nd selection if this 3YO Street Sense gets in. Ran a solid-enough 3rd here on debut on Dec. 9. Was in contention until she tired late. Has worked very well since that one and the barn operator wins with .14% when getting the Lasix for the first time. Contender. If those two do NOT get in? I go with Rue de Bay (7), who comes from the Brad Cox barn. This one will make the career debut here and has been working lights out over this Tapeta course. I like. The thing I don’t? The rider is ice, ice, ice cold and doesn’t seem to really care if he gets a horse into position to win or not. If the top 2 don’t get in? I may drop down to the 2nd Cox horse — Fast Corey (6). This rider has won with .40% of his mounts for Team Cox and has won at a .14% rate here this meet. So? I bet the 14-13 if both or either get in. Across the board. And, so on. If they do not? I bet the 6 across the board and then box the 6-7-11 in one exacta. I will key the 6 over/under the 7-11-9-4-10-12-3-2 in two smaller.
4th: 8/3-1-7/2-6/9-5/4…The first “Key Play of the Day” comes here with Son of Grace (8). This 4YO son of Temple City nearly won at this level last time out after a nice win to break the maiden at Hawthorne the time before. Gets the meet’s top rider up. Barn is having a great meet and wins with .34% of those returning as a beaten favorite. I’m in. All in. I bet the 8 across the board and then key the 8 over/under all the numbers listed in the exactas. More with the 3-1-7 than the rest.
5th: 11-6/1-7-12/3-8-9/2-4…Dial Again (11) is dropping to near the bargain bin for the first time for a very successful racing syndication, which ventured out to spend $120,000 for this Ohio-bred. Still looking for the first win, but has been right there against other Ohio-breds. Must face open company here. Sure to get “drafted” out of the claim box here, especially by one of the those Cincy trainers. Has a shot here, though, against the likes of these. Can speed some. Look for the meet’s top rider to put in a great spot and have a real shot at the wire. Miss Getty Up (6) was claimed last time out for the $5,000 tag. Moves up a notch here to face a little tougher. Just lost the last one by a nose. Dug in late to just miss. Love the new rider here. Barn can win this one. I bet the 11-6 across the board and then box these two in the exactas. I will key the 11-6 over/under the 1-7-12-3-8-9-2 in two smaller units.
6th: 7-8/2-5/1-4/3-6-9…Airwar (7) nearly won at this same level last time out. Ran on or close to the lead in that one. Just missed as a luke-warm favorite. Barn wins with .21% when making the 2nd start for the barn and with .26% of those that return as a beaten favorite. Gets a new rider, who should certainly help the cause. Big shot. Z U At the Races (8) came with a late rush in the last one and just missed. Was narrowly beaten for 2nd by the top pick here. The rider sticks here and should have a big shot, as well. In 7 previous over an AW surface, this one has a 1-1-3 mark. Look out. I bet the 7-8 across the board and then box the top 2 numbers in the exactas. I will key the 7-8 over/under the 2-5-1-4-3 in two smaller units.
7th: 2-12/5-8-(13)/(14)-3-4-6/1-10/7-11…Surrealist (2) get my top pick here. this 4YO daughter of Paynter goes for a barn that is winning at a .13% rate this meet and has faced tougher in the past. In 4 previous tries over the turf, this one has 3 seconds. Working very well here. Should appreciate the new rider. Big shot. My first “Longshot Special of the Day.” I will saddle up with High Fashion (12) in the second slot here. This one may be the best, but the outside post surely does NOT assist the effort. Has been off since Nov. 25 and gets a new barn operator, albeit a familiar one. Hashit the board in each of the last 6 tries. Will come late. But will come. I bet the 2-12 across the board and then box these two in the exactas. I will key the 2-12 over/under the 5-8-13-14-3-4-6 in two smaller units.
8th: 11-7/8-9-10/1-5-12/2-3-6-(13)-(14)…I will go to the outside and saddle up with True Dakotan (11) in the day’s finale. This 3YO son of Include was claimed last time out at Delaware. Picked up for $16,000 then back in October. Drops to the $7,500 level here and the barn is having a very nice meet — with 2 wins out of the first 6 starters. Gets the Lasix for the first time and that could aid the effort. Has hit the board in each of the last 3. Uptown Guy (7) ran good until tiring late in the last one here on Jan. 1. Back in a week’s time for a barn that wins with .29% of those that get the blinkers for the first time. This one is getting the shades. My second “Longshot Special of the Day.” I will? I bet the 11-7 across the board and then box those two in the exactas. I will key the 11-7 over/under the 8-9-10-1-5-12 in two smaller units.
Good Luck & All the Best / Gene