Days Picks 9 / 4-3-4
2025 Overall — 1741 1741 / 547-621-751
Win % of Top Pick 31.42%
Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall 36.74%
2025 Top Pick in the Money Overall — 1,058-1,741 60.77%
2025 Top Pick in the Money @KY Downs — 35-57 61.40%
2025 Top Pick in the Money @COL Downs — 2-7 28.57%
2025 Top Pick in the Money @ EP — 90-136 66.18%
2025 Top Pick in the Money @ CD — 348-564 61.70%
2025 Top Pick in the Money @ HI — 275-414 66.43%
2025 Top Pick in the Money @ KEE — 106-185 57.30%
2025 Only Top Pick in the Money @ TP — 184-347 53.03%
2025 Top Pick in the Money @ PIM — 6-9 66.67%
2025 Top Pick in the Money @ SAR — 5-6 83.33%
2025 Top Pick in the Money @ Breeders’ Cup — 10-14 71.43%
2025 Top Pick Wins @ KY Downs — 19-57 33.33%
2025 Top Pick Wins @ COL Downs — 1-7 14.29%
2025 Top Pick Wins @ EP — 44-136 32.35%
2025 Top Pick Wins @ CD — 181-564 32.09%
2025 Top Pick Wins @ HI — 147-414 35.51%
2025 Top Pick Wins @ KEE — 48-185 25.95%
2025 Top Pick Wins @ TP Winter — 90-338 26.63%
2025 Top Pick Wins @ TP Holiday — 4-9 44.44%
2025 Top Pick Wins @ Pim — 5-9 55.56%
2025 Top Pick Wins @ SAR — 2-6 33.33%
2025 Top Pick Wins @ Breeders’ Cup — 6-14 42.86%
2025 “Key Plays” @ EP 9/7-0-2 77.78% Win / 100.00% ITM
2025 “Key Plays” @ KEE — 16/9-1-2 56.25% Win / 75.00% ITM
2025 “Key Horses” @ TP — 35/ 16-6-3 45.71% Win / 71.43% ITM
2025 “Key Horses” @ HI — 60/36-6-8 60.00% Win / 83.33% ITM
2025 “Key Horses” @ CD — 50/27-6-8 54.00% Win / 82.00% ITM
2025 “Key Horses” @ Pim — 2/2-0-0 100.00% Win / 100.00% ITM
2025 “Key Horses” @ SAR — 1/1-0-0 100.00% Win / 100.00% ITM
2025 “Key Horses” @ KY Downs — 3/0-1-1 00.00% Win / 66.67% ITM
2025 “Key Horses” @ Breeders’ Cup — 1/1-0-0 100.00% Win / 100.00% ITM
2025 “Key Horses” Overall — 177/ 99-20-24 55.93% Win / 80.79% ITM

(Stats for 2025 are completely updated through last night’s races)

I’ll be the first to tell you that I am not the best handicapper in the world when it comes to All-Weather surfaces. I don’t know what it is, really or actually. I’ve tried various versions of my “system,” and nothing truly has worked.

And, to support those statements and sentiments, are my statistics. Which I publish every single day for your review.

In the 2025 “Winter Meet” — which ran from January through much of March, of this year — I had the second worst set of stats of any meet that I covered for the past 11+ months. The only meet where I performed more poorly? Keeneland. Which, I’ll be honest, I detest to handicap, for several reasons.

In the winter/spring, I hit just 90 of 338 races, for a paltry win rate of 26.63%. My top pick for Turfway’s winter meet hit the board just 53% of the time. I did better than that at Keeneland. Ugh. And, my “Key Play of the Day” — which has been truly outstanding this year — hit only 45.71% of the time during the winter. That is nearly 10 full percentage points less than my overall total for the year.

So, see? The numbers reflect my inabilities at Turfway Park.

Until last night — Opening Night of the 2025 Holiday Meet.

Over 9 races, I picked 4 winners. And, despite my critics who think and opine that I only select favorites, I nailed the last two races of the night. The winner of the 8th race — Bundchen — paid a whopping $36.52 for each $2 wagered across the board. The winner of the 9th race — Payrula — returned $25.12 for each $2 wagered across the board.

If you had more than the minimum? Well, you finished up the night with more money to line those wintry pockets than you started with, I’m sure of it.

Here’s hoping that we can continue this new found success at Turfway Park. I love the new place that Churchill Downs has created in Northern Kentucky. Just wish I could do better there.

Here’s hoping.