Ryan Dickey’s “Bail Out Special” at Keeneland on Thursday, April 11

By Ryan Dickey:

Race 9 “Bail-out Special”

For every live race day of the Keeneland Spring meet, I will be analyzing the finale for each card. We’ll call it the “Bail-Out Special” — in case you had a bad day at the track and you need JUST ONE WINNER to right the ship. We are going to try our best to give you that advice and counsel and hope that we all can get some “dinner money” for the night.

But the selection can be used for more than just stemming losses from a bad day. Maybe you’d like to get aggressive and single a horse in multi-race bets. Maybe you’ve had a GREAT day at the track and you want to “let it ride.”

No matter how you use it, it’s my goal to pick THE WINNING HORSE in the finale — I won’t be too concerned about the morning line odds. I’ll actually be handicapping the race before the odds are announced. So my selection may not be the “value play” in the finale — just my opinion on who I think will be, can be, may be the WINNER. At the least, we are “all in” together.

Thursday, April 11

Race 9 Maiden Special Weight ($79,000 purse) 3 years old 1-1/16 miles furlongs on turf approx 5:30 pm ET

 

9/5/4/2

 

Trying to get back to .500 (I’m 2-for-5 on the meet so far), I’m not taking much of a leap today, going with what will be a heavy favorite in #9 EXULT. By far the most-likely winner on the card today, don’t expect great win odds, but if we are alive in multis, it will be fun to watch this one break his maiden as we count our money walking out the Keeneland exit gates. Irad Ortiz Jr. aboard for trainer Chad Brown, this son of Noble Mission has finished twice in two career tries and looks to give the Keeneland turf a try here after just missing at Gulfstream nearly two months ago. If he’s in top form, he wins in a cakewalk. If we are due for a big score with the late pick-4, hedge a bit using #5 LAKE NAKARU, #4 EONS and #2 PROUD AS PUNCH on top of each other and the favorite in exacta wheels.

 

Back to .500 sounds about right, and I don’t think we’ll even be using the pick to BAIL OUT today.

The horse broke well today,” Gaffalione said. “I had the horse inside, Dunph, going to the lead and then (Gun It) showed a little bit of speed. When I saw they were intent on going I just tried to get him back and got him to relax. He came back to me nicely and settled well down the backside. Got a little keen going into the far turn and wanted to move a little early. But I didn’t want to take too much away from him so I tried to sit as long as I could. He was waiting on horses down the lane but I kept him at task and there was plenty of horse there.”

“Mark (Casse, the trainer) and his team have done a great job,” Gaffalione said. “They’ve had a ton of confidence in this horse the whole way. It’s just an honor to be able to ride the horse. He’s just so professional, trains great and he’s a pleasure to be around.”

Tyler Gaffalione, Rode of War of Will to victory in the G2 Risen Star Stakes at the Fair Grounds

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