
Over the past few days, I have taken time off from handicapping just to focus on getting my statistics for the year updated and current. I was about 2 months behind. It took me about 3 days — full time — to calculate. Whew.
But I am finding out some interesting data.
Earlier this year, I changed my handicapping routine for the daily numbers. I went to a modified system that includes much of the data that I use on big race days — like Kentucky Derby week and Breeders’ Cup. It involves more data points; more factors; more trends; and, obviously, takes a consider amount of “more time.”
But I wanted to see how my numbers would compare.
It is not even close. The 2025 numbers across the board are bigger; better; and more accurate.
Let’s take a look at Horseshoe Indianapolis for an example.
In 2024, I handicapped 201 races at HI.
I won 52 times (25.87%) & my top pick hit board 127 times (63.18%). The “Key Plays” went 12-8-3 in 30 picks for 40% wins & 76.67% “In the Money.” Not great.
In 2025, so far, take a look:
I have handicapped 342 races. With 11/2 months still to go, I have handicapped over 115 more races this year.
In that span, I have won 121 times for 35.38% win percentage. That’s up nearly 10%.
My top pick has been in the money (first, second or third) on 227 times. That amounts to 66.37%. Up nearly 3% over a year ago.
And, my “Key Plays” have amounted to 46 races this year. They have gone 28-3-8. The win is 60.87% and they have been “In the Money” on a whopping 84.78% of the time. I’m up over 20% in the win category and 8% in the “In the Money” space.
I’m not saying that I win all the time, or can make you money every day.
But I am saying that our numbers are so much better with the new, modified handicapping method.
And, I hope you can tell.
Good Luck & All the Best / Gene

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