McLean’s Updated Handicapping Statistics / Graham Sits Atop Fair Grounds’ Jockey Standings

Day Results9-1-3-6
2019 Overall 3511-14-20-x
Win % of Top Pick31.43%
Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall42.86%
2019 Top Pick in the Money –21 of 3560.00%
Top Selection ITM / FG Nov-Mar 148-21469.16%
Top Selection Win / FG Nov-Mar 84-21439.25%
“Key Horses” @ FG Nov-Mar 40-20-8-350.00%
“Key Horses” in 2019 9-4-1-044.44%

We had our worst day of handicapping since we switched from Churchill Downs to the Fair Grounds at the conclusion of the November 2018 meeting and about Thanksgiving time. We had been on such a roll down at the “Big Easy.” Until Sunday.

We managed only one winner in the 9-race card. We did hit the first three exactas on the card — which returned $12.70, $41.70, and $14.10 for each $1 wagered — but that was it. Nada. Too bad. So sad.

But we will try to right the ship when the races pull back into port later this week. Until then, we will give the brain a little bit of a vacation.

Graham Continues to Hold a Slim Lead in the Fair Grounds’ Jockey Standings:

1James Graham180323724$1,017,78018%9352%
2Corey J. Lanerie109221714$788,40120%5349%
3Adam Beschizza177301525$779,94017%7040%
4Colby J. Hernandez181232931$731,60013%8346%
5Shaun Bridgmohan98231410$710,67523%4748%
6Mitchell Murrill191242629$694,64813%7941%
7Marcelino Pedroza150171916$482,03011%5235%
8Florent Geroux5713125$455,27723%3053%
9Gabriel Saez102121116$439,02812%3938%
10Joe Bravo5911118$404,13019%3051%
11Ty Kennedy111121510$352,57011%3733%
12Jack Gilligan13891916$339,9857%4432%
13Miguel Mena107111310$321,63010%3432%
14Ricardo Santana, Jr.559108$318,09016%2749%
15Jose Valdivia, Jr.795514$194,3706%2430%
16Chantal Sutherland9510510$182,94111%2526%
17Aubrie Green1076512$172,7906%2321%
18Sophie Doyle58959$168,97016%2340%
19Declan Carroll72596$159,8307%2028%
20Edgar Morales53753$155,06013%1528%
21Ezequiel Lara1082910$116,7302%2119%
22Joseph Rocco, Jr.29324$77,87010%931%
23Channing Hill7210$67,17029%343%
24Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.1100$60,000100%1100%
25Jerome Lermyte2100$46,14050%150%

(Statistics courtesy of Equibase)

James Graham, who jumped to a early and clear lead in the race for the rider’s title at this long and enduring race meet at the Fair Grounds, continues to hold onto a slim margin going into the races later this week.

Graham has managed to take a side trip to the winner’s circle 32 time out of 180 rides in New Orleans this meet, and that gives him a slim 2-win margin over fellow Brit, Adam Beschizza. The “Biscuit,” as he is affectionately known and referred to, has managed 30 wins in 177 mounts to date. Graham’s mounts have hit the board 52% of the time, while Beschizza’s horses have been first, second or third on 40% of the time.

There is a logjam behind the top two jockeys so far. Mitchell Murrill has 24 wins, while Shaun Bridgmohan, and Colby Hernandez both have 23. Just a win farther back in Corey Lanerie, who has 22 wins to date.

Lanerie’s horses have amassed $788,401 in purse earnings so far this meet, though, and that puts him second behind Graham’s total of $1,017,780 in that category.

(James Graham continues to hold onto lead in the Fair Grounds’ Jockey Standings / Photo Courtesy of Keeneland)

The horse broke well today,” Gaffalione said. “I had the horse inside, Dunph, going to the lead and then (Gun It) showed a little bit of speed. When I saw they were intent on going I just tried to get him back and got him to relax. He came back to me nicely and settled well down the backside. Got a little keen going into the far turn and wanted to move a little early. But I didn’t want to take too much away from him so I tried to sit as long as I could. He was waiting on horses down the lane but I kept him at task and there was plenty of horse there.”

“Mark (Casse, the trainer) and his team have done a great job,” Gaffalione said. “They’ve had a ton of confidence in this horse the whole way. It’s just an honor to be able to ride the horse. He’s just so professional, trains great and he’s a pleasure to be around.”

Tyler Gaffalione, Rode of War of Will to victory in the G2 Risen Star Stakes at the Fair Grounds
  • Gene McLean

    Gene McLean

    Gene McLean began his professional career in 1977 as a sportswriter and columnist for the Lexington Herald-Leader in Lexington, Ky., and was recognized as one of the state’s best writers, winning the prestigious “Sportswriter of the Year” honor in 1985. Now the President and Publisher of The Pressbox, McLean sets ...

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