Days Picks 11 / 1-5-3
2024 Overall — 562 562 / 165-175-236
Win % of Top Pick 29.36%
Payoff % of Top 3 Picks Overall 34.16%
2024 Only / Top Pick in the Money Overall — 327-562 58.19%
2024 Only / Top Pick in the Money @ CD — 58-96 60.42%
2024 Only / Top Pick in the Money @ HI — 14-22 63.64%
2024 Only / Top Pick in the Money @ KEE — 19-26 73.08%
2024 Only / Top Pick in the Money @ TP — 224-400 56.00%
2024 Only / Top Pick in the Money @ FG — 12-18 66.67%
2024 Only / Top Pick Wins @ CD — 34-96 35.42%
2024 Only / Top Pick Wins @ HI — 5-22 22.73%
2024 Only / Top Pick Wins @ KEE — 8/26 30.77%
2024 Only / Top Pick Wins @ TP — 110-400 27.50%
2024 Only / Top Pick Wins @ FG — 8-18 44.44%
2024 Only / “Key Horses” @ HI — 4/2-2-0 50.00% Win / 100.00% ITM
2024 Only / “Key Horses” @ KEE — 2/2-0-0 100.00% Win / 100.00% ITM
2024 Only / “Key Horses” @ TP  39/ 13-10-6 33.33% Win / 74.36% ITM
2024 Only / “Key Horses” @ FG 1 / 0-0-0 00.00% Win / 00.00% ITM
2024 Only / “Key Horses” @ CD 5 / 1-0-0 20.00% Win / 20.00% ITM
2024 Only / “Key Horses” Overall 51/ 18-12-6 35.29% Win / 70.59% ITM

(Stats to be updated)

Here’s our looks for this Thursday night’s special Twilight program:

1st: 3-7-6/5-1-4//10-9…Summer Vibes (3) gets the nod in the ole’ lid-lifter at the big oval in Louis-Town this Thursday eve. First post is 5 p.m. ET. The “Vibes” is a 2YO son of Good Magic and will make the first start for the all-star band of Brad Cox. Barnm wines with .27% in the MSW category and the dam of this colt has produced 2 winners from 2 starters and 1 Stakes winner. Sire produces 16% winners on first ask. Works are super good. This one sold for $600,000 at the 2023 KEE September Yearling Sale. Looks solid in this spot. I bet the 3 across the board and double down on the win wager. I box the top 3 numbers in the exactas and then I will key the 3 over/under the 7-6-5-1-4 in two smaller units. 

2nd: 8-3/6-5-2/7/1…Dreamster (8) is the ML favorite, and deserves to be. This 5YO, Florida-bred mare won the last time out for $40,000 with an easy 4.5 lengths advantage. The trainer is 1-1-1 in 4 starts this meet and is winning with .19% of 21 starters this year. Gets a top rider up and looks the best on paper. I bet the 8 across the board and double down on the win wager. I box the 8-3 in the exactas sternly. I key the 8 over/under the 3-6-5-2-7 in two smaller units. 

3rd: 9-12/5/1-3/2-6/4-(14)…Mount Craig (9) is another possible win candidate for rider Tyler Gaffalione, who is winning at a .14% clip this meet in one of the deepest, most-talented jockey colony ever assembled. This one is 0-for-15 lifetime. Ugh. But has 5 seconds and 5 more thirds. Drop to the MCL ranks could be the calling card. I bet the 9 across the board and then double down on the win wager. I box the 9-12 in the exactas. I will key the 9 over/under the 12-5-1-3-2-6 in two smaller units. 

4th: 5-9-(16)/3-10-(12)/2-4/6-7/8…Weigh the Risks (5) gets the call in the first sod race of the night. This 3YO filly goes for the best turf trainer in the States and a barn that wins with .23% of the last 1,806 sod starts. Gets Lasix for the 2nd time and the barn wins with .30% of the last 201 to do that, too. Top rider up. Adds up. I bet the 5 across the board and double down on the win wager. I box the 5-9-16 in the exactas. I will key the 5 over/under the 9-16-3-10-12-2-4 in two smaller units. 

5th: 3-5-9/7/1-8/2-4…Up the Creek (3) goes for a high-percentage trainer, who is 1-3-0 in 5 starts here this meet. Winning at a .29% clip in 48 starts this year. Sharp work on May 30 and looks ready for a win here. Classic Claire (5) has run two good ones in a row and may like the switch to the dirt for the first time. Rider is 8-4-7 in the last 30 outs. Now, that’s a hot streak. Hot. Dark Fury (9) is another from the barn of trainer Greg Foley, who is having a great meet. Winning at a .26% clip this meet. Has a 8-1-2 record in 31 starts. I bet the 3-5 across the board and then box the top 3 in the exactas. I key the top three numbers over/under the 7 in two smaller units,.

6th: 1-3/4/2-6-7-9/10/8…Speed Bias (1) will run for the first time as a gelding, and that might restart this one, who has already won over $412,000 in purses. Ran 3rd in a Stakes at Oaklawn Park last out. Nearly won the G3 Pimlico Special last year. If this gelded son of Uncle Mo finds his old self? This one is over. I bet the 1 across the board and double down on the win wager. I box the 1-3 sternly in the exactas. I will key the 1-3 over/under the 4 in two smaller units.

7th: 8-3/(14)-(13)/2-6-7-9/4-(12)…This is the last turf race of the night and it will be contested at 11/16-miles. I go with Johny’s Fireball (8), who is conditioned by one of the best young trainers in the game today. This son of Tonalist has a win and a third in only two previous tries here. Has 2 wins in 4 outs at this distance. But here’s the kicker. Has a 3-1-3 mark in 11 tries over the sod. Look for this one to close quickly by wire time. I bet the 8 across the board and double down on the win wager. I box the 8-3 in the exactas. I will key the 8-3 over/under the 2-6-7-9 in two smaller units. 

8th: 7-8-4/2-11/10-3/5-9…Tiger’s Legacy (7) picks up the hottest rider in the world for this mount and it could help the 4YO son of Into Mischief back into the winner’s circle. Won by over 7 lengths at KEE just two starts ago and came back to nearly win here last out. That was a tremendous effort. Could help that the distance is shorter here. Attache (8) was claimed just two starts ago and could be better here at the shorter distance, as well. Has a 2-1-0 record in 4 starts here. Has a shot, no doubt. Global Stage (4) goes for the Cox barn and is coming off the MCL win. Barn wins with .25% when going to face winners for the first time. I bet the 7-8 across the board and then box the top 3 numbers in the exactas. I will key the top 3 numbers over/under the 2-11 in two smaller units. 

Good Luck & All the Best / Gene