Day’s Results 8 / 1-3-6
2023 Overall — 18 18 / 4-9-9
Win % of Top Pick 22.22%
Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall 40.74%
2023 Only / Top Pick in the Money Overall — 8-18 44.44%
2023 Only / Top Pick in the Money @ TP — 8-18 44.44%
2023 Only / Top Pick Wins @ TP 4-18 22.22%
2023 Only / “Key Horses” @ TP 2/0-0-1 00.00% Win / 50.00% ITM

Stats Are Now Completely Updated

Here’s our looks for Thursday night at the new and improved Turfway Park:

1st: 6-1/8-9-3/2/4/5/7…Nordic Light (6) gets the nod in the ole’ lid-lifter at the new and improved Turfway Park on this Thursday night fever. This 4YO son of Mastery will be offered up for the “bargain bin” price tag of $5,000 after trying the $30,000 level last time out. This barn wins with .29% when dropping this much with the last 7 to do so. Gets the blinkers back on and should like this company a whole lot more. Lead Actor (1) ran well at this level last time out and will try to find that elusive winner’s circle for the first time. Barn still searching for first win of the meet after 5 tries. But does have a second and two thirds. The rail is winning at a .20% clip this meet, too. I bet the 6-1 across the board and then box these two in the exactas. I will key the 6-1 over/under the 8-9-3-2 in two smaller units. 

2nd: 9-2/4/1/3-6/5-8…Connelmaura (9) draws the outside post, but this one has the speed to move up and over quickly. Gets Lasix for the first time and this barn wins with .18% of those kind. Returns as a beaten favorite, and the barn wins with .25% of the last 106 to return to the gate as a defeated fan’s choice. And? Gets the meet’s top rider back up. Enough for me. I bet the 9 across the board and then box the 9-2 in the exactas. I will key the 9 over/under the 2-4-1-3-6 in two smaller units. 

3rd: 4-7-9/5-6-1-8-10-11//3/2…Inherent Powers (4) gets the slight edge in a  wide open affair. This 4YO gelding has run twice here before and has a win on the resume. Gets a good gate rider who has experience with this one in the past. Drops in class and that can only help the cause. Shotgun Joe (7) is an Indiana-bred, but has a win against open company just two starts back. Will make the AW debut here. Barn wins with .21% of the last 14 to drop this much at one time. May improve at shorter distance, too. Barstow (9) could be an upset possibility. This one has drawn blanks in two previous tries here, and the last effort was a debacle. But this one has speed and the shorter distance may be the trick here. Rider is red, red, red hot. I bet the 4 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exactas. Also, I will key the 4-9 over/under the 7-5-6-1-8-10-11 in two smaller units. 

4th: 12-2-9/10-11-6-7/(13)-(14)/1-3/4-8/5…Arlyne’s Crown (12) goes for a trainer who is beginning to warm up with his Midwest division. Up to a win rate of .21% now and the barn wins with .29% on the first try after a claim purchase. That is with the last 379 to do so. Gets an interesting rider choice, and she is 0-for-27 this meet. Interesting. Mrs. Nushi (2) drops from the $30,000 level all the way to $7,500 here and loses the blinkers, too. Barn is having a very solid meet and gets the meet’s top rider. Never dismiss this jockey on these grounds. His playground. Green Bananas (9) ran well late to be 2nd at this same level here last time out. Chance. I bet the 12-2 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exactas. I will key the 12-2 over/under the 9-10-11-6-7 in two smaller units. 

5th: 6-1-7/5-(14)-2-4/9-12/11-(13)/8-10…Miranda Rights (6) gets the blinkers off and the Lasix on, for the firsts time, in this spot. Barn wins with .27% when losing the shades and with .19% when adding the anti-bleeder. Also, this one returns as a beaten favorite. Barn has won with .24% of the last 356 to do that. Rider is now 1-for-49, but the barn sticks here. Donegal Arrow (1) is a first timer for the barn of Brad Cox, who has heated up to a win rate of .23% this meet. On a roll of late and rider has gone 3-1-1 in the last 7. Sharp works to get ready here. Look out. Could be sitting on go. Accident (7) could spice up the odds rack. Ran well to be 3rd here last time out and now adds Lasix for the first time. I bet the 6-1 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exactas. I will key the 6-1 over/under the 7-5-14-2-4 in two smaller units. 

6th: 2-6/3/7/5/9/4/1-8…Bali Belle (2) won here last time out and now has a 1-1-0 record in 2 starts over AW. Moves up to face tougher here, but this one has a nice late kick and should be able to handle the jump in class. Look for another good effort here. Tap Dancing Lady (6) has been facing tougher and in 6 previous tries here has a record of 1-1-2. Rider is 1-for-58. Ugh. But this one will be coming late, too. Who is the speed? Might look to find one. Could it be Maybe Later (3). I def use this one in the mix with the meet’s top rider up. I bet the 2-3 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the top 3 numbers over/under the 7-5 in two smaller units.

7th: 11-8-9/2/3-4-5-7-10/6/1…Abitibi (11) didn’t run well last time out, but had all kinds of issues at the start of that one. Never got a chance to run and stretch the legs from the get to the go. Gets a new rider here and it happens to be the meet’s top rider. Big change. Look for a lot more. This one likes to come late in the proceedings. Will need that special touch. Quick Conversation (8) ran well to be 2nd last time out. Came with a late flurry to do that, as well. Gets a new rider, who was up two starts ago. Could be in the mix late. Wicked Wonder (9) was claimed last time out and the new barn just won one last night. Wins with .19% on the first try in the barn and with .07% when adding blinkers. Red hot rider up. Don’t dismiss here. I bet the 11 across the board and double down on the win wager. I will box the top 3 in the exactas. I will key the top 3 over/under the 2-3 in two smaller units. 

8th: 9-4/5-12/6-2-11/3-(13)-8/1-7-10…The night’s finale is a MSW event going 6 furlongs over the AW and I line up with Miss Lizzy (9). This 3YO daughter of Classic Empire is getting Lasix for the first time and is coming off a really nice 2nd here in the career debut on Dec. 7. Works good since then, too. Looks ready to pop. Winner of the debut race came right back to win the next outing, too. Won’t get the huge odds this one offered last time out. But? Chance here. Three Sport Coats (4) gets Lasix for the first time, as well. Barn has won with only .07% of the last 67 starts. Ugh. But this one did run 3rd at Churchill Downs against better. Threat. I bet the 9 across the board and then double down on the win wager. I box the top 2 numbers in the exactas. I will key the 9-4 over/under the 5-12-6-2-11 in two smaller units. 

Good Luck & All the Best / Gene