McLean’s Updated Handicapping Statistics / Fair Grounds’ Jockey Standings

Day Results8-5-5-3
2019 Overall 216216/79-86-102
Win % of Top Pick36.54%
Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall41.05%
2019 Top Pick in the Money –148 of 21668.52%
Top Selection ITM / FG Nov-Mar 275-39569.62%
Top Selection Win / FG Nov-Mar 152-39538.48%
“Key Horses” @ FG Nov-Mar 89-40-18-1144.94%
“Key Horses” in 2019 61-24-12-839.34%

We had a really nice day on Sunday, cashing 5 win tickets out of 8 races that we ended up handicapping. The “other” race was the 5th, were we had a “single” in Telekinesis. That one was scratched, so we reduced that to a “non betting race” for us, since we had only one horse to promote and bet.

At the end of racing on Sunday, we had winners that returned $17.60, $17.20, $18.80, $21.20 and $12 for each $2 bet across the board. In addition, we had exactas that returned $14.50, $8.90, $35.60, and $38.20 for each $1 played. Not a bad “Return on Investment” day.

Our win percentage for 2019, so far, is now up to 36.54% with our top pick. That is after 216 races.

Our top pick that has finished “in the money” is now up to 68.52% for 216 races this year. If we go back to November, when we converted to handicapping the races at the Fair Grounds, our top pick has hit the board on 69.62% in 395 races.

The Fair Grounds will kick start a fun week of racing on Thursday. On Saturday, the track will host the G2 Risen Star Stakes and the G2 Rachel Alexandra Stakes. Both of these are significant races on the “Road to the KY Derby” and the “Road to the KY Oaks.” And, both of them have drawn fantastic fields, as well.

So, let’s go racing.

Fair Grounds’ Current Jockey Standings: James Graham Still On Top

1James Graham301495934$1,452,52016%14247%
2Adam Beschizza283462948$1,242,75016%12343%
3Shaun Bridgmohan172402018$1,166,98523%7845%
4Colby J. Hernandez289374848$1,157,44013%13346%
5Florent Geroux152313018$1,114,36520%7952%
6Corey J. Lanerie185292722$1,101,28116%7842%
7Mitchell Murrill310373846$1,093,42012%12139%
8Gabriel Saez191212526$774,04811%7238%
9Marcelino Pedroza255273025$764,21011%8232%
10Miguel Mena198252218$653,71013%6533%
11Ricardo Santana, Jr.85161610$535,66019%4249%
12Jack Gilligan212162428$513,1258%6832%
13Joe Bravo7314149$496,74019%3751%
14Ty Kennedy163162114$480,79010%5131%
15Chantal Sutherland15617920$338,12111%4629%
16Sophie Doyle88121013$276,25014%3540%
17Declan Carroll12971613$252,9705%3628%
18Joseph Rocco, Jr.66558$237,3208%1827%
19Aubrie Green16091015$235,6806%3421%
20Edgar Morales76975$218,46012%2128%
21Jose Valdivia, Jr.795514$194,3706%2430%
22Tyler Gaffalione4211$177,10050%4100%
23Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.8301$174,86038%450%
24Channing Hill11311$131,57027%545%
25Ezequiel Lara1103910$130,5303%2220%

James Graham continues to lead the current “Jockey Standings” at the Fair Grounds. After 301 rides this meet, he has booted home 49 winners — and that gives him a three-win lead over Adam Beschizza.

Farther back, with 40 wins, is ShaunBridgmohan — who has accomplished those wins with 172 mounts so far.

What is very interesting, though, is that 7 riders have already passed the $1 million mark in purses earned by their respective horses and mounts.

Above is the closer look at the Top 25 riders this meet.

(Well Defined) has a ton of natural talent and I was going to take advantage of that today,” Morales explained. “I wasn’t too worried about where I was going to be because we were really lucky with the draw position on the outside, so I figured I was going to ride a cool race.

“The horse is naturally fast and has a super-long stride, so I was going to come out running, but if somebody wanted to take the lead, I was OK with that,” Morales said. No one did, and he stretched the lead to three lengths from Knicks Go up the backstretch.

“All I wanted to do was ride a cool and collected race and keep my horse running,” Morales said. “I didn’t feel like I was going that fast at all, and my horse was going as comfortable as he possible could.

“I knew he was doing it relaxed and very much on his own. I had a lot of horse going into the second turn, so I figured I was going to ask him a little more and not wait for them to get me. If they were going to catch me, they were really going to have to come running.”

PABLO MORALES, RIDER OF THE WINNER WELL DEFINED
  • Gene McLean

    Gene McLean

    Gene McLean began his professional career in 1977 as a sportswriter and columnist for the Lexington Herald-Leader in Lexington, Ky., and was recognized as one of the state’s best writers, winning the prestigious “Sportswriter of the Year” honor in 1985. Now the President and Publisher of The Pressbox, McLean sets ...

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