Days Results | 9 / 2-4-6 |
2023 Overall — 1,014 | 1,014 / 337-344-459 |
Win % of Top Pick | 33.23% |
Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall | 37.48% |
2023 Only / Top Pick in the Money Overall — 628-1,014 | 61.93% |
2023 Only / Top Pick in the Money @ CD – EP 58-96 | 60.42% |
2023 Only / Top Pick Wins @ CD — EP 27-96 | 28.13% |
2023 Only / Top Pick in the Money @ HI 63-92 | 68.48% |
2023 Only / Top Pick Wins @ HI 34-92 | 36.96% |
2023 Only / Top Pick in the Money @ CD 137-215 | 63.72% |
2023 Only / Top Pick Wins @ CD 69-215 | 32.09% |
2023 Only / Top Pick in the Money @ Belmont 6-12 | 50.00% |
2023 Only / Top Pick Wins @ Belmont 4-12 | 33.33% |
2023 Only / “Key Horses” @ Belmont 4/2-0-1 | 50% Win / 75.00% ITM |
2023 Only / “Key Horses” @ CD 33/11-10-3 | 33.33% Win / 72.73% ITM |
2023 Only / “Key Horses” @ KEE 2 / 2-0-0 | 100.00% Win / 100.00% ITM |
2023 Only / “Key Horses” @ TP 45/21-8-4 | 46.47% Win / 73.33% ITM |
2023 Only / “Key Horses” @ FG 5/1-1-1 | 20.00% Win / 60.00% ITM |
2023 Only / “Key Horses” @ GP 6/6-0-0 | 100.00% Win / 100.00% ITM |
2023 Only / “Key Horses” @ OP 2/1-1-0 | 50.00% Win / 100.00% ITM |
2023 Only / “Key Horses” @ HI 16/10-0-2 | 62.50% Win / 75.00% ITM |
2023 Only / “Key Horses” @ PIM 2/1-0-1 | 50.00% Win / 100.00% ITM |
2023 Only / “Key Horses” @ EP 14/2-5-1 | 14.29% Win / 57.14% ITM |
2023 Only / “Key Horses” Overall 152/64-31-16 | 42.11% Win / 73.03% ITM |
While we are having a great, great, great time on the Lake this summer, my handicapping has not been so, well, great. Or good. Or mediocre. Or bad. It has been terrible since Churchill Downs moved its’ meet to Ellis Park.
Don’t know the reason(s), yet.
Don’t understand why, yet.
Last year, I had a great, great, great time at Ellis Park, too. Had one of my best Pick 5s in recent times.
So, don’t know why my numbers have plummeted and now only winning at a 28.13% rate after the first 96 races at the meet. Especially considering that is over 5% points lower than my yearly average after 1,014 races.
So, don’t know why my Key Plays of the Day have plunged to just 14.29% after the first 14 selections. Especially considering that I have 152 such picks on the year, and my win rate is over 42.11%.
So, don’t know what is up.
But it is back to the drawing board time. Doing some quick crunches. Going to figure this out.
Hope you stick with me.
Until later this week…
Good Luck & All the Best / Gene
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