I have to admit that I was a little lazy last night and after getting home late from another great day at Keeneland, the last thing I wanted to do was handicap a Sunday card that I knew would be hampered by rain. But this morning I awoke with a new vigor to trudge through the past performances and try to find a potential longshot today.
And Keeneland has already announced that all five of the turf races slated for today have come off the grass, so there will be nine races run on the sloppy main track. It rained a decent amount last night and there’s more rain on the way. Could be a tough day at Keeneland if there is such a thing–I wouldn’t know — never had one.
I won’t have the luxury of checking for scratches before submitting this piece to be sent to the masses, and I have no intention of taking guesses as to which horses will run and which horses will not, so I’ll simply share my findings going through the past performances and list a FEW possible horses to possibly wager on today for the wet Keeneland card.
There will be NO “BAIL-OUT SPECIAL” today, even though I’ll give suggestions for the finale (race 9). Without knowing which horses are running, there’s no way to predict a pace scenario, and I’m “pretty sure” the horse I liked could very well be scratched, so no one gets my second or third choice to “bail them out.”
Without further ado, here’s my notes for Keeneland today, followed by a couple suggested plays. It’s the best I can do this morning:
|1||1||Maid in the Mist||Ran second in off-turf route at KEE last Oct.|
|1 mile TURF||3||Lady Trish’s Dream||5th, 34 lengths back off-turf at KEE last Oct.|
|OFF THE TURF||6||Artistic||Two races on dirt resulted in losses by most lengths,|
|7||Becky’s Bluegrass||Lost by 20 lengths in 5.5f sprint off-turf last out.|
|9||Awesome One||Ran second in off-turf sprint at FG in Feb.|
|10||Scat Maggie||15-3/4 lengths back in off-turf at CD last Nov.|
|12||Norma’s Joy||Third in debut off-turf at WO last Nov.|
|2||1||Kitchi||Won only career start on sloppy track.|
|1-1/16 mile dirt||2||Bemma’s Boy||Finished far back in all three wet dirt races.|
|3||Bold Prophet||All 15 dirt races on fast track.|
|4||Stuart Hall||Won only career start on sloppy track.|
|5||Portal||All 11 dirt races on fast track.|
|6||Dreamzapper||All 5 dirt races on fast track, raced 9 days ago.|
|3||1||Can’thelpbelieving||Never raced on dirt (29 starts) bad on soft/yielding turf.|
|1-1/8 miles TURF||2||Olympico||Never raced on dirt (19 starts), has won, placed on soft turf.|
|OFF THE TURF||3||Profiteer||Lost by 21-1/4 lengths in only off-turf race, hits board on soft turf.|
|4||Revved Up||Lost by 21-1/4 lengths in only off-turf race, hits board on soft turf.|
|5||Murad Khan||Never raced on dirt (16 starts), won on soft turf.|
|6||Monarchs Glen||Never raced on dirt (11 starts), won on soft turf.|
|7||Sir Dudley Diggs||Finished third in only off-turf race, hits board on soft/yielding turf.|
|8||Dot Matrix||Never hit board in 3 dirt starts, has won of soft turf.|
|9||Cowboy Culture||Never raced on dirt (16 starts), won/placed on soft/yielding turf.|
|10 MTO||Reride||2-0-1-0 on off-dirt track, placed in off-turf race at KEE last Oct.|
|11 MTO||Heavy Roller||5-2-0-0 on off-dirt track, won in slop at OP two starts back.|
|4||3||Jumpin Thorugh Hoops||Lost by 14 lengths on “good” SA dirt track in Jan.|
|6 furlongs dirt||5||Exchequer||Lost by 17-3/4 lengths on “good” SAR dirt track last Aug.|
|6||Tringale||Lost by 6-1/2 lengths on “good” FG dirt track last Dec.|
|7||Master Distiller||2-0-2-0 on sloppy or muddy dirt tracks.|
|5||1||Kitten’s Finest||Never raced on dirt (3 starts), both turf tarts on firm turf.|
|1 mile TURF||2||Michelles Fault||Lost by 13 lengths on sloppy dirt, by 13-3/4 lengths on yielding turf.|
|OFF THE TURF||3||Scary Animal||Lost by 9 lengths on “good” dirt, by 10-1/4 lengths on good turf.|
|4||She’s Proud||Only career start on firm turf.|
|5||Princess Blanca||Finished third in only off-the-turf dirt race on “good” dirt last Aug.|
|11||Miss Leah Angel||Placed on good turf at FG this Feb.|
|12||Strikingly Lovely||Only career start on firm turf.|
|13 AE||Woodfin||All 4 career starts on firm turf.|
|15 AE||Encata||All 3 turf starts on firm turf, never ran on wet dirt.|
|16 AE||Malibu Party||All 3 career turf starts on firm, 1-0-1-0 on sloppy dirt.|
|6||3||Bird Dog||Sixth, 19-1/4 back on sloppy GP track in Jan only wet dirt start.|
|1-1/16 miles dirt||4||Saintly Samurai||Sixth, 64-3/4 lengths back on sloppy LRL track last July only wet dirt start.|
|5||Gentle Warrior||2-0-0-0 on wet dirt, finishing far back both tries on wet dirt.|
|6||Bumperdoo||3-0-0-1 on wet dirt, third on sloppy AQU track in Jan.|
|9||Ocean Monarch||2-0-1-0 on wet dirt, second on sloppy TAM track two back in Jan.|
|7||1||C C Rider||Never run on wet dirt, always on firm turf in 7 career starts.|
|1-1/16 miles TURF||2||Vegas Kitten||Won on soft KEE turf at this distance last Apr., never raced on dirt.|
|OFF THE TURF||3||Sekondi||25 career starts, seventh, 22-1/2 lengths back last out on sloppy KEE track.|
|5||Face of Victory||Two of 15 career starts on turf (both firm), 2-0-1-0 on wet dirt.|
|6||Farat||Ninth, 20-1/4 lengths back in only off-turf race on sloppy FG track last Dec.|
|8||Fred’stwirlingcandy||Eighth, 8 lengths back on sloppy KEE track only wet dirt race Oct. 2017.|
|9||Battle of Memphis||All three career starts on firm turf.|
|10||Family Tree||All six career starts on turf, won on heavy turf in Ireland once.|
|11 MTO||Rubus||3-0-1-0 on wet tracks, placed at FG on sloppy track in Feb.|
|12 MTO||Marzo||4-0-2-0 on wet tracks, placed on muddy OP track two back|
|8||1||Shezappealing||2-0-0-1 on wet track|
|1-1/16 miles dirt||2||Support||3-1-2-0 on wet track, placed last out on muddy FG track.|
|3||Foxtail||Won last out on “good” SA track in Feb. in only wet dirt start.|
|4||Saracosa||All 7 career starts on fast dirt track.|
|5||Aife||1-0-1-0 on wet dirt, third three back on sloppy FG track last Dec.|
|6||Let’s Roll||1-0-0-0 on wet dirt.|
|7||End of Now||Won on wet sealed track at SA last Mar.|
|9||1||Combustible||1-0-1-0 on wet dirt, placed twice on turf listed as “good”.|
|1-1/16 miles TURF||2||Voting Control||All 3 career starts on firm turf.|
|OFF THE TURF||3||One Last Strike||All 5 career starts on firm turf.|
|4||Fashion Decree||Won on debut in only career start on “good” TAM turf in Feb.|
|5||Personal Time||Placed in only wet dirt start on sloppy AQU track last Nov., won on firm turf.|
|6||Im a Patriot||All 5 career starts on turf, seventh, 7-3/4 lengths back on “good” KD turf last Sept.|
|7||Factor This||2-1-0-0 on wet dirt, has won, showed on turf listed as good.|
|8||Create Again||Won only career start on wet dirt on sloppy CD track last Nov., hits board on yielding turf.|
|9||Daddy’s Cozy||Won on “good” PIM turf last May in only non-firm turf start, well-beaten only time on dirt.|
|10||Ecru||Never run on wet dirt, placed in only try on turf not listed as firm.|
|11||St. Denman||Never run on wet dirt, won at KD in only try on turf not listed as firm.|
|12 MTO||Watch Me Whip||1-0-0-0 on wet dirt,.|
Race 1: #12 Norma’s Joy, #9 Awesome One if one or both stay in.
Race 2: #1 Kitchi has speed, won in slop.
Race 3: #11 Heavy Roller should get the job done–serious win contender if he runs.
Race 4: #7 Master Distiller a win contender will be at short odds.
Race 5: #15 Encanta looks tough here, also will be short odds
Race 6: #1 Lontani will be forwardly placed, intriguing.
Race 7: Look to the MTO’s #11 Rubus and #12 Marzo
Race 8: #2 Support will be at low odds, but try #7 End of Now to spring the upset.
Race 9: #7 Factor This (5-1) is NOT the “Bail-out Special” but worth a look if he runs.
HAVE FUN, STAY DRY, AND BEST OF LUCK!