(Dennis’ Moment, after winning the G3 Iroquois Stakes at Churchill Downs / Photo by Holly M. Smith)

In 11 days, we will have us one heckuva horse race.

Dennis’ Moment vs. Structor vs. Shotski vs. Chance It?

In 11 days, the “Road to the KY Derby” may become a little more paved; a little less gravel.

In 11 days, the G2 Fountain of Youth will be contested at Gulfstream Park in South Florida. And, in 11 days, we should know a lot more about the horses; about the contenders and the pretenders; and the ones marching on to March and Zion.

In 11 days, the arguments may begin to make a lot more sense. In 11 days, we will let the horses do a lot more talking, and stalking, and walking.

Some will be merging into the fast lanes of the “Road to the Triple Crown.”

Others may be submerging.

We shall see.

In 11 days.

But that’s in 11 days.

Up until then, we are left to speculate.


Up until then, we can juggle and joust.


Up until then, we can argue and debate.


There is a lot to think and talk about.

Especially after the topsy turvy versions of the Risen Star Stakes, which saw two unexpected winners trampoline into the spotlight and into consideration for the Kentucky Derby on the First Saturday in May, and the sudden re-emergence of Silver Prospector in the G3 Southwest Stakes on Monday.

Where does Mr. Monomoy — the younger half-brother to the great Champ Monomoy Girl — now figure into the scenario after his impressive and powerful win in one of the divisions of the G2 Risen Star?

Where does Bill Mott and his steed Modernist now figure to go next, or become then?

There is a lot to mourn, and consider, too.

Especially with the news of the tragic, awful, disgusting injury that the grand Taraz suffered in training at Oaklawn Park this week. Just a week ago, we moved Taraz to 5th in our “Derby Rankings.” She had been that good. That impressive. That daunting. That physical and dominating.

Earlier in the week, we even talked to trainer Brad Cox about this filly and her chances to dance the Derby Trail. Although the talented trainer suggested that Taraz would stay with the fillies and may head to the KY Oaks, he was full of energy and hope.

Now, after a horrific training accident, some of that energy is drained.

Some of the hope is dashed.

There is so much to look back on and remember. Fondly.

Still, there is so much to look forward to and consider. Hopefully.

In 11 days, we will get to see much more. In 11 days, we get to see the 2020 version of Dennis’ Moment — a striking son of Tiznow that we have admired and watched since he first stepped hooves to dirt at Churchill Downs.

Until we are convinced otherwise, Dennis’ Moment is our #1.

Has been.

Still is.

Until we see what happens in 11 days.

Horse Sire Trainer Jockey Last Race Next Race Comments
1 Dennis’ Moment Tiznow Dale Romans Flavien Prat 8th in Breeders’ Cup Juvenile G2 Fountain of Youth — GP on Feb. 29 Prat Gets the Mount…Nice choice
2 Nadal Blame Bob Baffert Joel Rosario 1st in San Vicente Stakes G2 Rebel Stakes — OP on March 14 Took Giant Step Up in San Vicente
3 Tiz the Law Constitution Barclay Tagg Manny Franco 1st in the G2 Holy Bull Stakes G1 Florida Derby — GP on March 28 Green Gord Run in Holy Bull, Yet Impressive Talent Is There
4 Thousand Words Pioneerof the Nile Bob Baffert Flavien Prat 1st in the G3 Robert B. Lewis G2 San Felipe Stakes — SA on March 7 Learning Experience & Still Won the Lewis / Getting Better
5 Authentic Into Mischief Bob Baffert Drayden Van Dyke 1st in G3 Sham Stakes G3 Southwest Stakes — OP on Feb. 17 Ships This Week for Another Test
6 Silver Prospector Declaration of War Steve Asmussen Ricardo Santana, Jr 1st in G3 Southwest Stakes G2 Rebel Stakes a– OP on March 14 Back On Track After Impressive Win in Southwest
7 Independence Hall Constitution Michael Trombetta Jose Ortiz 2nd in the Sam F. Davis Stakes TBD Should Come Back in Tampa Bay Derby, But?
8 Maxfield Street Sense Brendan Walsh Jose Oritz 1st in Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity TBD When? Getting Interesting Here
9 Enforceable Tapit Mark Casse Julien Leparoux 2nd in G2 Risen Star Stakes G2 Louisiana Derby — FG on March 21 Ran OK, but Beaten…Must Show Up in LA Derby
10 Storm The Court Court Vision Peter Eurton Flavien Prat 4th in San Vicente Stakes G2 San Felipe Stakes — SA on March 7 Never In It; But Just a Solid Work? Not Impressive
11 American Theorem American Pharoah G. Papaprodromou Tiago Pereira 2nd in American Pharoah Stakes G2 San Felipe Stakes —  SA on March 7 Love to See This One in KY Derby
12 Gouverneur Morris Constitution Todd Pletcher Javier Castellano 1st in Tampa Bay Alw TBD Like The 2020 Debut / Next?
13 Basin Liam’s Map Steve Asmussen Jose Ortiz 1st in Hopeful Stakes G2 Rebel Stakes — OP on March 14 Rebel Is Now Hugely Important
14 Mr. Monomoy Palace Malice Brad Cox Florent Geroux 1st in G2 Risen Star Stakes G2 Blue Grass Stakes — KEE on April 4 Risen Star Was Impressive / Next?
15 Sole Volante Karakontie Patrick Biancone Luca Panici 1st in Sam F. Davis Tampa Bay Derby Powerful In Win at Tampa / Grass or Dirt?
16 Structor Palace Malice Chad Brown Jose Ortiz 1st in Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf G2 Fountain of Youth — GP on Feb. 29 Game On vs. Dennis’ Moment /
17 Shotski Blame Jeremiah O’Dwyer Luis Saez 2nd in Withers Stakes G2 Fountain of Youth — GP on Feb. 29 FOY May Be a Huge Sign
18 Modernist Uncle Mo Bill Mott Junior Alvarado 1st in G2 Risen Star Stakes G2 Louisiana Derby — FG on March 21 Jumped Up With Huge Move in the Risen Star
19 Chance It Currency Swap S. Joseph, Jr. Tyler Gaffalione 1st in Mucho Macho Man Stakes G2 Fountain of Youth — GP on Feb. 29 Big Test Coming
20 Shoplifted Into Mischief Steve Asmussen Brian Hernandez 4th in the G3 Southwest Stakes TBD Came Up Short in the SW / What’s Next?
AE List
1 Eight Rings Empire Maker Bob Baffert John Velazquez 6th in Breeders’ Cup Juvenile TBD Will Now Miss the G2 Rebel Stakes?
2 Green Light Go Hard Spun Jimmy Jerkens Javier Castellano 3rd in the G3 Swale Stakes TBD Didn’t Get Much Attention / But Next?
3 Ajaaweed Curlin Kiaran McLaughlin Joel Rosario 3rd in Sam F. Davis TBD Never In the Real Mix / Next?
4 No Parole Violence Tom Amoss James Graham 1st in FG Allowance TBD LA-bred Has Been Impressive
5 Mailman Money Goldencents W. Bret Calhoun Gabriel Saez 4th in G2 Risen Star Stakes G2 Louisiana Derby — FG on March 21 Connections Win the LA Derby 2 Years in a Row?
6 Anneau d’Or Medaglia d’Oro Blaine Wright Jose Hernandez 9th in G2 Risen Star Stakes G1 SA Derby — SA on April 4 What Happened?