Total Day Results 8 /4-3-1
2021 Overall 268 268 / 85-89-100
Win % of Top Pick 31.72%
Payoff% of Top 3 Picks Overall 34.08%
2021 Top Pick in the Money Overall — 165-268 61.57%
2021 Top Selection ITM / TP 102-164 62.20%
2021 Top Selections Win / TP 54-164 32.93%
“Key Horses” @ TP 25 / 12-3-3 48.00% Win / 72.00% ITM
“Key Horses” in 2021 38 / 21-7-3 55.26% Win / 81.58% ITM

Mac

(Grandson Mac is working on becoming an “ace” handicapper / Photo by his mom, Alex McLean Sharp)

We will be back in action at the “new and improved” Turfway Park tonight for some more live Thoroughbred actions. And, we are excited as the calendar has now turned to March and the month will conclude with the annual Jeff Ruby Steaks and another step toward this year’s Kentucky Derby.

Here’s a look at our picks for tonight:

1st: 3-9/8-1-10-6/4-5-7…S Man (3) is our pick in the lid-lifter. This 3YO son of Summer Front comes from the barn of Brad Cox, who is winning at a .25% clip here this meet with the first 24 starters. This one is shipping North from the Fair Grounds, where he has been third and second in the last two starts in New Orleans. Has never started over an AW surface before, but this one drops to half the asking price of the last time. Never been in for this cheap before. Barn wins with .31% of those getting tis much class relief, all at once. Rider has a win in two previous tries for this barn, too. Goodtime Artie (9) gets a lot of class relief here, as well, and this barn wins with .23% of those dropping this much at once. And, that is with a sample-size of 75 runners. Gets the Lasix for the 2nd time, and the barn wins with .20% of those, too. In two previous runs here, this one has two seconds and has been runner-up in the last three. May be time to graduate. I bet the 3-9 across the board and then box those two sternly in one exacta. I will key the 3-9 over/under the 8-1-10-6-4 in two smaller units. 

Pick 5: 3-9/9-4-7-11-3/10-13-5-1-4-9-6/3-11-7/10 — $.05-cent ticket = $105

2nd: 9-4-7/11-3/6-8-10/5/2-1…Termptation Eyes (9) drops from the $15,000 level to the $7,500 tag tonight and this barn wins with just .08% when dropping this much. But…This one has been competitive at the higher level. Just not good enough to get past all the ones at the wire. Should fit nicely here and the rider is on a roll of late. This will be the third start off the layup, and the trainer wins with .17% of those kind. Take Charge Cacky (4) nearly won at this level last time out. Came up a bit short at the wire. But the trainer is winning with .11% over the AW and this one has a 2-0-1 mark in 7 previous tries here. Gets a huge rider switch for tonight’s affair. That makes this one an immediate contender. Lady Jenneviere (7) shows some nice back class on the resume, and, although the barn is winless in 22 starts here this meet, this one looks to have an outside chance. I bet the 9-4 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 9-4 over/under the 7-11-3-6-8-10 in two smaller units.

3rd: 10-(13)-5-1/4-9-6/3-7/2-8-11…Gran Rojo (10) gets an outside post for this event, but this one may like that spot just fine. Has been stuck down on the inside in the last couple and has found it more difficult to find a spot for the late kick. In 4 previous tries here, has two seconds and the work here on Feb. 25 was nice, too. Look for this one to have a shot late. Over Tell (13) gets back to a class level that he performed well at on debut here in late January. Was 2nd that night at a good price. Didn’t fare as well in the last outing, when bumped up to the $15,000 level. Gets a new rider, if he gets in from the AE List. Chance. Fredericktown (5) could add some spice to the odds rack here. Barn is 0-for-16 this meet, but has had success here in the past, and this one drops from the $30,000 tag all the way to $7,500 tonight. Barn can get them ready off the bench. No Nay Now (1) was claimed off Wesley Ward two starts ago. Didn’t fare too  well last time out. But the barn wins with .11% on the 2nd try after a claim purchase and a new rider can’t hurt, either. I bet the 10-13 across the board if the 13 draws in. If not? I will be the 10-1 across the board. I box the top 3 numbers in the exacta, no matter who they are. I key the 10-1 over/under the 13-5-4-9-6-3-7 in two smaller units.

4th: 3-11-7/9-10-(14)/6-4-1-5/12-8…Jimmys Lifestyle (3) nearly won at this same level last time out before tiring right at the wire. In 4 previous runs here, this 5YO Florida-bred has a 1-1-1 mark. Rider is winning at a .10% clip this meet with 107 mounts, to date. Classified Info (11) goes for a top-notch barn operation and gets the son-in-law in the saddle. First time in blinkers for this son of Bayern, too. Barn wins with .10% of those. Returns as a beaten favorite, and the barn wins with .24% of those, too. Should be a forward presence. Can he carry the speed? Has a win and a third in three previous tries here. Secret Move (7) won the last time out and now will face winners for the first time. The trainer wins with a whopping .35% of the last 23 to challenge that goal. Has speed. I bet the 3-11 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 3-11 over/under the 7-9-10-14-6-4-1-5 in two smaller units.

5th: 10-5-6/4/7-11-12/(14)-(13)/8-9-1-2…La Isadora (10) is a 4YO Ghostzapper filly who nearly won both of her first two career starts at Woodbine last year. Has been off since October, but has been training well here for this first start back. Gets a rider who has won with .27% of the 11 mounts for this barn here. Will be coming late and will need racing room. But? Looks like the class here. Alemia (5) nearly won here on Jan. 21. Ran 2nd by a neck. Top rider goes elsewhere, but this one gets the blinkers for the first time and the barn wins with .26% of them. This will be the 2nd career start for a top-notch barn operation and they win with .22% outhouse, too. Beaten favorites? Barn wins with .31% of the last 87 of those. Chance. Treaty of Paris (6) just got nipped in the last race, too. Gets a new rider, who is a very strong finisher. Don’t dismiss this one. Barn wins with .21% in the MSW category, and this one should be sharper with the 2nd start off the layup. I bet the 10 to win/place/show and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the top 3 over/under the 4 in two smaller units, and then key the 10 over/under all the numbers listed in two smaller, as well. 

6th: 1-3/8-7/2-6/4-5…Burning Bright (1) has won two in a row for the high-powered barn operation of trainer Jonathan Thomas. This meet, the barn has made 20 starts. They have 9 wins, 3 seconds and a third. Win percentage is .45%. Rider has won with .75% of the 8 mounts for this barn. Looks formidable for a speed-oriented team. Finnick the Fierce (3) makes the grand return after running last in the G2 Blue Grass Stakes at KEE last July. This one finished 2nd and ahead of Tiz the Law in the 2019 G2 KY Jockey Club Stakes. Talent there. Training well for the return and the barn wins with .09% off the vacation. May need one, but will get well-bet tonight. I bet the 1 across the board and then box the 1-3 sternly in the exacta. I will key the 1 over/under all the numbers listed in two smaller units.

7th: 12-10-3/(13)-4-6/2-7-1…Lucky Quarters (12) is the ML favorite, and why not? Drops to the bargain bin after a near-miss 2nd last time out at the $7,500 level. In 6 lifetime starts, to date, this one has a 1-2-0 mark. Gets the first start for a new barn operation, which wins with .26% of those making the debut here. Has speed. Needs to break well and run on. Big chance if she gets the trip. Annoula (10) is a deep, deep closer and will need room late. But may have a tough time catching our top pick unless there is a speed battle that develops. Barn wins with .19% over the AW surface. Seven Seventeen (3) goes for a barn that has won just .03% of the last 37 trips. Trainer is 0-for-10 here this meet. Hmmm. I bet the 12-10 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exacta. I will key the 12-10 over/under all the numbers listed in two smaller units.

8th: 9-6/7-8-11/4-3-(13)…Oak Room (9) is even-money in the ML for my friends at Brisnet.com. That is pretty stern considering we are talking about $5,000 claimers. But this one was a tough-beat 2nd here on Jan. 6 and has trained well for the return. Gets a top, veteran rider in the saddle again and goes for a barn that is known for its’ success in this locale. One to beat. Definitely. Animal Krackers (6) drops to the bargain bin after trying tougher last time out. Gets a solid rider for the chore, and may improve with the longer distance here. Will be coming late. Very late. Will need a running start. I bet the 9-6 across the board and then box those two in the exacta. I will key the 9 over/under the numbers listed in two smaller units, and then wheel the 9 over (only) the “all button” in another. 

Good Lucky & All the Best / Gene