|Day Results||8 / 2-2-1|
|2020 Overall 229||229 / 82-72-84|
|Win % of Top Pick||35.81%|
|Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall||34.64%|
|2020 Top Pick in the Money –148-229||64.63%|
|Top Selection ITM / TP Winter-Sprng 139-215||64.65%|
|Top Selection Win / TP Winter-Spring 78-215||36.28%|
|“Key Horses” @ TP Winter-Spring 34-8-9-7||23.53% Win / 70.59% ITM|
|“Key Horses” in 2020 35-9-9-7||25.71% Win / 71.43% ITM|
It’s time to kick start a new handicapping week, and we are looking forward to tonights action up at the Turfway Park and Casino. Ok. Turfway Park does NOT have a casino. Not yet, anyway. But we are working on some variations of such. Historical Racing venue is coming soon. Sports Betting venue may be coming soon. You should be coming back — soon.
(Editor’s Note: If you get a chance, call your legislator and ask them to vote for legalizing sports betting in Kentucky. After all, it’s the right thing to do. It’s better than raising taxes. And, it allows people to enjoy all kinds of wagering on sporting events. Rep. Adam Koenig has crafted a bill that is sitting in the Kentucky House of Representatives. It’s time to vote. It’s time to approve. It’s time to join the rest of the world.)
But, for now, let’s get back to sports betting on horses.
Here is tonight’s selections:
1st: 3-5-2/1/4-6…Magic Finish (3) is 6-1 in the ML and could offer some real value right off the bat tonight. This 4YO Magician filly is trained by a hot barn operator right now, who has a 9-5-4 mark in the first 39 mounts this season. Rider has won with 1 of 4 for the barn, too. Drops from the MSW ranks all the way to the $15,000 tag tonight and that should make this one relevant. Take a long look before you toss. Twelve Monarchs (5) is the 6-5 ML favorite, and might be a bit vunerable for my taste. Barn has a win and two seconds in just 5 starts and the rider is having a nice meet for an apprentice. Ran 2nd at the same level last time out in mid-February. The winner two back came right back to score again next time out. Has 4 seconds in 13 starts, but has had plenty of chances to rock the winner’s circle, too, and is still waiting. Lil Hitchhiker (2) drops from the MSW ranks to the $15,000 tag, too. Should be better against these. Rider is a little short on the win percentage (.04%). Could hit the board for me. I bet the 3-5 across the board and then box the top 3 in one exacta. I will key the 3-5 over/under the 2-1-4-6 in two smaller versions.
2nd: 9-4-10/7-8/2…Jewelisa (9) didn’t run a step last time out and was never truly interested in any part of the proceedings. But the races two and three back are too good to ignore. If you can toss the last one out, then the 8YO mare figures with these kind. In 9 races here, has only 1 win, but has added 3 seconds and a third. Barn having a very solid meet — what with .20% winners from the first 20 starters. Abogada (4) certainly gets my attention in this spot. The 6YO Court Vision mare didn’t run good last time out, but finds a new barn to set the tack tonight. Gets a new rider, too, and this chap is having a very good meet. Has .21% winners from just 47 mounts so far. In 19 trips over AW surfaces, this one has a 2-4-4 mark. Figures here. Little Chick (10) is a deep, deep closer when she decided to close. Finally gets another shot on the AW surface. In the last two tries over that surface type? An OK 6th and a nice 2nd. Looking for needles here, guys. I bet the 9-4 across the board and then box the top 3 in on exacta. I key the 9-4 over/under the 10-7-8-2 in two smaller versions.
3rd: 6-4/1-7-2/5-3…Save Me Paula (6) is my Upset Special of the Night. This one lands in here at 8-1 in the ML. Love to get 6-1, if I could lock that in. The 3YO gelded son of Super Saver won last time out at Laurel and now travels South to try the AW again. In 3 tries over the surface type, he has a 2nd at Presque Isle in October. Trainer has won with .23% of those that are trying to repeat in the claiming ranks, and that is with 126 horses that qualify for that statistic. I like this one at a nice price. Horsefeathers (4) drops from the $18,000 tag to the $15,000 level tonight after a solid run last time out in February. Won here two starts back and seems to be on top of the game right now. But…Look at the odds this one ran at over the past two races. Last race, he was 20-1. Time before, he was 34-1. Now, he comes into this one at 3-1. Hmmm. Value? I bet the 6-4 across the board and then box those two in the exacta. I will key the 6 over/under the “all button,” and then key the 6 over/under the rest of the numbers in two smaller versions.
4th: 10-6/3-7-11/5/1-2-8…Familiar Dream (10) gets a slight edge in this one. Comes from a barn having a very solid meet, winning at .23% rate after the first 39 starters. Makes the first start for this barn tonight. New connections hit with .11% of those making the barn debut. Like the wok on Feb. 22, and the switch in riders is nice. Could be well spotted for this effort. Mr. Sarinana (6) picks up the meet’s top rider again. Last time these two hooked up, they won — two starts back. Ran better than looked last time out after a horrendous start. Look for more out of this one at a very square pice tonight. My second Upset Special of the Night, if he holds anywhere close to the 6-1 ML price. I bet the 10-6 across the board and then box those two in the exacta. I will key the 10-6 over/under the 3-7-11-5-1 in two smaller versions.
5th: 2-11/6-5-7/1-8/9-4-12-(13)…Blackberry Lisa (2) will make the 4th career start tonight for trainer Phillip Sims, one of the more under-rated trainers in the business. Barn has hit with .19% this meet and could have been better. Over the first 21 starts, conditioner has a record of 4-5-2. Rider has won with .38% of the last 8 mounts for this barn, too. Drops for this one and the softer company could be the winning ticket. I’m on board. Ready to Play (11) gets the meets top rider to take the reins for the first time. Gets a huge drop in class, too, for a trainer that has a 8-12-6 record in the first 56 starts. Ran well near the lead last time out. Blinkers must have done that and helped assist the speed angle. Drops to the claiming ranks for the first time now. Figures here. I bet the 2-11 across the board and then box those two solidly in one exacta. I will key the 2-11 over/under the 6-5-7-1-8-9-4 in two smaller versions.
6th: 5-1/9-6-3/10-(13)/2-8…You Are Invited (5) will make the first start fort the new barn tonight. Drops two rungs down the pecking order, too. Both of those changes may be enough to put this one in the mix at the wire. Likes to come from the clouds and will need racing room, but a capable jockey takes the reins here. First try ever over AW is interesting some times, but this one figures with this class bunch. Barton Hall (1) gets the meet’s top rider back in the irons after a poor performance last time out. Was bumped around after a terrible start and closed ground to be somewhat relevant at the wire. A better start tonight from the rail position could help at this 1 mile distance. I bet the 5-1 across the board and then box those 2 in the exacta. I will key the 5-1 over/under the 9-6-3-10 in two smaller versions. I definitely use the 6 in the horizontal plays, too. Ran huge in the last time out, and moves up to face winners for the first time. Could repeat with a similar effort.
7th: 3-1A-1/7-8/5-2…What a nice race has been carded as tonight’s featured event. I will give the edge to My Man Flintstone (3), who ran a good one to be 4th in the John Battaglia Memorial Stakes here on Feb. 14. That is a prep for the Jeff Ruby Steaks coming up soon. This one stalked and petered out in the late going. Did the same the race before — a Stakes event at Tampa Bay. Drops back in class for this one and does sport a win over this track — three races back. Has speed. Looking for stamina. Artemus Eagle (1A) and Hail to the Chief (1) have to be considered in this spot, too. Both ran behind our top pick in the same Stakes event last time out. Both have better credentials than their finish in that Stakes event, though, and I expect a return to normalcy in this spot. They should be tough at the wire. I bet the entry across the board — hoping that the duo can both land in the top 3 spots and I can get paid twice. I will box the entry with the 3 in the exacta. I will key the entry-3 over (only) the rest of the numbers listed in a smaller version.
8th: 4-7-1/12-6/2-10/11-8-(13)…Luna Go Luna (4) will be making the first start for the new barn operation tonight, and this trainer is hitting at a .38% win clip in just 8 starts here this meet. Tabs a rider who has won with .40% of the 5 mounts for this barn this meet, too. Drops in class off the performance down at the Fair Grounds. If she can adapt to the AW tonight? Look out here. Has the pedigree to rise to this occasion and against this class group. Cyclone Millie (7) picks up the meet’s top rider and has run two nice, closing 3rds in the last two tries at this same level. Jock could make the difference tonight. Ruthyla (1) drops a long way in class after traveling up a long way from Gulfstream Park. This one gets one of the meet’s top jockeys, too, and could be a force here. I bet the 4-1 across the board — take note. I box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 4-1 over/under the 7-12-6-2-10 in two smaller versions.
Good Luck & All the Best / Gene