McLean’s Updated Handicapping Statistics / Churchill Downs’ Updated Jockey Standings

Day Results10/4-4-2-6
2019 Overall 920920/331-323-436
Win % of Top Pick35.98%
Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall39.49%
2019 Top Pick in the Money –626 of 92068.04%
Top Selection ITM / CD 228-34468.26%
Top Selection Win / CD 121-34435.17%
“Key Horses” @ CD 50-17-12-634.00%
“Key Horses” in 2019 165-64-34-2038.79%

Bad weather day at the big oval in Louisville on Sunday. Tornado warnings sent some in the crowd running for cover, and others into the tunnel connecting to the infield. Torrential rains inundated the track — during Churchill Downs into Churchill Drowns. High winds sucked the air out of the enthusiasm of some of the crowd.

But it was not a bad day, handicapping wise. Sunny results for most of the day.

We hit four winners in a row and cashed exactas that returned $10.60, $31.00, $23.70, $13.10, $13.30 and $55.10 for each $1 played. Nice.

See you on Thursday, for the last days of the current Spring / Summer meet. Where has the time gone?

(Jockeys Corey Lanerie, left, and Ricardo Santana, Jr)

Lanerie Has Riding Title All But Locked Up at Churchill Downs Meet; Santana Tops All Riders in “Purses Earned”

It has been a terrific Spring / Summer Race meet for a couple of top riders that spend much of their time in Kentucky these days.

Corey Lanerie — a perennial threat to win each and every riding championship at the various Kentucky tracks — has all but locked up the current meet trophy. Going into Thursday’s card and the final couple of days of live racing in Louisville this Spring & Summer, Lanerie has amassed 38 wins, 24 seconds and 26 thirds in 189 rides. That’s a handy win percentage of .20%, and his horses have hit the board .47% of the time. In addition, his mounts have earned over $2,119 million in purses — which is second on the tote board.

Ricardo Santana, Jr., who rides first saddle for the barn of Steve Asmussen, has had a stellar meet, as well. He has ridden 151 times this meet, with a tally sheet of 24-24-23. His horses have won over $2.512 million in purses, to claim first spot in that important category.

Miguel Mena, who has overcome a serious ankle injury to return to the saddle full-time this meet, is also having a nice meet. The popular rider has 29 wins, 26 seconds and 31 thirds in 186 mounts, and currently is sitting alone in second place in the “win category.”

Here’s a look at the top 25 riders this meet:

1Ricardo Santana, Jr.151242423$2,512,34716%7147%
2Corey J. Lanerie189382426$2,119,86120%8847%
3Flavien Prat12310$2,052,34625%433%
4Julien R. Leparoux136271814$1,664,50020%5943%
5Gabriel Saez168232822$1,648,44414%7343%
6Jose L. Ortiz28517$1,477,22418%1346%
7Irad Ortiz, Jr.23533$1,472,06222%1148%
8Miguel Mena186292631$1,465,98416%8646%
9Tyler Gaffalione144212515$1,423,40315%6142%
10Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.163202117$1,351,30512%5836%
11John R. Velazquez23322$1,218,39313%730%
12Florent Geroux117162022$1,144,34614%5850%
13Shaun Bridgmohan611089$970,60516%2744%
14Adam Beschizza117141816$905,11712%4841%
15James Graham138141814$835,06010%4633%
16Tyler Baze13316128$797,64812%3627%
17Chris Landeros122101012$696,2838%3226%
18Mike E. Smith8120$555,06013%338%
19Channing Hill53443$492,2728%1121%
20Luis Saez28237$444,6927%1243%
21Joel Rosario28124$415,2594%725%
22David Cohen9851310$386,9415%2829%
23Jack Gilligan83666$367,9907%1822%
24Robby Albarado65479$349,6486%2031%
25Edgar Morales1004816$342,1464%2828%

The horse broke well today,” Gaffalione said. “I had the horse inside, Dunph, going to the lead and then (Gun It) showed a little bit of speed. When I saw they were intent on going I just tried to get him back and got him to relax. He came back to me nicely and settled well down the backside. Got a little keen going into the far turn and wanted to move a little early. But I didn’t want to take too much away from him so I tried to sit as long as I could. He was waiting on horses down the lane but I kept him at task and there was plenty of horse there.”

“Mark (Casse, the trainer) and his team have done a great job,” Gaffalione said. “They’ve had a ton of confidence in this horse the whole way. It’s just an honor to be able to ride the horse. He’s just so professional, trains great and he’s a pleasure to be around.”

Tyler Gaffalione, Rode of War of Will to victory in the G2 Risen Star Stakes at the Fair Grounds
  • Gene McLean

    Gene McLean

    Gene McLean began his professional career in 1977 as a sportswriter and columnist for the Lexington Herald-Leader in Lexington, Ky., and was recognized as one of the state’s best writers, winning the prestigious “Sportswriter of the Year” honor in 1985. Now the President and Publisher of The Pressbox, McLean sets ...

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