| Days Picks | 9 / 2-2-5 |
| 2026 Overall — 117 | 117 / 40-33-46 |
| Win % of Top Pick | 34.18% |
| Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall | 33.90% |
| 2026 Top Pick in the Money Overall — 69-117 | 58.97% |
| 2026 Top Pick in the Money @ TP Winter 69-117 | 58.97% |
| 2026 Top Pick Wins @ TP Winter 40-117 | 34.18% |
| 2026 “Key Horses” @ TP Winter 9/1-1-2 | 11.11% Win / 44.44% ITM |
| 2026 “Key Horses” Overall — 891-1-1 | 11.11% Win / 44.44% ITM |
(Stats need to be updated with this week’s results)
Here’s our looks at the Tampa Bay card, starting with Race # 4 and running through the Sam F. Davis Stakes at the end of the program. The Sam F. Davis is the key prep for the Tampa Bay Derby and a start, for some, on a possible road to the Kentucky Derby.
Today’s Picks:
| A | B | C | |||
| Minaret Stakes | 4 | 1-4 | 6-2 | 5 | |
| Suncoast Stakes | 5 | 5-3 | 4 | 8 | |
| 6 | 6-2-3 | 9 | 10 | ||
| 7 | 7-2-11 | 10-4 | 8-5 | ||
| 8 | 7-2-1 | 6 | 5-9-10-11 | ||
| 9 | 1-5-12 | 13-7-14 | 9-8-7-11-4 | ||
| Pelican Stakes | 10 | 3-6-4 | 9 | 8-2-7-5 | |
| Sam F. Davis | 11 | 9-6-1 | 5-3-2-7 | 4 |
Betting Strategy:
| Betting Strategy | ||
| 4 | 1 bet 1 Win / Key 1 o/u all / more on under | |
| 5 | I bet 5in upset over 2-5 ML fav / 5-3 Both Stakes Winners / 3 Speed | |
| 6 | I bet 6 WP / Double Down on 6 / Box 6-2-3 / Key 6 o/u 2-3-9-10 | |
| 7 | I bet 7-11 WPS / Box 7-2-11/ Key 7-11 o/u 2-10-4 | |
| 8 | I bet 7 WPS / Box 7-2-1 / Key 7-2 o/u 1-6-5-9-10-11 | |
| 9 | I bet the 1-5 WPS / Box 1-5-12 / Key 1-5-12 o/u 13-14 | |
| 10 | I bet 3-6 WPS / Box 3-6-4 / Key 3-6 o/u 4-9 | |
| 11 | I bet the 9 WPS / Key 9 over/under 6-1-5-3-2-7 (more on 6-1-5) |
Comments:
| Comments | ||
| 4 | 1 lost to 4 last time out / No excuses / 5-1-1 in 7 @ distance | |
| 5 | 5 Has Work to do to overcome G2 winner with speed / But capable | |
| 6 | 6 is Gun Runner who sold for $1.1M / Sharp works / Aggressive rider | |
| 7 | 7 slight edge / 2-2 with Lasix / 11 gets huge rider switch | |
| 8 | 7 ran huge at GP last out / 2-1-1 in 4 starts at distance | |
| 9 | 1-5 are first timers / But Chad Brown is hot 2-2-0 in 5 here | |
| 10 | Saffie Speedster won 2 in row before Oaklawn debacle / rebound | |
| 11 | 9 is pure speed & that normally carries here / Big Threat |
Good Luck & All the Best / Gene

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