|Total Day Results||8 / 6-2-5|
|2021 Overall 300||300 / 99-101-115|
|Win % of Top Pick||33.00%|
|Payoff% of Top 3 Picks Overall||35.00%|
|2021 Top Pick in the Money Overall — 182-300||60.67%|
|2021 Top Selection ITM / TP 119-196||60.71%|
|2021 Top Selections Win / TP 68-196||34.69%|
|“Key Horses” @ TP 28 / 14-3-3||50.00% Win / 71.43% ITM|
|“Key Horses” in 2021 41 / 23-7-3||56.10% Win / 80.49% ITM|
We are back. And, my, oh, my. How the weather has changed. Spring time is just around the corner. And, it could not have come at a better time.
Birds singing. March flowers are springing. Rabbits are nibbling. Heart is jumping. Can’t wait for the horses to lose that winter coat and continue racing. Spring time is coming.
We are excited, too. This promises to be a great year in Kentucky. Can’t wait to watch, wager, and win.
Here’s our looks at the “new and improved” Turfway Park for tonight:
1st: 2-7/5-4/6-3-1…Joy of Treasure (2) goes for a barn operation that has won with .25% of the last 186 starts in the claiming ranks. Cool this meet, but this one comes out of a nice performance last out and drops considerably for this encounter. Gets a solid rider choice and the works in February are starting to trend up. Like this one in the lid-lifter. A lot. Our Little Jewel (7) goes for a barn that has won 2 of 4 starts here this meet. This one ships in from Gulfstream Park, where she has been facing much tougher. Barn wins with .15% when dropping this much in class operations and the rider choice is spot on. He’s the leading rider here for a reason. He wins a lot, like in .26% of the 169 mounts. Contender. I bet the 2-7 across the board and then box the 2-7 in one exacta. Sternly. I will key the 2-7 over/under the rest of the numbers listed in two smaller units.
Pick 5: 2-7/2-4-10-1-5-6/2-4-10-1/(4)-5-8/6-5-1: $.50-cent ticket = $216. But…If the #4 scratches in the 4th leg, and he should? The ticket becomes $144. That’s my normal Pick 5 play rate.
2nd: 2-5/7-6-8/1…Shesalittle Edgy (2) gets the saddle from my great friend and ally, Buff Bradley, tonight. Drops from the $30,000 tag all the way to $15,000 tonight, as well. Barn wins with .33% when it goes down this much, and the rider has won with half of the 4 mounts for this trainer in the last 60 days. Ran 2nd at Churchill Downs three races ago against much, much tougher. If she can find that form tonight? Look out. Ready N Waiting (5) looks to be the main competition. This one goes for a barn that has gone 0-for-7 this meet and has won just .06% of the last 31 starts overall. But this one ran 2nd here on Jan. 1 when getting the blinkers for the first time, and could be even better tonight. I bet the 2 to win/place/show and then box the 2-5 in the exacta. I will key the 2-5 over/under the rest of the numbers listed.
3rd: 2-4/10-1/5-6/7-8…I will go with my third “#2” in a row. Father. Son. You know the rest. Speed Gracer (2) has raced here 4 times in the past. Has 2 seconds and a third on the resume. Huge 2nd here in the snow on Jan. 30. Over the last four starts, has two 2nds and a 3rd. Working well for this one and gets a top rider back in the irons. One to beat. Eight Ain’t Enough (4) comes from the Dale Romans’ barn and the outfit has gone 2-3-1 in 16 mounts here this meet. This one is one of the winners. Won last time out going gate to wire. Has speed, and is likely to test the front-runners against tonight. Come catch me if you can. Rider has won with .25% of his mounts for this barn over the last two months. Barn also wins with .29% when trying to repeat in the claiming ranks. Threat. I bet the 2-4 across the board and then box those two in the exacta. I will key the 2-4 over/under the rest of the numbers listed in two smaller units.
4th: (4)-5-8/7-9/11-2…Dom the Bomb (4) would have been my overwhelming choice here, but there is no way that the trainer will wheel this one back after having just won at Hawthorne three days ago. Right? If the scratch comes in, I will focus on the next two numbers — led by Torazo (5). This one drops from the $8,000 level to the bargain bin and to the same level where he won just two starts ago. In 14 previous tries here, this one has a record of 5-2-2. Gets a top rider up and the barn has won with .22% of the lsat 162 runners in the claiming ranks. Dragon Drew (8) has been ultra good when dropped to this level several starts ago. In three starts here since early December, the 6YO gelding has a win; a second and a third. Nearly won last time out and the barn operator has had a very solid meet — winning at a .16% rate. Rider? Another story. Just 3 wins in 107 mounts. Hmmm. I bet the 4 (?)-5 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the top three over/under the 7-9 in two smaller units.
5th: 6-5-1/8-3/7-2-9…Gladtobehere (6) has run over this track 10 previous times. Has a nice record of 4-1-3. Last time out, this one was a solid 3 and nearly pulled the upset until tiring late. Barn wins with .24% in the third start off a vacation, and has the best AW speed of those racing today. Rider is a speed jockey, and should fit this one perfectly. Till Then (5) goes for an underrated barn operation, which has won with .23% of those that make the 2nd start off a claim purchase. This one had a horrible start last time out and came with a purpose late. With a better beginning tonight? May have a better chance to finishing in the money. Before the last start? Won the previous two here. Direct Approach (1) goes for a barn that has won with .26% here this meet, and that is with 19 starts. This one was one of those winners — closing with a rush to make the winner’s circle on Jan. 21. Drops off that win for this one and the barn wins with 100% of those and with .20% of the last 127 that won the previous race. Big shot here. I bet the 6-1 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 6-1 over/under the 5-8-3-7-2-9 in two smaller units.
6th: 7/3-1-6-5/2…The first “Key Play of the Night” comes here with Richies Noble Girl (7). This 4YO Noble Mission filly has hit the board in the last 6 outguns and has a 0-3-1 mark in 4 starts at TP. Comes off a very nice 2nd here last time out to a tough customer, and the barn is red, red, white, white hot, hot. Trainer has won with .29% of the 49 mounts so far this meet. Rider has won with .22% of the 9 rides he has for the barn, too. Adds up for me. I bet the 7 to win/place/show and then key the 7 over/under the numbers listed in two exactas. I will key the 7 over/under the “all button” in two smaller units.
7th: 1A-1/2/7-10-8/5-9/11-4/3-6…I’ll go with my second “Key Play of the Night” in this one and saddle up with the impressive entry of Nun theLess (1A) and Hurricane Highway (1). The former has not started since last March — nearly a year ago. But when he raced last? He won the Kentucky Cup Classic here in impressive fashion. Has been working lights out for the return and the barn can win off the bench. When away this long, the horses for this barn win at a .11% rate and that is with 80 runners. Regular rider returns. If fit? Look out. Will close with style. The latter ran a huge 2nd to a good one in the Forego Stakes here in January. Just nipped at the wire in that one, when rallying late. Barn has won with .21% of its 29 runners this meet and in two starts over this new track surface? This one has a win and a tough-beat 2nd in a Stakes. Rider has won with .18% of the 11 mounts for the barn over the past two months. Working great here, too. I bet the entry to win/place/show and hoping that both can finish in the money. Double payday. I will key the entry over/under the 2 in two stern exactas, swell. I will key the entry over/under the rest of the numbers listed in two smaller units.
8th: (14)/5-4-12/7-3-10-(13)/9-8-1-2…The final race of the night will be my third “Key Play of the Night” if the #14 draws in from the AE List. No Salt (14) comes from the barn of trainer Wesley Ward, who wins with .l28% of his 60 starters here this meet. And, this one was a beaten favorite by a little head here on Feb. 6. Barn wins with .28% when a beaten favorite returns, and with .32% over the AW surface. Working lights out here, as well. Big time if he gets in. If not? I go to Falcons Fury (5). This one goes for a hot barn operation, and will make the local debut. Trainer wins with .19% in debut runners and with .40% when getting Lasix for the first time. Snake Bite (4) drops from the $15,000 price tag to the bargain bin here. Trainer wins with .25% when dropping this much at once. Training good. Had a huge race here two races back against much tougher. Chance. I bet the 14 across the board if he gets in. If not, I will bet the 5-4 to win/place/show. I box the top 3 in the exacta, no matter what. If #14 is in, I key over/under all the numbers listed. If not? I key the 5-4 over/under the 12-7-3-10-13-9-8 in two smaller units.
Good Luck & All the Best / Gene